Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Pacos de Ferreira win with a probability of 39.56%. A win for Maritimo had a probability of 31.93% and a draw had a probability of 28.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Pacos de Ferreira win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.02%) and 0-2 (7.59%). The likeliest Maritimo win was 1-0 (10.95%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.25%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 3.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Pacos de Ferreira would win this match.
Result | ||
Maritimo | Draw | Pacos de Ferreira |
31.93% | 28.51% | 39.56% |
Both teams to score 45.76% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
39.48% | 60.51% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
19.37% | 80.63% |
Maritimo Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
65.22% | 34.78% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
28.48% | 71.52% |
Pacos de Ferreira Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
70.17% | 29.83% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
34.09% | 65.91% |
Score Analysis |
Maritimo | Draw | Pacos de Ferreira |
1-0 @ 10.95% 2-1 @ 7% 2-0 @ 5.79% 3-1 @ 2.46% 3-0 @ 2.04% 3-2 @ 1.49% Other @ 2.2% Total : 31.92% | 1-1 @ 13.25% 0-0 @ 10.37% 2-2 @ 4.23% Other @ 0.65% Total : 28.5% | 0-1 @ 12.55% 1-2 @ 8.02% 0-2 @ 7.59% 1-3 @ 3.23% 0-3 @ 3.06% 2-3 @ 1.71% 1-4 @ 0.98% 0-4 @ 0.93% Other @ 1.49% Total : 39.56% |
Team | P | W | D | L | PTS | |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 7 |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5 |
3 | ![]() | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 |
4 | ![]() | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 |
Team | P | W | D | L | PTS | |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6 |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5 |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 |
4 | ![]() | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 |