Primeira Liga | Gameweek 9

Oct 28, 2023 at 6pm UK

Estadio do Sport Lisboa e Benfica

Benfica
1 - 1
Casa Pia

Mario (44')
Luis (73')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Larrazabal (81')
Larrazabal (41'), Roberto (72')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Primeira Liga clash between Benfica and Casa Pia, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Benfica

All competitions

Primeira Liga

Last Game: Benfica 0-1 Real Sociedad
Tuesday, October 24 at 8pm in Champions League

Goals
for

Top scorers

Casa Pia

All competitions

Primeira Liga

Last Game: Rabo Peixe 0-2 Casa Pia
Saturday, October 21 at 4pm in Taca de Portugal

Goals
for

While Benfica have been underwhelming in Europe, they are currently firing on all cylinders domestically and will be looking to move to the top of the table this weekend. Schmidt's side have enjoyed the better of this fixture, and given the gulf in quality and depth between the two sides, we are backing them to come away with a comfortable victory in front of their home supporters. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Benfica win with a probability of 70.4%. A draw had a probability of 18.3% and a win for Casa Pia had a probability of 11.27%.

The most likely scoreline for a Benfica win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.83%) and 2-1 (9.48%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.71%), while for a Casa Pia win it was 0-1 (4.01%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood.

Result
Benfica	Draw	Casa Pia
70.4% ( 0.23)	18.33% ( -0.14)	11.27% ( -0.09)

Both teams to score 46.19% (

0.17)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

55.66% (

0.39)

44.33% (

-0.39)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

33.29% (

0.38)

66.71% (

-0.38)

Benfica Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

88.64% (

0.17)

11.36% (

-0.17)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

63.93% (

0.37)

36.07% (

-0.37)

Casa Pia Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

52.11% (

0.09)

47.89% (

-0.09)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

16.85% (

0.07)

83.15% (

-0.06)

Score Analysis

Benfica 70.39%

Casa Pia 11.27%

Draw 18.33%

Benfica	Draw	Casa Pia
2-0 @ 12.86% ( -0.04) 1-0 @ 11.83% ( -0.12) 2-1 @ 9.48% ( -0) 3-0 @ 9.33% ( 0.04) 3-1 @ 6.87% ( 0.04) 4-0 @ 5.07% ( 0.05) 4-1 @ 3.74% ( 0.05) 3-2 @ 2.53% ( 0.02) 5-0 @ 2.21% ( 0.04) 5-1 @ 1.63% ( 0.03) 4-2 @ 1.38% ( 0.02) Other @ 3.48% Total : 70.39%	1-1 @ 8.71% ( -0.06) 0-0 @ 5.44% ( -0.09) 2-2 @ 3.49% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.69% Total : 18.33%	0-1 @ 4.01% ( -0.06) 1-2 @ 3.21% ( -0.02) 0-2 @ 1.48% ( -0.02) Other @ 2.58% Total : 11.27%