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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Heracles win with a probability of 48.55%. A win for Groningen had a probability of 27.4% and a draw had a probability of 24.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Heracles win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.5%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.37%) and 2-0 (7.88%). The likeliest Groningen win was 1-2 (6.81%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.29%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Heracles would win this match.
Result | ||
Heracles | Draw | Groningen |
48.55% | 24.06% | 27.4% |
Both teams to score 57.04% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
55.14% | 44.86% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
32.79% | 67.22% |
Heracles Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
81.42% | 18.58% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
50.14% | 49.86% |
Groningen Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
70.05% | 29.95% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
33.94% | 66.06% |
Score Analysis |
Heracles | Draw | Groningen |
2-1 @ 9.5% 1-0 @ 9.37% 2-0 @ 7.88% 3-1 @ 5.33% 3-0 @ 4.42% 3-2 @ 3.21% 4-1 @ 2.24% 4-0 @ 1.86% 4-2 @ 1.35% Other @ 3.38% Total : 48.55% | 1-1 @ 11.29% 2-2 @ 5.73% 0-0 @ 5.57% 3-3 @ 1.29% Other @ 0.18% Total : 24.05% | 1-2 @ 6.81% 0-1 @ 6.71% 0-2 @ 4.05% 1-3 @ 2.74% 2-3 @ 2.3% 0-3 @ 1.63% Other @ 3.17% Total : 27.4% |
Team | P | W | D | L | PTS | |
Q | Germany | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 7 |
Q | Switzerland | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5 |
3 | Hungary | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 |
4 | Scotland | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 |
Team | P | W | D | L | PTS | |
Q | Austria | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6 |
Q | France | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5 |
Q | Netherlands | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 |
4 | Poland | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 |