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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Willem II win with a probability of 42.27%. A win for NAC Breda had a probability of 32.33% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Willem II win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.51%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.91%) and 2-0 (7.05%). The likeliest NAC Breda win was 0-1 (8.11%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.02%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.6% likelihood.
Result | ||
Willem II | Draw | NAC Breda |
42.27% ( 0.27) | 25.39% ( 0.08) | 32.33% ( -0.34) |
Both teams to score 55.44% ( -0.38) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
51.75% ( -0.44) | 48.25% ( 0.44) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
29.6% ( -0.4) | 70.4% ( 0.41) |
Willem II Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
77.28% ( -0.06) | 22.72% ( 0.06) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
43.61% ( -0.09) | 56.4% ( 0.1) |
NAC Breda Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
71.75% ( -0.43) | 28.25% ( 0.44) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
36.04% ( -0.55) | 63.96% ( 0.56) |
Score Analysis |
Willem II | Draw | NAC Breda |
1-0 @ 9.51% ( 0.16) 2-1 @ 8.91% ( 0.02) 2-0 @ 7.05% ( 0.1) 3-1 @ 4.4% ( 0) 3-0 @ 3.48% ( 0.04) 3-2 @ 2.78% ( -0.03) 4-1 @ 1.63% ( -0) 4-0 @ 1.29% ( 0.01) 4-2 @ 1.03% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.19% Total : 42.28% | 1-1 @ 12.02% ( 0.05) 0-0 @ 6.42% ( 0.12) 2-2 @ 5.63% ( -0.06) 3-3 @ 1.17% ( -0.03) Other @ 0.15% Total : 25.39% | 0-1 @ 8.11% ( 0.05) 1-2 @ 7.6% ( -0.06) 0-2 @ 5.13% ( -0.03) 1-3 @ 3.2% ( -0.07) 2-3 @ 2.37% ( -0.05) 0-3 @ 2.16% ( -0.04) 1-4 @ 1.01% ( -0.03) Other @ 2.74% Total : 32.33% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | PSV EindhovenPSV | 16 | 14 | 0 | 2 | 56 | 13 | 43 | 42 |
2 | Ajax | 16 | 11 | 3 | 2 | 35 | 16 | 19 | 36 |
3 | FC UtrechtUtrecht | 16 | 11 | 3 | 2 | 32 | 23 | 9 | 36 |
4 | Feyenoord | 16 | 10 | 5 | 1 | 40 | 18 | 22 | 35 |
5 | AZ AlkmaarAZ | 17 | 10 | 2 | 5 | 31 | 17 | 14 | 32 |
6 | FC Twente | 17 | 9 | 4 | 4 | 32 | 21 | 11 | 31 |
7 | Go Ahead Eagles | 17 | 7 | 4 | 6 | 30 | 27 | 3 | 25 |
8 | Fortuna SittardSittard | 16 | 6 | 4 | 6 | 20 | 23 | -3 | 22 |
9 | NAC BredaNAC Breda | 17 | 7 | 1 | 9 | 19 | 27 | -8 | 22 |
10 | Heerenveen | 17 | 6 | 3 | 8 | 17 | 31 | -14 | 21 |
11 | Willem II | 16 | 5 | 4 | 7 | 17 | 18 | -1 | 19 |
12 | NECNijmegen | 16 | 5 | 2 | 9 | 22 | 20 | 2 | 17 |
13 | PEC Zwolle | 17 | 4 | 5 | 8 | 16 | 26 | -10 | 17 |
14 | Groningen | 16 | 4 | 4 | 8 | 14 | 26 | -12 | 16 |
15 | Heracles | 16 | 3 | 5 | 8 | 18 | 33 | -15 | 14 |
16 | Sparta RotterdamSparta | 16 | 2 | 6 | 8 | 14 | 24 | -10 | 12 |
17 | Almere CityAlmere City | 17 | 2 | 3 | 12 | 10 | 37 | -27 | 9 |
18 | RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk | 17 | 1 | 4 | 12 | 18 | 41 | -23 | 7 |
> Eredivisie Full Table |