Primeira Liga | Gameweek 32
May 11, 2021 at 6pm UK
Estadio da Madeira
Nacional1 - 3Benfica
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Benfica win with a probability of 79.97%. A draw had a probability of 13.5% and a win for Nacional had a probability of 6.48%.
The most likely scoreline for a Benfica win was 0-2 with a probability of 13.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-3 (11.88%) and 0-1 (10.66%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.43%), while for a Nacional win it was 1-0 (2.49%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 7.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Benfica would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Nacional | Draw | Benfica |
| 6.48% | 13.54% | 79.97% |
| Both teams to score 41.87% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 61.76% | 38.24% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 39.47% | 60.53% |
| Nacional Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 45.29% | 54.71% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 12.29% | 87.7% |
| Benfica Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 92.46% | 7.54% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 72.97% | 27.03% |
| Score Analysis |
Nacional 6.48%
Benfica 79.97%
Draw 13.54%
| Nacional | Draw | Benfica |
| 1-0 @ 2.49% 2-1 @ 1.94% Other @ 2.06% Total : 6.48% | 1-1 @ 6.43% 0-0 @ 4.12% 2-2 @ 2.51% Other @ 0.48% Total : 13.54% | 0-2 @ 13.78% 0-3 @ 11.88% 0-1 @ 10.66% 1-2 @ 8.31% 0-4 @ 7.68% 1-3 @ 7.17% 1-4 @ 4.63% 0-5 @ 3.97% 1-5 @ 2.4% 2-3 @ 2.16% 0-6 @ 1.71% 2-4 @ 1.4% 1-6 @ 1.03% Other @ 3.19% Total : 79.97% |
How you voted: Nacional vs Benfica
Nacional
16.7%Draw
14.6%Benfica
68.8%48
Form Guide
