Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Braga win with a probability of 65.46%. A draw had a probability of 20.4% and a win for Chaves had a probability of 14.11%.
The most likely scoreline for a Braga win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (12.09%) and 2-1 (9.74%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.71%), while for a Chaves win it was 0-1 (4.85%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 4.8% likelihood.