Primeira Liga | Gameweek 24

Mar 11, 2023 at 8.30pm UK

Estadio do Futebol Clube de Vizela

Vizela
0 - 4
Braga

Pereira (83'), Ortiz (85')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Elmusrati (43'), Medeiros (49', 65'), Horta (75')
Elmusrati (81'), Djalo (83')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Primeira Liga clash between Vizela and Braga, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Vizela

All competitions

Last Game: Estoril 0-3 Vizela
Saturday, March 4 at 3.30pm in Primeira Liga

Goals
for

Top scorers

Braga

All competitions

Primeira Liga

Last Game: Braga 2-0 Rio Ave
Sunday, March 5 at 8.30pm in Primeira Liga

Goals
for

Top scorers

Buoyed by last week's victory over Estoril Praia, Vizela will head into the weekend with sky-high confidence and will be looking to build on that result. However, they take on a Braga side who have enjoyed a solid campaign and are pushing for a return to the Champions League. Given the gulf in quality and experience between the two sides, we are backing Braga to come away with all three points in this one. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Braga win with a probability of 43.34%. A win for Vizela had a probability of 31.01% and a draw had a probability of 25.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Braga win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.08%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.98%) and 0-2 (7.44%). The likeliest Vizela win was 1-0 (8.26%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.18%). The actual scoreline of 0-4 was predicted with a 1.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Braga would win this match.

Result
Vizela	Draw	Braga
31.01% ( -0.01)	25.65% ( 0.02)	43.34% ( -0.02)

Both teams to score 54.07% (

-0.07)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

50.21% (

-0.09)

49.79% (

0.09)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

28.2% (

-0.08)

71.79% (

0.08)

Vizela Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

70.1% (

-0.05)

29.9% (

0.05)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

34% (

-0.06)

66% (

0.06)

Braga Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

77.12% (

-0.05)

22.88% (

0.04)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

43.38% (

-0.07)

56.62% (

0.06)

Score Analysis

Vizela 31.01%

Braga 43.34%

Draw 25.64%

Vizela	Draw	Braga
1-0 @ 8.26% ( 0.02) 2-1 @ 7.35% ( -0) 2-0 @ 4.99% ( 0) 3-1 @ 2.96% ( -0) 3-2 @ 2.18% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 2.01% ( -0) Other @ 3.26% Total : 31.01%	1-1 @ 12.18% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 6.84% ( 0.03) 2-2 @ 5.42% ( -0.01) 3-3 @ 1.07% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.13% Total : 25.64%	0-1 @ 10.08% ( 0.02) 1-2 @ 8.98% ( -0) 0-2 @ 7.44% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 4.42% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 3.66% ( -0) 2-3 @ 2.67% ( -0.01) 1-4 @ 1.63% ( -0) 0-4 @ 1.35% ( -0) 2-4 @ 0.98% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.13% Total : 43.34%