Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Arouca 0-1 Casa Pia
Sunday, September 17 at 3.30pm in Primeira Liga
Sunday, September 17 at 3.30pm in Primeira Liga
Last Game: Guimaraes 1-2 Portimonense
Sunday, September 17 at 6pm in Primeira Liga
Sunday, September 17 at 6pm in Primeira Liga
We said: Casa Pia 1-1 Vitoria de Guimaraes
Having lost just one of their five league games this season, Casa Pia have proven to be a tough team to beat, and we think that they will do enough to take a point from Saturday's meeting with a Guimaraes side who are low on confidence following a three-game losing run. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Casa Pia win with a probability of 36.37%. A win for Vitoria de Guimaraes had a probability of 35.8% and a draw had a probability of 27.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Casa Pia win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.09%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.83%) and 2-0 (6.62%). The likeliest Vitoria de Guimaraes win was 0-1 (10.99%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.11%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.
| Result | ||
| Casa Pia | Draw | Vitoria de Guimaraes |
36.37% ( 0.15) | 27.83% ( 0.01) | 35.8% ( -0.16) |
| Both teams to score 48.31% ( -0.04) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
