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Santa Clara
Sporting Lisbon
Vitoria de Guimaraes
Sporting Lisbon
Primeira Liga | Gameweek 18
Feb 1, 2023 at 9.15pm UK
Estádio José Alvalade
Braga

Sporting Lisbon
5 - 0
Braga

Morita (9', 46'), Edwards (61'), Reis (86'), Goncalves (90+3' pen.)
Coates (77'), Coates (76')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Niakate (31')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Primeira Liga clash between Sporting Lisbon and Braga, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Sporting Lisbon

All competitions
Primeira Liga
Last Game: Sporting Lisbon 0-2 Porto
Saturday, January 28 at 7.45pm in Taca da Liga

Braga

All competitions
Primeira Liga
Last Game: Pacos de Ferreira 1-2 Braga
Saturday, January 21 at 3.30pm in Primeira Liga

We said: Sporting Lisbon 1-1 Braga

 With both sides looking to strengthen their positions in the upper echelons of the table and their stakes for a place in the Champions League, we anticipate a thrilling contest at the Estadio Jose Alvalade. Sporting Lisbon have won each of their last six home games in the league, but we are backing Jorge's side to end this run and leave with a share of the spoils. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sporting Lisbon win with a probability of 47.51%. A win for Braga had a probability of 27.55% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sporting Lisbon win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.31%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.38%) and 2-0 (8.18%). The likeliest Braga win was 0-1 (7.46%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.83%). The actual scoreline of 5-0 was predicted with a 0.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Sporting Lisbon would win this match.

Result
Sporting LisbonDrawBraga
47.51% (-0.094000000000001 -0.09) 24.94% (-0.021999999999998 -0.02) 27.55% (0.117 0.12)
Both teams to score 54.25% (0.152 0.15)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
51.42% (0.162 0.16)48.58% (-0.162 -0.16)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.29% (0.145 0.15)70.7% (-0.14500000000001 -0.15)
Sporting Lisbon Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.51% (0.024000000000001 0.02)20.49% (-0.024000000000001 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
47.03% (0.038000000000004 0.04)52.97% (-0.037999999999997 -0.04)
Braga Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.23% (0.17399999999999 0.17)31.77% (-0.173 -0.17)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.8% (0.194 0.19)68.2% (-0.19499999999999 -0.19)
Score Analysis
    Sporting Lisbon 47.5%
    Braga 27.55%
    Draw 24.93%
Sporting LisbonDrawBraga
1-0 @ 10.31% (-0.059999999999999 -0.06)
2-1 @ 9.38% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
2-0 @ 8.18% (-0.042 -0.04)
3-1 @ 4.96% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-0 @ 4.32% (-0.018 -0.02)
3-2 @ 2.84% (0.015 0.02)
4-1 @ 1.97% (0.0030000000000001 0)
4-0 @ 1.71% (-0.006 -0.01)
4-2 @ 1.13% (0.0059999999999998 0.01)
Other @ 2.71%
Total : 47.5%
1-1 @ 11.83% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-0 @ 6.51% (-0.044 -0.04)
2-2 @ 5.38% (0.024 0.02)
3-3 @ 1.09% (0.01 0.01)
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 24.93%
0-1 @ 7.46% (-0.014 -0.01)
1-2 @ 6.78% (0.024999999999999 0.02)
0-2 @ 4.28% (0.012 0.01)
1-3 @ 2.59% (0.022 0.02)
2-3 @ 2.06% (0.019 0.02)
0-3 @ 1.64% (0.013 0.01)
Other @ 2.74%
Total : 27.55%

How you voted: Sporting Lisbon vs Braga

Sporting Lisbon
53.8%
Draw
23.1%
Braga
23.1%
65
Head to Head
Dec 19, 2022 8.15pm
Quarter-Finals
Sporting Lisbon
5-0
Braga
Inacio (4'), Paulinho (7'), Goncalves (20' pen.), Trincao (41'), Edwards (45+4' pen.)

Silva (3')
Aug 7, 2022 6pm
Braga
3-3
Sporting Lisbon
Banza (14'), Niakate (45+1'), Ruiz (88')
Niakate (22'), Elmusrati (24')
Goncalves (9'), Santos (18'), Edwards (83')
Nunes (68'), Goncalves (74')
Jan 22, 2022 8.30pm
Sporting Lisbon
1-2
Braga
Goncalves (24')
Sarabia (45'), Coates (51'), Nunes (90+1')
Galeno (52' pen.), Gorby (90+7')
Castro (57'), Ruiz (90+2'), Hornicek (90+7'), Magalhaes (90+9')
Aug 14, 2021 8.30pm
Braga
1-2
Sporting Lisbon
Ruiz (90+2')
Silva (22'), Fransergio (37'), Galeno (69')
Cabral (40'), Goncalves (50')
Coates (57'), Reis (70'), Adan (90+4')
Reis (80')
Jul 31, 2021 8.45pm
Final
Sporting Lisbon
2-1
Braga
Cabral (29'), Goncalves (43')
Palhinha (17'), Goncalves (44'), Nunes (49')
Fransergio (20')
Fransergio (45+2'), Tormena (62'), Sequeira (87'), Novais (90+1')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Sporting Lisbon77002522321
2Porto6501123915
3Benfica6411124813
4Santa ClaraSanta Clara6402108212
5Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes640265112
6FamalicaoFamalicao632183511
7Braga632184411
8MoreirenseMoreirense622289-18
9Gil Vicente614167-17
10Casa Pia621358-37
11Rio AveRio Ave621358-37
12AVS6213610-47
13AroucaArouca620438-56
14Estoril PraiaEstoril7133410-66
15BoavistaBoavista612337-45
16Nacional6114412-84
17Estrela Amadora602439-62
18SC FarenseFarense6006213-110
> Primeira Liga Full Table


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