Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Heracles win with a probability of 71.33%. A draw had a probability of 17.4% and a win for Fortuna Sittard had a probability of 11.31%.
The most likely scoreline for a Heracles win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.25%) and 2-1 (9.52%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.23%), while for a Fortuna Sittard win it was 0-1 (3.56%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 3.3% likelihood.