MX23RW : Thursday, November 21 16:53:04| >> :300:86500:86500:
AZ Alkmaar
Ajax
FC Twente logo
FC Utrecht
Feyenoord
Fortuna Sittard
Go Ahead Eagles
Groningen
Heerenveen
Heracles Almelo
NAC Breda
NEC
PEC Zwolle
PSV
Waalwijk logo
Sparta Rotterdam logo
Willem II
Heracles Almelo
Eredivisie | Gameweek 9
Oct 20, 2024 at 1.30pm UK
Erve Asito
Ajax

Heracles
3 - 4
Ajax

Kulenovic (12', 76'), Engels (28')
De Keersmaecker (14')
De Keersmaecker (84')
FT(HT: 2-2)
Klaassen (25'), Traore (34'), Weghorst (63', 82' pen.)
Hato (34'), Brobbey (36'), Henderson (37'), Rasmussen (88')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Eredivisie clash between Heracles and Ajax, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Heracles

All competitions
Last Game: Go Ahead Eagles 4-1 Heracles
Sunday, October 6 at 11.15am in Eredivisie

Ajax

All competitions
Eredivisie
Last Game: Ajax 3-1 Groningen
Sunday, October 6 at 3.45pm in Eredivisie

We said: Heracles 1-3 Ajax

 While Heracles have shown improvement over the last month, it is difficult to ignore Ajax's incredible record in this fixture, and given the visitors' start this season, we feel they will secure a fairly comfortable three points in this one. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ajax win with a probability of 62.02%. A draw had a probability of 19% and a win for Heracles had a probability of 18.98%.

The most likely scoreline for an Ajax win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.47%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (7.65%) and 1-3 (7.39%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.08%), while for a Heracles win it was 2-1 (5%). The actual scoreline of 3-4 was predicted with a 1.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Ajax would win this match.

Result
HeraclesDrawAjax
18.98% (-0.033999999999999 -0.03) 18.99% (-0.072000000000003 -0.07) 62.02% (0.106 0.11)
Both teams to score 64.15% (0.21299999999999 0.21)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
69.36% (0.3 0.3)30.64% (-0.299 -0.3)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
48.04% (0.355 0.35)51.96% (-0.35599999999999 -0.36)
Heracles Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.97% (0.148 0.15)29.03% (-0.149 -0.15)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.07% (0.183 0.18)64.93% (-0.184 -0.18)
Ajax Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
90.39% (0.111 0.11)9.61% (-0.111 -0.11)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
67.88% (0.26000000000001 0.26)32.12% (-0.259 -0.26)
Score Analysis
    Heracles 18.98%
    Ajax 62.02%
    Draw 18.99%
HeraclesDrawAjax
2-1 @ 5% (-0.016999999999999 -0.02)
1-0 @ 3.45% (-0.043 -0.04)
3-2 @ 2.41% (0.014 0.01)
2-0 @ 2.13% (-0.018 -0.02)
3-1 @ 2.06% (0.0019999999999998 0)
Other @ 3.92%
Total : 18.98%
1-1 @ 8.08% (-0.062000000000001 -0.06)
2-2 @ 5.85% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
0-0 @ 2.79% (-0.047 -0.05)
3-3 @ 1.89% (0.02 0.02)
Other @ 0.38%
Total : 18.99%
1-2 @ 9.47% (-0.025 -0.03)
0-2 @ 7.65% (-0.052 -0.05)
1-3 @ 7.39% (0.017 0.02)
0-1 @ 6.53% (-0.077 -0.08)
0-3 @ 5.98% (-0.011 -0.01)
2-3 @ 4.57% (0.029 0.03)
1-4 @ 4.33% (0.032 0.03)
0-4 @ 3.5% (0.011 0.01)
2-4 @ 2.68% (0.03 0.03)
1-5 @ 2.03% (0.025 0.02)
0-5 @ 1.64% (0.013 0.01)
2-5 @ 1.25% (0.02 0.02)
3-4 @ 1.1% (0.017 0.02)
Other @ 3.9%
Total : 62.02%

How you voted: Heracles vs Ajax

Heracles
0.0%
Draw
6.3%
Ajax
93.8%
32
Head to Head
Jan 27, 2024 8pm
Gameweek 19
Heracles
2-4
Ajax
Hornkamp (12'), Engels (60')
De Keersmaecker (15'), Cestic (90')
Brobbey (16', 57'), Berghuis (55'), Hlynsson (84')
Taylor (81')
> Preview
Aug 12, 2023 7pm
Gameweek 1
Ajax
4-1
Heracles
Medic (45+8'), Kudus (75'), Bergwijn (85', 90+6' pen.)
Tahirovic (61'), Rensch (74')
Engels (45+5')
Hoogma (10'), Ouahim (56'), Engels (58'), Bruns (74'), Limbombe (88')
> Preview
Feb 6, 2022 3.45pm
Gameweek 19
Ajax
3-0
Heracles
Klaassen (22'), Haller (55'), Taylor (65')
Alvarez (7'), Antony (11')

Sierhuis (73'), Bakboord (80')
> Preview
Oct 30, 2021 5.45pm
Gameweek 10
Heracles
0-0
Ajax
Bakboord (11'), Quagliata (38'), Rente (58'), Burgzorg (75')
Haller (80')
> Preview
Feb 13, 2021 5.45pm
Gameweek 22
Heracles
0-2
Ajax

Quagliata (84')
Klaassen (14'), Haller (79')
Haller (66')
> Preview
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1PSV EindhovenPSV1211014093133
2FC UtrechtUtrecht119112011928
3Ajax1182125111426
4Feyenoord1274128131525
5FC Twente1264224111322
6AZ AlkmaarAZ125252314917
7Fortuna SittardSittard125251316-317
8NECNijmegen125161910916
9Willem II124351312115
10Go Ahead Eagles124351520-515
11NAC BredaNAC Breda125071221-915
12Heerenveen124261323-1014
13Groningen123361219-712
14PEC Zwolle123361422-812
15Heracles123361223-1112
16Sparta RotterdamSparta122551218-611
17Almere CityAlmere City12138627-216
18RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk1211101031-214
> Eredivisie Full Table


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
Argentina's Lionel Messi kisses the World Cup trophy after collecting the Golden Ball award on December 18, 2022Sign up for our FREE daily preview newsletter direct to your inbox!