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Arouca
Benfica
Boavista
Braga
Casa Pia
Estoril
Estrela Amadora
Famalicao logo
Gil Vicente logo
Moreirense
Nacional
Porto
Rio Ave
Farense logo
Santa Clara
Sporting Lisbon
Vitoria de Guimaraes
Santa Clara
Primeira Liga | Gameweek 26
Apr 11, 2021 at 3.30pm UK
Estadio de Sao Miguel
Nacional

Santa Clara
5 - 1
Nacional

Villanueva (4'), Costa (35', 47'), Carlos (79'), Ukra (90+6' pen.)
Lincoln (14'), Ramos (69')
FT(HT: 2-0)
Correia (66')
Thill (8'), Kalindi (77'), Correia (90+6')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Primeira Liga clash between Santa Clara and Nacional, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Santa Clara win with a probability of 45.45%. A draw had a probability of 29.5% and a win for Nacional had a probability of 25.06%.

The most likely scoreline for a Santa Clara win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.66%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.62%) and 2-1 (7.99%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.01%), while for a Nacional win it was 0-1 (10.6%). The actual scoreline of 5-1 was predicted with a 0.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Santa Clara would win this match.

Result
Santa ClaraDrawNacional
45.45%29.5%25.06%
Both teams to score 39.91%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
33.94%66.07%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
15.37%84.63%
Santa Clara Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.72%29.29%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.75%65.25%
Nacional Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
56.44%43.56%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
20.24%79.76%
Score Analysis
    Santa Clara 45.44%
    Nacional 25.05%
    Draw 29.48%
Santa ClaraDrawNacional
1-0 @ 15.66%
2-0 @ 9.62%
2-1 @ 7.99%
3-0 @ 3.94%
3-1 @ 3.27%
3-2 @ 1.36%
4-0 @ 1.21%
4-1 @ 1.01%
Other @ 1.38%
Total : 45.44%
1-1 @ 13.01%
0-0 @ 12.75%
2-2 @ 3.32%
Other @ 0.4%
Total : 29.48%
0-1 @ 10.6%
1-2 @ 5.41%
0-2 @ 4.41%
1-3 @ 1.5%
0-3 @ 1.22%
2-3 @ 0.92%
Other @ 1%
Total : 25.05%

How you voted: Santa Clara vs Nacional

Santa Clara
50.0%
Draw
50.0%
Nacional
0.0%
8
Head to Head
Dec 6, 2020 3pm
Gameweek 9
Nacional
1-3
Santa Clara
Gorre (38')
Pedrao (33'), Gorre (63'), Micael (72')
Carlos (23'), Rashid (34' pen.), Thiago (86' pen.)
Ramos (48'), Costinha (69')
Feb 24, 2019 3.30pm
Gameweek 23
Santa Clara
2-0
Nacional
Chrien (64'), Schettine (91')
Ramos (40'), Patrick (53'), Cardoso (82')

Marakis (9'), Palocevic (40'), Riascos (94')
Marakis (32')
Sep 30, 2018 4pm
Gameweek 6
Nacional
0-3
Santa Clara

Julio (80')
Fernando (4'), Rashid (67'), Pineda (76')
Patrick (28'), Fernando (88')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Benfica1512213782938
2Sporting Lisbon15121243103337
3Porto1512123692737
4Braga1584327161128
5Santa ClaraSanta Clara159061615127
6Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes156542016423
7Casa Pia155551618-220
8MoreirenseMoreirense156271922-320
9FamalicaoFamalicao154741817119
10Gil Vicente154561724-717
11Rio AveRio Ave154471526-1116
12Estrela Amadora154381324-1115
13Estoril PraiaEstoril153571224-1214
14AVS152761122-1113
15Nacional153481021-1113
16BoavistaBoavista152671019-912
17SC FarenseFarense15339921-1212
18AroucaArouca153210926-1711


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