Primeira Liga | Gameweek 28

Apr 16, 2023 at 6pm UK

Estádio Municipal de Braga

Braga
1 - 0
Gil Vicente

Horta (30')
Elmusrati (18'), Magalhaes (88'), Jorge (90+4')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Carvalho (90+6')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Primeira Liga clash between Braga and Gil Vicente, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Braga

All competitions

Primeira Liga

Last Game: Nacional 0-5 Braga
Wednesday, April 12 at 7.30pm in Taca de Portugal

Goals
for

Top scorers

Gil Vicente

All competitions

Last Game: Gil Vicente 0-0 Chaves
Monday, April 10 at 8.15pm in Primeira Liga

Goals
for

We said: Braga 2-0 Gil Vicente

While Gil Vicente have run out of steam in recent weeks, Braga are currently firing on all cylinders and will be looking to return to the automatic Champions League spot. Jorge's side are unbeaten at home post-World Cup and we are tipping them to claim a comfortable win on Sunday. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Braga win with a probability of 65.28%. A draw had a probability of 20.1% and a win for Gil Vicente had a probability of 14.61%.

The most likely scoreline for a Braga win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.51%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.2%) and 2-1 (9.83%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.56%), while for a Gil Vicente win it was 0-1 (4.65%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Braga would win this match.

Result
Braga	Draw	Gil Vicente
65.28% ( 0.58)	20.12% ( 0.05)	14.61% ( -0.62)

Both teams to score 50.07% (

-1.7)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

55.64% (

-1.47)

44.36% (

1.47)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

33.26% (

-1.45)

66.73% (

1.44)

Braga Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

87.21% (

-0.28)

12.79% (

0.28)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

60.91% (

-0.58)

39.09% (

0.58)

Gil Vicente Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

57.41% (

-1.76)

42.59% (

1.76)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

21.05% (

-1.54)

78.94% (

1.54)

Score Analysis

Braga 65.27%

Gil Vicente 14.61%

Draw 20.12%

Braga	Draw	Gil Vicente
2-0 @ 11.51% ( 0.48) 1-0 @ 11.2% ( 0.59) 2-1 @ 9.83% ( -0.05) 3-0 @ 7.9% ( 0.25) 3-1 @ 6.74% ( -0.11) 4-0 @ 4.06% ( 0.09) 4-1 @ 3.47% ( -0.09) 3-2 @ 2.88% ( -0.19) 5-0 @ 1.67% ( 0.02) 4-2 @ 1.48% ( -0.12) 5-1 @ 1.43% ( -0.05) Other @ 3.11% Total : 65.27%	1-1 @ 9.56% ( 0.05) 0-0 @ 5.45% ( 0.34) 2-2 @ 4.2% ( -0.23) Other @ 0.91% Total : 20.12%	0-1 @ 4.65% ( 0.07) 1-2 @ 4.08% ( -0.18) 0-2 @ 1.98% ( -0.06) 2-3 @ 1.19% ( -0.13) 1-3 @ 1.16% ( -0.11) Other @ 1.54% Total : 14.61%