Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sporting Lisbon win with a probability of 47.51%. A win for Braga had a probability of 27.55% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sporting Lisbon win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.31%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.38%) and 2-0 (8.18%). The likeliest Braga win was 0-1 (7.46%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.83%). The actual scoreline of 5-0 was predicted with a 0.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Sporting Lisbon would win this match.
Result | ||
Sporting Lisbon | Draw | Braga |
47.51% ( -0.09) | 24.94% ( -0.02) | 27.55% ( 0.12) |
Both teams to score 54.25% ( 0.15) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
51.42% ( 0.16) | 48.58% ( -0.16) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
29.29% ( 0.15) | 70.7% ( -0.15) |
Sporting Lisbon Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
79.51% ( 0.02) | 20.49% ( -0.02) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
47.03% ( 0.04) | 52.97% ( -0.04) |
Braga Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
68.23% ( 0.17) | 31.77% ( -0.17) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
31.8% ( 0.19) | 68.2% ( -0.19) |
Score Analysis |
Sporting Lisbon | Draw | Braga |
1-0 @ 10.31% ( -0.06) 2-1 @ 9.38% ( -0) 2-0 @ 8.18% ( -0.04) 3-1 @ 4.96% ( 0) 3-0 @ 4.32% ( -0.02) 3-2 @ 2.84% ( 0.02) 4-1 @ 1.97% ( 0) 4-0 @ 1.71% ( -0.01) 4-2 @ 1.13% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.71% Total : 47.5% | 1-1 @ 11.83% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 6.51% ( -0.04) 2-2 @ 5.38% ( 0.02) 3-3 @ 1.09% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.13% Total : 24.93% | 0-1 @ 7.46% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 6.78% ( 0.02) 0-2 @ 4.28% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 2.59% ( 0.02) 2-3 @ 2.06% ( 0.02) 0-3 @ 1.64% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.74% Total : 27.55% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Sporting Lisbon | 10 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 35 | 3 | 32 | 30 |
2 | Porto | 10 | 9 | 0 | 1 | 27 | 4 | 23 | 27 |
3 | Benfica | 9 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 24 | 6 | 18 | 22 |
4 | Braga | 10 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 17 | 7 | 10 | 20 |
5 | Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes | 10 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 12 | 10 | 2 | 18 |
6 | Santa ClaraSanta Clara | 10 | 6 | 0 | 4 | 13 | 12 | 1 | 18 |
7 | FamalicaoFamalicao | 10 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 12 | 9 | 3 | 16 |
8 | MoreirenseMoreirense | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 12 | 12 | 0 | 14 |
9 | Casa Pia | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 9 | 13 | -4 | 12 |
10 | Gil Vicente | 10 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 12 | 16 | -4 | 10 |
11 | BoavistaBoavista | 10 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 7 | 13 | -6 | 9 |
12 | Estoril PraiaEstoril | 10 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 8 | 16 | -8 | 9 |
13 | AVS | 10 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 9 | 19 | -10 | 9 |
14 | Rio AveRio Ave | 10 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 8 | 20 | -12 | 9 |
15 | Nacional | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 6 | 13 | -7 | 8 |
16 | AroucaArouca | 10 | 2 | 1 | 7 | 6 | 19 | -13 | 7 |
17 | Estrela Amadora | 10 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 8 | 20 | -12 | 6 |
18 | SC FarenseFarense | 10 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 4 | 17 | -13 | 4 |
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