Primeira Liga | Gameweek 17
Jan 21, 2023 at 3.30pm UK
Estádio da Capital do Móvel
Pacos de Ferreira1 - 2Braga
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Rio Ave 0-1 Pacos de Ferreira
Saturday, January 14 at 6pm in Primeira Liga
Saturday, January 14 at 6pm in Primeira Liga
Last Game: Braga 1-0 Boavista
Saturday, January 14 at 8.30pm in Primeira Liga
Saturday, January 14 at 8.30pm in Primeira Liga
We said: Pacos de Ferreira 1-3 Braga
In the presence of UEFA-designated tournaments since 2004-05, we predict that Braga will continue their aspirations of not only once gracing both domestic and continental engagements but keep their dream of winning their first-ever Primeira Liga title alive. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Braga win with a probability of 58.17%. A draw had a probability of 22.4% and a win for Pacos de Ferreira had a probability of 19.47%.
The most likely scoreline for a Braga win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.09%) and 1-2 (9.91%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.6%), while for a Pacos de Ferreira win it was 1-0 (5.67%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Braga would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Pacos de Ferreira | Draw | Braga |
19.47% ( -0.05) | 22.35% ( -0) | 58.17% ( 0.05) |
| Both teams to score 52.91% ( -0.07) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 54.29% ( -0.06) | 45.71% ( 0.06) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 31.97% ( -0.05) | 68.03% ( 0.05) |
| Pacos de Ferreira Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 62.55% ( -0.08) | 37.45% ( 0.08) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 25.77% ( -0.08) | 74.23% ( 0.08) |
| Braga Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 84.59% ( -0) | 15.41% ( 0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 55.77% ( -0.01) | 44.23% ( 0.01) |
| Score Analysis |
Pacos de Ferreira 19.47%
Braga 58.17%
Draw 22.35%
| Pacos de Ferreira | Draw | Braga |
| 1-0 @ 5.67% ( 0) 2-1 @ 5.21% ( -0.01)2-0 @ 2.78% ( -0.01)3-1 @ 1.7% ( -0.01)3-2 @ 1.59% ( -0.01)3-0 @ 0.91% ( -0)Other @ 1.6% Total : 19.47% | 1-1 @ 10.6% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 5.77% ( 0.01)2-2 @ 4.87% ( -0.01)3-3 @ 0.99% ( -0)Other @ 0.12% Total : 22.35% | 0-1 @ 10.79% ( 0.03) 0-2 @ 10.09% ( 0.02)1-2 @ 9.91% ( -0)0-3 @ 6.29% ( 0.01)1-3 @ 6.18% ( -0)2-3 @ 3.04% ( -0.01)0-4 @ 2.94% ( 0.01)1-4 @ 2.89% ( -0)2-4 @ 1.42% ( -0)0-5 @ 1.1% ( 0)1-5 @ 1.08% Other @ 2.44% Total : 58.17% |
How you voted: Pacos de Ferreira vs Braga
Pacos de Ferreira
5.6%Draw
2.8%Braga
91.7%36
Form Guide
