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Arouca
Benfica
Boavista
Braga
Casa Pia
Estoril
Estrela Amadora
Famalicao logo
Gil Vicente logo
Moreirense
Nacional
Porto
Rio Ave
Farense logo
Santa Clara
Sporting Lisbon
Vitoria de Guimaraes
Nacional
Primeira Liga | Gameweek 8
Oct 6, 2024 at 6pm UK
Estadio da Madeira (Funchal (Ilha da Madeira))
Benfica

Nacional
vs.
Benfica

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Primeira Liga clash between Nacional and Benfica, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Famalicao 0-0 Nacional
Sunday, September 29 at 3.30pm in Primeira Liga
Last Game: Benfica 4-0 Atletico
Wednesday, October 2 at 8pm in Champions League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Benfica win with a probability of 70.59%. A draw has a probability of 17.2% and a win for Nacional has a probability of 12.17%.

The most likely scoreline for a Benfica win is 0-2 with a probability of 10.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-2 (9.57%) and 0-1 (9.13%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (8.05%), while for a Nacional win it is 2-1 (3.55%).

Result
NacionalDrawBenfica
12.17% (0.805 0.81) 17.24% (0.358 0.36) 70.59% (-1.168 -1.17)
Both teams to score 53.18% (1.468 1.47)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
63.25% (0.524 0.52)36.74% (-0.529 -0.53)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
41.09% (0.568 0.57)58.91% (-0.573 -0.57)
Nacional Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
58.61% (1.701 1.7)41.39% (-1.704 -1.7)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
22.1% (1.466 1.47)77.9% (-1.471 -1.47)
Benfica Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
90.72% (-0.13799999999999 -0.14)9.27% (0.134 0.13)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
68.68% (-0.324 -0.32)31.32% (0.32 0.32)
Score Analysis
    Nacional 12.17%
    Benfica 70.59%
    Draw 17.24%
NacionalDrawBenfica
2-1 @ 3.55% (0.213 0.21)
1-0 @ 3.39% (0.07 0.07)
2-0 @ 1.49% (0.098 0.1)
3-2 @ 1.24% (0.121 0.12)
3-1 @ 1.04% (0.107 0.11)
Other @ 1.45%
Total : 12.17%
1-1 @ 8.05% (0.12 0.12)
2-2 @ 4.22% (0.229 0.23)
0-0 @ 3.84% (-0.1 -0.1)
3-3 @ 0.99% (0.091 0.09)
Other @ 0.14%
Total : 17.24%
0-2 @ 10.85% (-0.42 -0.42)
1-2 @ 9.57% (0.084 0.08)
0-1 @ 9.13% (-0.296 -0.3)
0-3 @ 8.6% (-0.388 -0.39)
1-3 @ 7.59% (0.02 0.02)
0-4 @ 5.12% (-0.263 -0.26)
1-4 @ 4.51% (-0.016 -0.02)
2-3 @ 3.35% (0.162 0.16)
0-5 @ 2.43% (-0.141 -0.14)
1-5 @ 2.15% (-0.021 -0.02)
2-4 @ 1.99% (0.085 0.09)
0-6 @ 0.96% (-0.062 -0.06)
2-5 @ 0.95% (0.035 0.03)
Other @ 3.39%
Total : 70.59%

Who will win Sunday's Primeira Liga clash between Nacional and Benfica?

Nacional
Draw
Benfica
Nacional
0.0%
Draw
0.0%
Benfica
0.0%
0
Head to Head
May 11, 2021 6pm
Gameweek 32
Nacional
1-3
Benfica
Pedrao (8')
Vigario (60')
Pedrao (78' og.), Ramos (81', 86')
Chiquinho (34'), Gilberto (55'), Grimaldo (80')
Jan 25, 2021 5pm
Gameweek 15
Benfica
1-1
Nacional
Chiquinho (14')
Jardel (71')
Rochez (48')
Pedrao (80'), Micael (90+2')
Feb 10, 2019 5.30pm
Gameweek 21
Benfica
10-0
Nacional
Grimaldo (1'), Seferovic (21', 27'), Felix (50'), Pizzi (54' pen.), Ferreira (56'), Dias (64'), Jonas (85', 90'), Silva (88')
Samaris (20')
Sep 2, 2018 6.30pm
Gameweek 4
Nacional
0-4
Benfica

Marakis (34')
Seferovic (28'), Salvio (45'), Grimaldo (76'), Silva (93')
Semedo (49'), Jardel (51'), Cervi (68')
Feb 5, 2017 6pm
Benfica
3-0
Nacional
Jonas (26', 35'), Mitroglou (81')
Jonas (33'), Ederson (59')

Washington (34'), Mezga (43'), Rodrigues (52'), Zequinha (56'), Correia (60')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Sporting Lisbon77002522321
2Porto76011631318
3Benfica75111751216
4Santa ClaraSanta Clara7502118315
5Braga7421124814
6FamalicaoFamalicao834194513
7Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes741276113
8MoreirenseMoreirense7223911-28
9Casa Pia722369-38
10AVS7223610-48
11Rio AveRio Ave8224613-78
12Gil Vicente7142712-57
13Estoril PraiaEstoril7133410-66
14AroucaArouca7205312-96
15Estrela Amadora7124510-55
16BoavistaBoavista712438-55
17Nacional7124412-85
18SC FarenseFarense7016213-111


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