Primeira Liga | Gameweek 13

Nov 13, 2022 at 6pm UK

Estádio Municipal de Portimão

Portimonense
1 - 2
Braga

Ouattara (40')
Cariello (44'), Nakamura (87')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Medeiros (65' pen.), Oliveira (83')
Oliveira (76'), Djalo (87'), Tormena (90+9')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Primeira Liga clash between Portimonense and Braga, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Portimonense

All competitions

Last Game: Gil Vicente 1-2 Portimonense
Friday, November 4 at 8.15pm in Primeira Liga

Goals
for

Braga

All competitions

Primeira Liga

Last Game: Braga 2-1 Moreirense
Thursday, November 10 at 7.45pm in Taca de Portugal

Goals
for

Top scorers

We said: Portimonense 1-3 Braga

Buoyed by their victory over Gil Vicente, Portimonense will head into the weekend with renewed belief as they look to put together a fine run of form. However, Braga boasts the firepower needed to get the job done and we are backing them to extend their dominance in the history of this fixture. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Braga win with a probability of 50.16%. A win for Portimonense had a probability of 24.95% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Braga win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.21%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.51%) and 0-2 (9.01%). The likeliest Portimonense win was 1-0 (7.37%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.83%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Braga would win this match.

Result
Portimonense	Draw	Braga
24.95% ( 0.05)	24.89% ( 0.03)	50.16% ( -0.07)

Both teams to score 52.12% (

-0.04)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

49.7% (

-0.08)

50.29% (

0.08)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

27.75% (

-0.07)

72.24% (

0.07)

Portimonense Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

65.2% (

-0)

34.79% (

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

28.47% (

-0)

71.52% (

Braga Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

79.94% (

-0.06)

20.06% (

0.06)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

47.71% (

-0.1)

52.29% (

0.1)

Score Analysis

Portimonense 24.95%

Braga 50.16%

Draw 24.88%

Portimonense	Draw	Braga
1-0 @ 7.37% ( 0.02) 2-1 @ 6.25% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 3.89% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 2.2% ( 0) 3-2 @ 1.77% ( -0) 3-0 @ 1.37% ( 0) Other @ 2.1% Total : 24.95%	1-1 @ 11.83% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 6.98% ( 0.02) 2-2 @ 5.02% ( -0) 3-3 @ 0.95% ( -0) Other @ 0.11% Total : 24.88%	0-1 @ 11.21% ( 0.02) 1-2 @ 9.51% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 9.01% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 5.09% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 4.82% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 2.69% ( -0.01) 1-4 @ 2.05% ( -0.01) 0-4 @ 1.94% ( -0.01) 2-4 @ 1.08% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.77% Total : 50.16%