Primeira Liga | Gameweek 11

Nov 12, 2023 at 8.30pm UK

Estadio do Sport Lisboa e Benfica

Benfica
2 - 1
Sporting Lisbon

Neves (90+4'), Tengstedt (90+7')
Mario (66'), Neves (75')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Gyokeres (45')
Coates (15'), Inacio (22'), Edwards (57'), Hjulmand (69'), Neto (90+11')
Inacio (51')

Manchester United 'scouted Joao Neves against Sporting Lisbon'

Manchester United had scouts in attendance for Benfica's clash with Sporting Lisbon to watch midfielder Joao Neves, according to a report.

Nov 15, 17:31

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Primeira Liga clash between Benfica and Sporting Lisbon, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Benfica

All competitions

Primeira Liga

Last Game: Real Sociedad 3-1 Benfica
Wednesday, November 8 at 5.45pm in Champions League

Goals
for

Top scorers

Sporting Lisbon

All competitions

Primeira Liga

Last Game: Sporting Lisbon 2-1 Rakow
Thursday, November 9 at 8pm in Europa League

Goals
for

Top scorers

We said: Benfica 1-2 Sporting Lisbon

Benfica will have the opportunity to head into the international break in first place in the Primeira Liga with a win in this match; however, that will mean they need to hand Sporting their first league defeat of the season. The hosts will also have to contend with the short turnaround time, having travelled to Spain in midweek, while also dealing with a fairly lengthy injury list that features a few key players. Based on those reasons, the visitors may just have a slight advantage despite playing on enemy territory, and we feel they can pull off a narrow victory in this one. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sporting Lisbon win with a probability of 39.67%. A win for Benfica had a probability of 36.01% and a draw had a probability of 24.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sporting Lisbon win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.63%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.72%) and 0-2 (5.93%). The likeliest Benfica win was 2-1 (8.16%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.22%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.2% likelihood.

Result
Benfica	Draw	Sporting Lisbon
36.01% ( -1.15)	24.31% ( 0.14)	39.67% ( 1.01)

Both teams to score 60.17% (

-0.63)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

57.5% (

-0.78)

42.5% (

0.78)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

35.09% (

-0.78)

64.91% (

0.78)

Benfica Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

76.64% (

-0.96)

23.36% (

0.96)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

42.67% (

-1.41)

57.32% (

1.41)

Sporting Lisbon Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

78.51% (

0.15)

21.49% (

-0.15)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

45.46% (

0.23)

54.54% (

-0.23)

Score Analysis

Benfica 36.01%

Sporting Lisbon 39.67%

Draw 24.31%

Benfica	Draw	Sporting Lisbon
2-1 @ 8.16% ( -0.14) 1-0 @ 7.3% ( 0.05) 2-0 @ 5.31% ( -0.12) 3-1 @ 3.96% ( -0.18) 3-2 @ 3.04% ( -0.13) 3-0 @ 2.57% ( -0.13) 4-1 @ 1.44% ( -0.11) 4-2 @ 1.11% ( -0.08) 4-0 @ 0.94% ( -0.08) Other @ 2.19% Total : 36.01%	1-1 @ 11.22% ( 0.12) 2-2 @ 6.27% ( -0.08) 0-0 @ 5.02% ( 0.17) 3-3 @ 1.56% ( -0.06) Other @ 0.24% Total : 24.31%	1-2 @ 8.63% ( 0.13) 0-1 @ 7.72% ( 0.3) 0-2 @ 5.93% ( 0.26) 1-3 @ 4.42% ( 0.09) 2-3 @ 3.22% ( -0.03) 0-3 @ 3.04% ( 0.14) 1-4 @ 1.7% ( 0.04) 2-4 @ 1.24% ( -0.01) 0-4 @ 1.17% ( 0.06) Other @ 2.61% Total : 39.67%