Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Sporting Lisbon win with a probability of 45.8%. A win for Benfica has a probability of 29.34% and a draw has a probability of 24.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sporting Lisbon win is 1-0 with a probability of 9.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-1 (9.27%) and 2-0 (7.64%). The likeliest Benfica win is 0-1 (7.44%), while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (11.74%).
Result | ||
Sporting Lisbon | Draw | Benfica |
45.8% ( 0.75) | 24.85% ( 0.42) | 29.34% ( -1.17) |
Both teams to score 55.77% ( -2.1) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
52.84% ( -2.45) | 47.16% ( 2.45) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
30.61% ( -2.32) | 69.39% ( 2.32) |
Sporting Lisbon Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
79.35% ( -0.67) | 20.64% ( 0.68) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
46.78% ( -1.07) | 53.21% ( 1.07) |
Benfica Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
70.28% ( -2.04) | 29.72% ( 2.04) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
34.22% ( -2.54) | 65.78% ( 2.54) |
Score Analysis |
Sporting Lisbon | Draw | Benfica |
1-0 @ 9.68% ( 0.77) 2-1 @ 9.27% ( 0.05) 2-0 @ 7.64% ( 0.46) 3-1 @ 4.87% ( -0.07) 3-0 @ 4.02% ( 0.16) 3-2 @ 2.96% ( -0.22) 4-1 @ 1.92% ( -0.07) 4-0 @ 1.58% ( 0.03) 4-2 @ 1.17% ( -0.11) Other @ 2.71% Total : 45.8% | 1-1 @ 11.74% ( 0.31) 0-0 @ 6.14% ( 0.61) 2-2 @ 5.62% ( -0.3) 3-3 @ 1.2% ( -0.16) Other @ 0.16% Total : 24.85% | 0-1 @ 7.44% ( 0.34) 1-2 @ 7.13% ( -0.22) 0-2 @ 4.52% ( -0.04) 1-3 @ 2.88% ( -0.26) 2-3 @ 2.27% ( -0.26) 0-3 @ 1.83% ( -0.13) Other @ 3.27% Total : 29.34% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Benfica | 15 | 12 | 2 | 1 | 37 | 8 | 29 | 38 |
2 | Sporting Lisbon | 15 | 12 | 1 | 2 | 43 | 10 | 33 | 37 |
3 | Porto | 15 | 12 | 1 | 2 | 36 | 9 | 27 | 37 |
4 | Braga | 15 | 8 | 4 | 3 | 27 | 16 | 11 | 28 |
5 | Santa ClaraSanta Clara | 15 | 9 | 0 | 6 | 16 | 15 | 1 | 27 |
6 | Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes | 15 | 6 | 5 | 4 | 20 | 16 | 4 | 23 |
7 | Casa Pia | 15 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 16 | 18 | -2 | 20 |
8 | MoreirenseMoreirense | 15 | 6 | 2 | 7 | 19 | 22 | -3 | 20 |
9 | FamalicaoFamalicao | 15 | 4 | 7 | 4 | 18 | 17 | 1 | 19 |
10 | Gil Vicente | 15 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 17 | 24 | -7 | 17 |
11 | Rio AveRio Ave | 15 | 4 | 4 | 7 | 15 | 26 | -11 | 16 |
12 | Estrela Amadora | 15 | 4 | 3 | 8 | 13 | 24 | -11 | 15 |
13 | Estoril PraiaEstoril | 15 | 3 | 5 | 7 | 12 | 24 | -12 | 14 |
14 | AVS | 15 | 2 | 7 | 6 | 11 | 22 | -11 | 13 |
15 | Nacional | 15 | 3 | 4 | 8 | 10 | 21 | -11 | 13 |
16 | BoavistaBoavista | 15 | 2 | 6 | 7 | 10 | 19 | -9 | 12 |
17 | SC FarenseFarense | 15 | 3 | 3 | 9 | 9 | 21 | -12 | 12 |
18 | AroucaArouca | 15 | 3 | 2 | 10 | 9 | 26 | -17 | 11 |
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