Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Braga win with a probability of 65.28%. A draw had a probability of 20.1% and a win for Gil Vicente had a probability of 14.61%.
The most likely scoreline for a Braga win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.51%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.2%) and 2-1 (9.83%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.56%), while for a Gil Vicente win it was 0-1 (4.65%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Braga would win this match.
Result | ||
Braga | Draw | Gil Vicente |
65.28% (![]() | 20.12% (![]() | 14.61% (![]() |
Both teams to score 50.07% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
55.64% (![]() | 44.36% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
33.26% (![]() | 66.73% (![]() |
Braga Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
87.21% (![]() | 12.79% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
60.91% (![]() | 39.09% (![]() |
Gil Vicente Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
57.41% (![]() | 42.59% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
21.05% (![]() | 78.94% (![]() |
Score Analysis |
Braga | Draw | Gil Vicente |
2-0 @ 11.51% (![]() 1-0 @ 11.2% ( ![]() 2-1 @ 9.83% ( ![]() 3-0 @ 7.9% ( ![]() 3-1 @ 6.74% ( ![]() 4-0 @ 4.06% ( ![]() 4-1 @ 3.47% ( ![]() 3-2 @ 2.88% ( ![]() 5-0 @ 1.67% ( ![]() 4-2 @ 1.48% ( ![]() 5-1 @ 1.43% ( ![]() Other @ 3.11% Total : 65.27% | 1-1 @ 9.56% (![]() 0-0 @ 5.45% ( ![]() 2-2 @ 4.2% ( ![]() Other @ 0.91% Total : 20.12% | 0-1 @ 4.65% (![]() 1-2 @ 4.08% ( ![]() 0-2 @ 1.98% ( ![]() 2-3 @ 1.19% ( ![]() 1-3 @ 1.16% ( ![]() Other @ 1.54% Total : 14.61% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Sporting Lisbon | 22 | 16 | 4 | 2 | 59 | 18 | 41 | 52 |
2 | Benfica | 22 | 16 | 2 | 4 | 50 | 18 | 32 | 50 |
3 | Porto | 22 | 14 | 4 | 4 | 46 | 18 | 28 | 46 |
4 | Braga | 21 | 13 | 4 | 4 | 38 | 20 | 18 | 43 |
5 | Santa ClaraSanta Clara | 22 | 12 | 2 | 8 | 25 | 23 | 2 | 38 |
6 | Casa Pia | 22 | 9 | 6 | 7 | 29 | 28 | 1 | 33 |
7 | Estoril PraiaEstoril | 22 | 8 | 7 | 7 | 28 | 34 | -6 | 31 |
8 | Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes | 21 | 7 | 9 | 5 | 30 | 25 | 5 | 30 |
9 | MoreirenseMoreirense | 22 | 7 | 5 | 10 | 28 | 33 | -5 | 26 |
10 | Rio AveRio Ave | 22 | 6 | 8 | 8 | 24 | 36 | -12 | 26 |
11 | FamalicaoFamalicao | 21 | 5 | 10 | 6 | 22 | 24 | -2 | 25 |
12 | AroucaArouca | 22 | 6 | 6 | 10 | 21 | 34 | -13 | 24 |
13 | Nacional | 22 | 6 | 5 | 11 | 21 | 30 | -9 | 23 |
14 | Gil Vicente | 21 | 5 | 7 | 9 | 23 | 32 | -9 | 22 |
15 | Estrela Amadora | 22 | 5 | 5 | 12 | 19 | 34 | -15 | 20 |
16 | AVS | 22 | 3 | 10 | 9 | 17 | 32 | -15 | 19 |
17 | SC FarenseFarense | 22 | 3 | 6 | 13 | 13 | 31 | -18 | 15 |
18 | BoavistaBoavista | 22 | 2 | 6 | 14 | 14 | 37 | -23 | 12 |
> Primeira Liga Full Table |