Eredivisie | Gameweek 15

Jan 9, 2021 at 7pm UK

Polman Stadion

Heracles
0 - 2
Vitesse

Bakis (27'), Kiomourtzoglou (52'), Lunding (90+1')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Propper (38' og.), Bero (83')
Bruns (14')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Eredivisie clash between Heracles and Vitesse, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Vitesse win with a probability of 38.57%. A win for Heracles had a probability of 36.74% and a draw had a probability of 24.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Vitesse win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.51%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.01%) and 0-2 (5.92%). The likeliest Heracles win was 2-1 (8.27%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.51%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 5.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Vitesse would win this match.

Result
Heracles	Draw	Vitesse
36.74%	24.69%	38.57%

Both teams to score 58.86%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

55.76%

44.24%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

33.38%

66.62%

Heracles Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

76.24%

23.76%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

42.09%

57.91%

Vitesse Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

77.2%

22.8%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

43.49%

56.52%

Score Analysis

Heracles 36.74%

Vitesse 38.57%

Draw 24.69%

Heracles	Draw	Vitesse
2-1 @ 8.27% 1-0 @ 7.79% 2-0 @ 5.6% 3-1 @ 3.96% 3-2 @ 2.93% 3-0 @ 2.68% 4-1 @ 1.42% 4-2 @ 1.05% 4-0 @ 0.96% Other @ 2.07% Total : 36.74%	1-1 @ 11.51% 2-2 @ 6.11% 0-0 @ 5.42% 3-3 @ 1.44% Other @ 0.21% Total : 24.69%	1-2 @ 8.51% 0-1 @ 8.01% 0-2 @ 5.92% 1-3 @ 4.19% 2-3 @ 3.01% 0-3 @ 2.92% 1-4 @ 1.55% 2-4 @ 1.11% 0-4 @ 1.08% Other @ 2.27% Total : 38.57%