Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Sporting Lisbon win with a probability of 49.59%. A win for Vitoria de Guimaraes has a probability of 25.85% and a draw has a probability of 24.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sporting Lisbon win is 0-1 with a probability of 10.49%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-2 (9.53%) and 0-2 (8.58%). The likeliest Vitoria de Guimaraes win is 1-0 (7.13%), while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (11.65%).
Result | ||
Vitoria de Guimaraes | Draw | Sporting Lisbon |
25.85% ( -6.05) | 24.56% ( -1.14) | 49.59% ( 7.18) |
Both teams to score 54.01% ( -0.24) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
51.78% ( 1.49) | 48.22% ( -1.49) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
29.63% ( 1.35) | 70.37% ( -1.35) |
Vitoria de Guimaraes Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
67.08% ( -3.66) | 32.92% ( 3.66) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
30.5% ( -4.28) | 69.5% ( 4.28) |
Sporting Lisbon Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
80.52% ( 3.82) | 19.48% ( -3.82) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
48.66% ( 5.89) | 51.34% ( -5.89) |
Score Analysis |
Vitoria de Guimaraes | Draw | Sporting Lisbon |
1-0 @ 7.13% ( -1.25) 2-1 @ 6.48% ( -1.02) 2-0 @ 3.96% ( -1.19) 3-1 @ 2.4% ( -0.67) 3-2 @ 1.96% ( -0.28) 3-0 @ 1.47% ( -0.64) Other @ 2.47% Total : 25.85% | 1-1 @ 11.65% ( -0.55) 0-0 @ 6.41% ( -0.41) 2-2 @ 5.3% ( -0.17) 3-3 @ 1.07% ( -0.02) Other @ 0.13% Total : 24.56% | 0-1 @ 10.49% ( 0.56) 1-2 @ 9.53% ( 0.64) 0-2 @ 8.58% ( 1.35) 1-3 @ 5.2% ( 0.88) 0-3 @ 4.68% ( 1.17) 2-3 @ 2.89% ( 0.24) 1-4 @ 2.13% ( 0.55) 0-4 @ 1.91% ( 0.63) 2-4 @ 1.18% ( 0.22) Other @ 3% Total : 49.59% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Benfica | 15 | 12 | 2 | 1 | 37 | 8 | 29 | 38 |
2 | Sporting Lisbon | 15 | 12 | 1 | 2 | 43 | 10 | 33 | 37 |
3 | Porto | 15 | 12 | 1 | 2 | 36 | 9 | 27 | 37 |
4 | Braga | 15 | 8 | 4 | 3 | 27 | 16 | 11 | 28 |
5 | Santa ClaraSanta Clara | 15 | 9 | 0 | 6 | 16 | 15 | 1 | 27 |
6 | Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes | 15 | 6 | 5 | 4 | 20 | 16 | 4 | 23 |
7 | Casa Pia | 15 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 16 | 18 | -2 | 20 |
8 | MoreirenseMoreirense | 15 | 6 | 2 | 7 | 19 | 22 | -3 | 20 |
9 | FamalicaoFamalicao | 15 | 4 | 7 | 4 | 18 | 17 | 1 | 19 |
10 | Gil Vicente | 15 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 17 | 24 | -7 | 17 |
11 | Rio AveRio Ave | 15 | 4 | 4 | 7 | 15 | 26 | -11 | 16 |
12 | Estrela Amadora | 15 | 4 | 3 | 8 | 13 | 24 | -11 | 15 |
13 | Estoril PraiaEstoril | 15 | 3 | 5 | 7 | 12 | 24 | -12 | 14 |
14 | AVS | 15 | 2 | 7 | 6 | 11 | 22 | -11 | 13 |
15 | Nacional | 15 | 3 | 4 | 8 | 10 | 21 | -11 | 13 |
16 | BoavistaBoavista | 15 | 2 | 6 | 7 | 10 | 19 | -9 | 12 |
17 | SC FarenseFarense | 15 | 3 | 3 | 9 | 9 | 21 | -12 | 12 |
18 | AroucaArouca | 15 | 3 | 2 | 10 | 9 | 26 | -17 | 11 |
> Primeira Liga Full Table |