Eredivisie | Gameweek 22

Feb 13, 2021 at 5.45pm UK

Polman Stadion

Heracles
0 - 2
Ajax

Quagliata (84')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Klaassen (14'), Haller (79')
Haller (66')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Eredivisie clash between Heracles and Ajax, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ajax win with a probability of 66.69%. A draw had a probability of 18.3% and a win for Heracles had a probability of 15.01%.

The most likely scoreline for an Ajax win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.54%) and 0-1 (8.18%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.33%), while for a Heracles win it was 2-1 (4.24%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Ajax would win this match.

Result
Heracles	Draw	Ajax
15.01%	18.3%	66.69%

Both teams to score 57.68%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

65.06%

34.93%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

43.08%

56.92%

Heracles Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

63.88%

36.12%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

27.1%

72.9%

Ajax Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

90.29%

9.71%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

67.65%

32.34%

Score Analysis

Heracles 15.01%

Ajax 66.69%

Draw 18.3%

Heracles	Draw	Ajax
2-1 @ 4.24% 1-0 @ 3.57% 2-0 @ 1.82% 3-2 @ 1.68% 3-1 @ 1.44% Other @ 2.26% Total : 15.01%	1-1 @ 8.33% 2-2 @ 4.95% 0-0 @ 3.51% 3-3 @ 1.31% Other @ 0.21% Total : 18.3%	1-2 @ 9.71% 0-2 @ 9.54% 0-1 @ 8.18% 1-3 @ 7.55% 0-3 @ 7.42% 1-4 @ 4.4% 0-4 @ 4.33% 2-3 @ 3.85% 2-4 @ 2.24% 1-5 @ 2.06% 0-5 @ 2.02% 2-5 @ 1.05% Other @ 4.36% Total : 66.69%