Europa League

Europa League | Group Stage

Sep 8, 2022 at 5.45pm UK

Eleda Stadion (Malmö)

Malmo
0 - 2
Braga

Rakip (12'), Olsson (78'), Buya Turay (80'), Moisander (84'), Knudsen (90+6')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Rodrigues (30'), Horta (70' pen.)
Oliveira (57'), Sequeira (85')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Europa League clash between Malmo and Braga, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Braga

Last Six:

Last Game: Braga 1-0 Guimaraes
Saturday, September 3 at 3.30pm in Primeira Liga

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Benfica	5	10	15
2	Braga	5	15	13
3	Porto	5	8	12

Despite their poor domestic campaign, Malmo will be motivated to make an impact on the continent in a game which they will regard as winnable. However, Braga are scoring too many goals right now, and we feel that the visitors should run out comfortable victors. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Braga win with a probability of 50.69%. A win for Malmo had a probability of 24.95% and a draw had a probability of 24.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Braga win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.6%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.6%) and 0-2 (8.81%). The likeliest Malmo win was 1-0 (6.96%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.56%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Braga would win this match.

Result
Malmo	Draw	Braga
24.95% ( 0.02)	24.36% ( 0.04)	50.69% ( -0.05)

Both teams to score 53.79% (

-0.11)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

51.9% (

-0.15)

48.1% (

0.15)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

29.74% (

-0.14)

70.26% (

0.14)

Malmo Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

66.39% (

-0.07)

33.61% (

0.07)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

29.75% (

-0.07)

70.25% (

0.07)

Braga Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

81.01% (

-0.08)

18.99% (

0.08)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

49.46% (

-0.13)

50.53% (

0.13)

Score Analysis

Malmo 24.95%

Braga 50.69%

Draw 24.36%

Malmo	Draw	Braga
1-0 @ 6.96% ( 0.03) 2-1 @ 6.3% 2-0 @ 3.79% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 2.29% ( -0) 3-2 @ 1.9% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 1.38% ( 0) Other @ 2.32% Total : 24.95%	1-1 @ 11.56% ( 0.03) 0-0 @ 6.38% ( 0.04) 2-2 @ 5.24% ( -0.01) 3-3 @ 1.05% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.13% Total : 24.36%	0-1 @ 10.6% ( 0.04) 1-2 @ 9.6% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 8.81% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 5.32% ( -0.02) 0-3 @ 4.88% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 2.9% ( -0.01) 1-4 @ 2.21% ( -0.01) 0-4 @ 2.03% ( -0.01) 2-4 @ 1.2% ( -0.01) Other @ 3.15% Total : 50.69%