Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Benfica win with a probability of 70.59%. A draw has a probability of 17.2% and a win for Nacional has a probability of 12.17%.
The most likely scoreline for a Benfica win is 0-2 with a probability of 10.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-2 (9.57%) and 0-1 (9.13%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (8.05%), while for a Nacional win it is 2-1 (3.55%).
Result | ||
Nacional | Draw | Benfica |
12.17% ( 0.81) | 17.24% ( 0.36) | 70.59% ( -1.17) |
Both teams to score 53.18% ( 1.47) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
63.25% ( 0.52) | 36.74% ( -0.53) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
41.09% ( 0.57) | 58.91% ( -0.57) |
Nacional Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
58.61% ( 1.7) | 41.39% ( -1.7) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
22.1% ( 1.47) | 77.9% ( -1.47) |
Benfica Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
90.72% ( -0.14) | 9.27% ( 0.13) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
68.68% ( -0.32) | 31.32% ( 0.32) |
Score Analysis |
Nacional | Draw | Benfica |
2-1 @ 3.55% ( 0.21) 1-0 @ 3.39% ( 0.07) 2-0 @ 1.49% ( 0.1) 3-2 @ 1.24% ( 0.12) 3-1 @ 1.04% ( 0.11) Other @ 1.45% Total : 12.17% | 1-1 @ 8.05% ( 0.12) 2-2 @ 4.22% ( 0.23) 0-0 @ 3.84% ( -0.1) 3-3 @ 0.99% ( 0.09) Other @ 0.14% Total : 17.24% | 0-2 @ 10.85% ( -0.42) 1-2 @ 9.57% ( 0.08) 0-1 @ 9.13% ( -0.3) 0-3 @ 8.6% ( -0.39) 1-3 @ 7.59% ( 0.02) 0-4 @ 5.12% ( -0.26) 1-4 @ 4.51% ( -0.02) 2-3 @ 3.35% ( 0.16) 0-5 @ 2.43% ( -0.14) 1-5 @ 2.15% ( -0.02) 2-4 @ 1.99% ( 0.09) 0-6 @ 0.96% ( -0.06) 2-5 @ 0.95% ( 0.03) Other @ 3.39% Total : 70.59% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Sporting Lisbon | 7 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 25 | 2 | 23 | 21 |
2 | Porto | 7 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 16 | 3 | 13 | 18 |
3 | Benfica | 7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 17 | 5 | 12 | 16 |
4 | Santa ClaraSanta Clara | 7 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 8 | 3 | 15 |
5 | Braga | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 12 | 4 | 8 | 14 |
6 | FamalicaoFamalicao | 8 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 9 | 4 | 5 | 13 |
7 | Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 6 | 1 | 13 |
8 | MoreirenseMoreirense | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 9 | 11 | -2 | 8 |
9 | Casa Pia | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 9 | -3 | 8 |
10 | AVS | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 10 | -4 | 8 |
11 | Rio AveRio Ave | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 13 | -7 | 8 |
12 | Gil Vicente | 7 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 7 | 12 | -5 | 7 |
13 | Estoril PraiaEstoril | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 10 | -6 | 6 |
14 | AroucaArouca | 7 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 3 | 12 | -9 | 6 |
15 | Estrela Amadora | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 10 | -5 | 5 |
16 | BoavistaBoavista | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 8 | -5 | 5 |
17 | Nacional | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 12 | -8 | 5 |
18 | SC FarenseFarense | 7 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 2 | 13 | -11 | 1 |
> Primeira Liga Full Table |