Primeira Liga | Gameweek 17
Feb 5, 2021 at 9pm UK
Mata Real
Pacos de Ferreira2 - 1Tondela
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Pacos de Ferreira win with a probability of 43.6%. A draw had a probability of 30% and a win for Tondela had a probability of 26.44%.
The most likely scoreline for a Pacos de Ferreira win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.15%) and 2-1 (7.79%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.17%), while for a Tondela win it was 0-1 (11.13%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Pacos de Ferreira would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Pacos de Ferreira | Draw | Tondela |
| 43.6% | 29.96% | 26.44% |
| Both teams to score 39.76% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 33.27% | 66.73% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 14.92% | 85.08% |
| Pacos de Ferreira Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.37% | 30.63% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 33.13% | 66.87% |
| Tondela Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 57.32% | 42.68% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 20.98% | 79.02% |
| Score Analysis |
Pacos de Ferreira 43.6%
Tondela 26.44%
Draw 29.95%
| Pacos de Ferreira | Draw | Tondela |
| 1-0 @ 15.46% 2-0 @ 9.15% 2-1 @ 7.79% 3-0 @ 3.61% 3-1 @ 3.07% 3-2 @ 1.31% 4-0 @ 1.07% 4-1 @ 0.91% Other @ 1.23% Total : 43.6% | 1-1 @ 13.17% 0-0 @ 13.07% 2-2 @ 3.32% Other @ 0.4% Total : 29.95% | 0-1 @ 11.13% 1-2 @ 5.61% 0-2 @ 4.74% 1-3 @ 1.59% 0-3 @ 1.35% 2-3 @ 0.94% Other @ 1.09% Total : 26.44% |
How you voted: Pacos de Ferreira vs Tondela
Pacos de Ferreira
85.7%Draw
11.4%Tondela
2.9%35
Head to Head
Mar 5, 2017 11.45am
Pacos de Ferreira
0-0
Tondela
Gois (48'), Welthon (66'), Rocha (90')
Form Guide
