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Benfica
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Braga
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Estoril
Estrela Amadora
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Gil Vicente logo
Moreirense
Nacional
Porto
Rio Ave
Farense logo
Santa Clara
Sporting Lisbon
Vitoria de Guimaraes
Benfica
Primeira Liga | Gameweek 11
Nov 12, 2023 at 8.30pm UK
Estadio do Sport Lisboa e Benfica
Sporting Lisbon

Benfica
2 - 1
Sporting Lisbon

Neves (90+4'), Tengstedt (90+7')
Mario (66'), Neves (75')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Gyokeres (45')
Coates (15'), Inacio (22'), Edwards (57'), Hjulmand (69'), Neto (90+11')
Inacio (51')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Primeira Liga clash between Benfica and Sporting Lisbon, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Benfica

All competitions
Primeira Liga
Last Game: Real Sociedad 3-1 Benfica
Wednesday, November 8 at 5.45pm in Champions League

Sporting Lisbon

All competitions
Primeira Liga
Last Game: Sporting Lisbon 2-1 Rakow
Thursday, November 9 at 8pm in Europa League

We said: Benfica 1-2 Sporting Lisbon

 Benfica will have the opportunity to head into the international break in first place in the Primeira Liga with a win in this match; however, that will mean they need to hand Sporting their first league defeat of the season. The hosts will also have to contend with the short turnaround time, having travelled to Spain in midweek, while also dealing with a fairly lengthy injury list that features a few key players. Based on those reasons, the visitors may just have a slight advantage despite playing on enemy territory, and we feel they can pull off a narrow victory in this one. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sporting Lisbon win with a probability of 39.67%. A win for Benfica had a probability of 36.01% and a draw had a probability of 24.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sporting Lisbon win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.63%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.72%) and 0-2 (5.93%). The likeliest Benfica win was 2-1 (8.16%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.22%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.2% likelihood.

Result
BenficaDrawSporting Lisbon
36.01% (-1.149 -1.15) 24.31% (0.142 0.14) 39.67% (1.006 1.01)
Both teams to score 60.17% (-0.635 -0.63)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
57.5% (-0.78100000000001 -0.78)42.5% (0.782 0.78)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
35.09% (-0.784 -0.78)64.91% (0.78399999999999 0.78)
Benfica Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.64% (-0.958 -0.96)23.36% (0.958 0.96)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.67% (-1.413 -1.41)57.32% (1.414 1.41)
Sporting Lisbon Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.51% (0.15100000000001 0.15)21.49% (-0.15 -0.15)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.46% (0.22900000000001 0.23)54.54% (-0.229 -0.23)
Score Analysis
    Benfica 36.01%
    Sporting Lisbon 39.67%
    Draw 24.31%
BenficaDrawSporting Lisbon
2-1 @ 8.16% (-0.142 -0.14)
1-0 @ 7.3% (0.048 0.05)
2-0 @ 5.31% (-0.117 -0.12)
3-1 @ 3.96% (-0.184 -0.18)
3-2 @ 3.04% (-0.127 -0.13)
3-0 @ 2.57% (-0.133 -0.13)
4-1 @ 1.44% (-0.11 -0.11)
4-2 @ 1.11% (-0.079 -0.08)
4-0 @ 0.94% (-0.076 -0.08)
Other @ 2.19%
Total : 36.01%
1-1 @ 11.22% (0.12 0.12)
2-2 @ 6.27% (-0.081 -0.08)
0-0 @ 5.02% (0.173 0.17)
3-3 @ 1.56% (-0.058 -0.06)
Other @ 0.24%
Total : 24.31%
1-2 @ 8.63% (0.133 0.13)
0-1 @ 7.72% (0.299 0.3)
0-2 @ 5.93% (0.255 0.26)
1-3 @ 4.42% (0.088 0.09)
2-3 @ 3.22% (-0.026 -0.03)
0-3 @ 3.04% (0.144 0.14)
1-4 @ 1.7% (0.042 0.04)
2-4 @ 1.24% (-0.0050000000000001 -0.01)
0-4 @ 1.17% (0.061 0.06)
Other @ 2.61%
Total : 39.67%

How you voted: Benfica vs Sporting Lisbon

Benfica
27.8%
Draw
22.2%
Sporting Lisbon
50.0%
36
Head to Head
May 21, 2023 8.30pm
Gameweek 33
Sporting Lisbon
2-2
Benfica
Trincao (39'), Diomande (44')
Diomande (48'), Coates (88')
Aursnes (71'), Neves (90+4')
Silva (40'), Chiquinho (80')
> Preview
Jan 15, 2023 6pm
Gameweek 16
Benfica
2-2
Sporting Lisbon
Ramos (37', 64')
Bah (27'), Goncalves (53' pen.)
> Preview
Apr 17, 2022 8.30pm
Gameweek 30
Sporting Lisbon
0-2
Benfica

Sarabia (13'), Paulinho (51')
Nunez (14'), Dias (90+2')
Everton (41'), Vertonghen (51'), Taarabt (75')
> Preview
Jan 29, 2022 7.45pm
Final
Benfica
1-2
Sporting Lisbon
Everton (23')
Vertonghen (53'), Everton (58'), Mario (90+2')
Inacio (49'), Sarabia (78')
Neto (31'), Paulinho (53'), Nunes (59'), Esgaio (77')
> Preview
Dec 3, 2021 9.15pm
Gameweek 13
Benfica
1-3
Sporting Lisbon
Pizzi (90+6')
Vertonghen (22'), Weigl (27'), Taarabt (89')
Sarabia (8'), Paulinho (62'), Nunes (68')
Feddal (1'), Paulinho (1'), Porro (20'), Sarabia (33'), Goncalves (45+3'), Esgaio (73')
> Preview
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Sporting Lisbon15121243103337
2Porto1512123692737
3Benfica1411213482635
4Braga1584327161128
5Santa ClaraSanta Clara159061615127
6Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes146441814422
7Casa Pia155551618-220
8MoreirenseMoreirense156271922-320
9FamalicaoFamalicao154741817119
10Gil Vicente154561724-717
11Rio AveRio Ave144461525-1016
12Estoril PraiaEstoril143561221-914
13AVS152761122-1113
14BoavistaBoavista152671019-912
15Nacional14338819-1112
16Estrela Amadora143381224-1212
17SC FarenseFarense15339921-1212
18AroucaArouca153210926-1711
> Primeira Liga Full Table


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