Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gil Vicente win with a probability of 50.37%. A win for Casa Pia had a probability of 25.09% and a draw had a probability of 24.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Gil Vicente win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.57%) and 2-0 (8.82%). The likeliest Casa Pia win was 0-1 (7.1%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.65%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Gil Vicente in this match.
Result | ||
Gil Vicente | Draw | Casa Pia |
50.37% ( -0.14) | 24.53% ( 0.03) | 25.09% ( 0.11) |
Both teams to score 53.37% ( 0.03) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
51.29% ( -0.02) | 48.71% ( 0.01) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
29.18% ( -0.02) | 70.82% ( 0.01) |
Gil Vicente Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
80.64% ( -0.07) | 19.35% ( 0.06) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
48.86% ( -0.11) | 51.14% ( 0.1) |
Casa Pia Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
66.19% ( 0.08) | 33.81% ( -0.09) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
29.52% ( 0.09) | 70.47% ( -0.1) |
Score Analysis |
Gil Vicente | Draw | Casa Pia |
1-0 @ 10.74% ( -0.02) 2-1 @ 9.57% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 8.82% ( -0.03) 3-1 @ 5.24% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 4.83% ( -0.02) 3-2 @ 2.84% ( -0) 4-1 @ 2.15% ( -0.01) 4-0 @ 1.98% ( -0.01) 4-2 @ 1.17% ( -0) Other @ 3.02% Total : 50.36% | 1-1 @ 11.65% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 6.54% ( 0) 2-2 @ 5.19% ( 0.01) 3-3 @ 1.03% ( 0) Other @ 0.12% Total : 24.53% | 0-1 @ 7.1% ( 0.02) 1-2 @ 6.32% ( 0.02) 0-2 @ 3.85% ( 0.02) 1-3 @ 2.28% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 1.88% ( 0.01) 0-3 @ 1.39% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.28% Total : 25.09% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Sporting Lisbon | 11 | 11 | 0 | 0 | 39 | 5 | 34 | 33 |
2 | Porto | 11 | 9 | 0 | 2 | 28 | 8 | 20 | 27 |
3 | Benfica | 10 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 28 | 7 | 21 | 25 |
4 | Santa ClaraSanta Clara | 11 | 7 | 0 | 4 | 14 | 12 | 2 | 21 |
5 | Braga | 11 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 19 | 11 | 8 | 20 |
6 | Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 12 | 11 | 1 | 18 |
7 | FamalicaoFamalicao | 11 | 4 | 5 | 2 | 12 | 9 | 3 | 17 |
8 | MoreirenseMoreirense | 11 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 15 | 14 | 1 | 17 |
9 | Casa Pia | 11 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 10 | 14 | -4 | 13 |
10 | Rio AveRio Ave | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 10 | 20 | -10 | 12 |
11 | Gil Vicente | 11 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 14 | 19 | -5 | 10 |
12 | Estoril PraiaEstoril | 11 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 8 | 16 | -8 | 10 |
13 | AVS | 11 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 9 | 19 | -10 | 10 |
14 | BoavistaBoavista | 11 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 7 | 15 | -8 | 9 |
15 | Estrela Amadora | 11 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 10 | 20 | -10 | 9 |
16 | Nacional | 10 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 6 | 15 | -9 | 8 |
17 | AroucaArouca | 11 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 6 | 19 | -13 | 8 |
18 | SC FarenseFarense | 11 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 5 | 18 | -13 | 5 |
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