Primeira Liga | Gameweek 22
Mar 5, 2021 at 6.30pm UK
Mata Real
Pacos de Ferreira2 - 1Nacional
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Pacos de Ferreira win with a probability of 42.66%. A draw had a probability of 29.1% and a win for Nacional had a probability of 28.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Pacos de Ferreira win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.19%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.64%) and 2-1 (8.05%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.22%), while for a Nacional win it was 0-1 (10.86%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Pacos de Ferreira would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Pacos de Ferreira | Draw | Nacional |
| 42.66% | 29.14% | 28.2% |
| Both teams to score 42.67% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
