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Boavista
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Casa Pia
Estoril
Estrela Amadora
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Moreirense
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Santa Clara
Sporting Lisbon
Vitoria de Guimaraes
Gil Vicente logo
Primeira Liga | Gameweek 34
May 27, 2023 at 12.45pm UK
Estádio Cidade de Barcelos
Casa Pia

Gil Vicente
1 - 0
Casa Pia

Navarro (63')
Gomes (54')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Kunimoto (84')
Soma (71')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Primeira Liga clash between Gil Vicente and Casa Pia, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Guimaraes 1-0 Gil Vicente
Sunday, May 21 at 3.30pm in Primeira Liga
Last Game: Casa Pia 2-2 Estoril
Sunday, May 21 at 6pm in Primeira Liga

We said: Gil Vicente 1-1 Casa Pia

Casa Pia's performances have improved in recent weeks, but they have been unable to see out victories, and we see that trend continuing with a draw at the Estadio Cidade de Barcelos on the final day. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gil Vicente win with a probability of 50.37%. A win for Casa Pia had a probability of 25.09% and a draw had a probability of 24.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Gil Vicente win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.57%) and 2-0 (8.82%). The likeliest Casa Pia win was 0-1 (7.1%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.65%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Gil Vicente in this match.

Result
Gil VicenteDrawCasa Pia
50.37% (-0.144 -0.14) 24.53% (0.026 0.03) 25.09% (0.113 0.11)
Both teams to score 53.37% (0.025000000000006 0.03)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
51.29% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)48.71% (0.012999999999998 0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.18% (-0.016999999999999 -0.02)70.82% (0.013000000000005 0.01)
Gil Vicente Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.64% (-0.067999999999998 -0.07)19.35% (0.062000000000001 0.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
48.86% (-0.106 -0.11)51.14% (0.102 0.1)
Casa Pia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.19% (0.084000000000003 0.08)33.81% (-0.089000000000006 -0.09)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.52% (0.091999999999999 0.09)70.47% (-0.096999999999994 -0.1)
Score Analysis
    Gil Vicente 50.36%
    Casa Pia 25.09%
    Draw 24.53%
Gil VicenteDrawCasa Pia
1-0 @ 10.74% (-0.02 -0.02)
2-1 @ 9.57% (-0.0089999999999986 -0.01)
2-0 @ 8.82% (-0.029999999999999 -0.03)
3-1 @ 5.24% (-0.015 -0.01)
3-0 @ 4.83% (-0.024999999999999 -0.02)
3-2 @ 2.84% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
4-1 @ 2.15% (-0.01 -0.01)
4-0 @ 1.98% (-0.015 -0.01)
4-2 @ 1.17% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Other @ 3.02%
Total : 50.36%
1-1 @ 11.65% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-0 @ 6.54% (0.0040000000000004 0)
2-2 @ 5.19% (0.008 0.01)
3-3 @ 1.03% (0.002 0)
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 24.53%
0-1 @ 7.1% (0.022 0.02)
1-2 @ 6.32% (0.022 0.02)
0-2 @ 3.85% (0.021 0.02)
1-3 @ 2.28% (0.013 0.01)
2-3 @ 1.88% (0.0079999999999998 0.01)
0-3 @ 1.39% (0.011 0.01)
Other @ 2.28%
Total : 25.09%

How you voted: Gil Vicente vs Casa Pia

Gil Vicente
71.4%
Draw
14.3%
Casa Pia
14.3%
7
Head to Head
Jan 22, 2023 6pm
gameweek 17
Casa Pia
1-3
Gil Vicente
Martins (46')
Baro (44'), Martins (81')
Navarro (50', 62'), Carvalho (54')
Kritsyuk (72')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Sporting Lisbon1111003953433
2Porto119022882027
3Benfica108112872125
4Santa ClaraSanta Clara117041412221
5Braga116231911820
6Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes115331211118
7FamalicaoFamalicao11452129317
8MoreirenseMoreirense115241514117
9Casa Pia113441014-413
10Rio AveRio Ave113351020-1012
11Gil Vicente112451419-510
12Estoril PraiaEstoril11245816-810
13AVS11245919-1010
14BoavistaBoavista11236715-89
15Estrela Amadora112361020-109
16Nacional10226615-98
17AroucaArouca11227619-138
18SC FarenseFarense11128518-135


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