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AZ Alkmaar
Ajax
FC Twente logo
FC Utrecht
Feyenoord
Fortuna Sittard
Go Ahead Eagles
Groningen
Heerenveen
Heracles Almelo
NAC Breda
NEC
PEC Zwolle
PSV
Waalwijk logo
Sparta Rotterdam logo
Willem II
Willem II
Eredivisie | Gameweek 13
Nov 24, 2024 at 1.30pm UK
Koning Willem II Stadion
NAC Breda

Willem II
2 - 2
NAC Breda

Bosch (61'), Bokila (90+8' pen.)
Vaesen (62'), Tirpan (66'), Bokila (89'), Nizet (90+9')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Sauer (31'), Greiml (53')
Van den Bergh (90+1'), Hoefkens (90+5'), Leemans (90+9')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Eredivisie clash between Willem II and NAC Breda, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: AZ 1-2 Willem II
Sunday, November 10 at 3.45pm in Eredivisie
Last Game: NAC Breda 0-3 PSV
Saturday, November 9 at 7pm in Eredivisie

We said: Willem II 1-0 NAC Breda

Despite beating Willem II on their last two visits to Tilburg, NAC's wretched road results since regaining promotion — one win, five defeats — leave much to be desired. However, the hosts have not fared better on their turf, winning twice in six matches in front of their supporters. Although the spoils could be shared in Sunday's game, the home side will back themselves to nick a marginal win for a third victory in front of their fans in 2024-25. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Willem II win with a probability of 42.27%. A win for NAC Breda had a probability of 32.33% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Willem II win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.51%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.91%) and 2-0 (7.05%). The likeliest NAC Breda win was 0-1 (8.11%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.02%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.6% likelihood.

Result
Willem IIDrawNAC Breda
42.27% (0.267 0.27) 25.39% (0.077999999999999 0.08) 32.33% (-0.34 -0.34)
Both teams to score 55.44% (-0.377 -0.38)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
51.75% (-0.437 -0.44)48.25% (0.444 0.44)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.6% (-0.4 -0.4)70.4% (0.40600000000001 0.41)
Willem II Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.28% (-0.057999999999993 -0.06)22.72% (0.064 0.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.61% (-0.092000000000006 -0.09)56.4% (0.098000000000006 0.1)
NAC Breda Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.75% (-0.43000000000001 -0.43)28.25% (0.436 0.44)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.04% (-0.548 -0.55)63.96% (0.555 0.56)
Score Analysis
    Willem II 42.28%
    NAC Breda 32.33%
    Draw 25.39%
Willem IIDrawNAC Breda
1-0 @ 9.51% (0.156 0.16)
2-1 @ 8.91% (0.021000000000001 0.02)
2-0 @ 7.05% (0.102 0.1)
3-1 @ 4.4% (0.0020000000000007 0)
3-0 @ 3.48% (0.044 0.04)
3-2 @ 2.78% (-0.033 -0.03)
4-1 @ 1.63% (-0.002 -0)
4-0 @ 1.29% (0.014 0.01)
4-2 @ 1.03% (-0.014 -0.01)
Other @ 2.19%
Total : 42.28%
1-1 @ 12.02% (0.049999999999999 0.05)
0-0 @ 6.42% (0.117 0.12)
2-2 @ 5.63% (-0.056 -0.06)
3-3 @ 1.17% (-0.028 -0.03)
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 25.39%
0-1 @ 8.11% (0.049000000000001 0.05)
1-2 @ 7.6% (-0.061 -0.06)
0-2 @ 5.13% (-0.032 -0.03)
1-3 @ 3.2% (-0.065 -0.07)
2-3 @ 2.37% (-0.053 -0.05)
0-3 @ 2.16% (-0.04 -0.04)
1-4 @ 1.01% (-0.033 -0.03)
Other @ 2.74%
Total : 32.33%

How you voted: Willem II vs NAC Breda

Willem II
76.9%
Draw
15.4%
NAC Breda
7.7%
13
Head to Head
Dec 22, 2023 7pm
Gameweek 20
NAC Breda
1-2
Willem II
Marijnissen (90')
Lucassen (78'), Troost (90+5'), Omgba (90+1'), Vet (90+2')
Hilterman (9', 33')
Hilterman (10'), Maes (69'), Behounek (72'), Smits (90+6')
Sep 5, 2023 9.30am
Gameweek 4
Willem II
1-4
NAC Breda
Oosting (64')
van Berkel (5'), Bosch (37'), Bokila (82')
Sejdiu (4', 74'), Haugen (29'), Van den Bergh (49')
Sejdiu (42'), Martina (53')
Apr 25, 2023 1.30pm
Dec 11, 2022 11.15am
Gameweek 17
Willem II
1-2
NAC Breda
Bokila (9' pen.)
Ligeon (47'), Antonia (52')
Jan 20, 2019 11.15am
Gameweek 18
Willem II
2-0
NAC Breda
Llonch (22'), Vrousai (92')
Dankerlui (16')

El Allouchi (85')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1PSV EindhovenPSV16140256134342
2Ajax16113235161936
3FC UtrechtUtrecht1611323223936
4Feyenoord16105140182235
5AZ AlkmaarAZ17102531171432
6FC Twente1794432211131
7Go Ahead Eagles177463027325
8Fortuna SittardSittard166462023-322
9NAC BredaNAC Breda177191927-822
10Heerenveen176381731-1421
11Willem II165471718-119
12NECNijmegen165292220217
13PEC Zwolle174581626-1017
14Groningen164481426-1216
15Heracles163581833-1514
16Sparta RotterdamSparta162681424-1012
17Almere CityAlmere City1723121037-279
18RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk1714121841-237


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