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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Heracles win with a probability of 39.7%. A win for NAC Breda had a probability of 36.08% and a draw had a probability of 24.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Heracles win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.63%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.6%) and 2-0 (5.88%). The likeliest NAC Breda win was 1-2 (8.17%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.13%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 5.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Heracles would win this match.
Result | ||
Heracles | Draw | NAC Breda |
39.7% ( 0.02) | 24.21% ( -0) | 36.08% ( -0.02) |
Both teams to score 60.56% ( 0.01) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
58% ( 0.01) | 41.99% ( -0.02) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
35.6% ( 0.01) | 64.4% ( -0.02) |
Heracles Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
78.74% ( 0.01) | 21.26% ( -0.02) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
45.82% ( 0.02) | 54.17% ( -0.03) |
NAC Breda Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
76.91% ( -0) | 23.08% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
43.07% ( -0.01) | 56.93% ( 0) |
Score Analysis |
Heracles | Draw | NAC Breda |
2-1 @ 8.63% ( 0) 1-0 @ 7.6% ( -0) 2-0 @ 5.88% ( 0) 3-1 @ 4.45% ( 0) 3-2 @ 3.26% ( 0) 3-0 @ 3.04% ( 0) 4-1 @ 1.72% ( 0) 4-2 @ 1.26% ( 0) 4-0 @ 1.18% ( 0) Other @ 2.68% Total : 39.7% | 1-1 @ 11.13% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 6.32% ( 0) 0-0 @ 4.91% ( -0) 3-3 @ 1.6% ( 0) Other @ 0.25% Total : 24.2% | 1-2 @ 8.17% ( -0) 0-1 @ 7.19% ( -0) 0-2 @ 5.27% ( -0) 1-3 @ 3.99% ( -0) 2-3 @ 3.09% 0-3 @ 2.58% ( -0) 1-4 @ 1.46% ( -0) 2-4 @ 1.13% 0-4 @ 0.94% ( -0) Other @ 2.26% Total : 36.08% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | PSV EindhovenPSV | 17 | 15 | 0 | 2 | 59 | 13 | 46 | 45 |
2 | Ajax | 17 | 12 | 3 | 2 | 37 | 16 | 21 | 39 |
3 | FC UtrechtUtrecht | 17 | 11 | 3 | 3 | 34 | 28 | 6 | 36 |
4 | Feyenoord | 17 | 10 | 5 | 2 | 40 | 21 | 19 | 35 |
5 | AZ AlkmaarAZ | 17 | 10 | 2 | 5 | 31 | 17 | 14 | 32 |
6 | FC Twente | 17 | 9 | 4 | 4 | 32 | 21 | 11 | 31 |
7 | Go Ahead Eagles | 17 | 7 | 4 | 6 | 30 | 27 | 3 | 25 |
8 | Fortuna SittardSittard | 17 | 7 | 4 | 6 | 25 | 25 | 0 | 25 |
9 | NAC BredaNAC Breda | 17 | 7 | 1 | 9 | 19 | 27 | -8 | 22 |
10 | Heerenveen | 17 | 6 | 3 | 8 | 17 | 31 | -14 | 21 |
11 | Willem II | 16 | 5 | 4 | 7 | 17 | 18 | -1 | 19 |
12 | NECNijmegen | 16 | 5 | 2 | 9 | 22 | 20 | 2 | 17 |
13 | PEC Zwolle | 17 | 4 | 5 | 8 | 16 | 26 | -10 | 17 |
14 | Groningen | 16 | 4 | 4 | 8 | 14 | 26 | -12 | 16 |
15 | Heracles | 16 | 3 | 5 | 8 | 18 | 33 | -15 | 14 |
16 | Sparta RotterdamSparta | 17 | 2 | 6 | 9 | 14 | 26 | -12 | 12 |
17 | Almere CityAlmere City | 17 | 2 | 3 | 12 | 10 | 37 | -27 | 9 |
18 | RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk | 17 | 1 | 4 | 12 | 18 | 41 | -23 | 7 |
> Eredivisie Full Table |