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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Heracles win with a probability of 71.33%. A draw had a probability of 17.4% and a win for Fortuna Sittard had a probability of 11.31%.
The most likely scoreline for a Heracles win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.25%) and 2-1 (9.52%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.23%), while for a Fortuna Sittard win it was 0-1 (3.56%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 3.3% likelihood.
Result | ||
Heracles | Draw | Fortuna Sittard |
71.33% | 17.36% | 11.31% |
Both teams to score 49.7% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
60.23% | 39.77% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
37.87% | 62.13% |
Heracles Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
90.12% | 9.88% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
67.24% | 32.76% |
Fortuna Sittard Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
55.15% | 44.85% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
19.19% | 80.81% |
Score Analysis |
Heracles | Draw | Fortuna Sittard |
2-0 @ 11.87% 1-0 @ 10.25% 2-1 @ 9.52% 3-0 @ 9.16% 3-1 @ 7.34% 4-0 @ 5.3% 4-1 @ 4.25% 3-2 @ 2.95% 5-0 @ 2.45% 5-1 @ 1.97% 4-2 @ 1.7% 6-0 @ 0.95% Other @ 3.61% Total : 71.32% | 1-1 @ 8.23% 0-0 @ 4.43% 2-2 @ 3.82% Other @ 0.89% Total : 17.36% | 0-1 @ 3.56% 1-2 @ 3.3% 0-2 @ 1.43% 2-3 @ 1.02% Other @ 2.01% Total : 11.31% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | PSV EindhovenPSV | 13 | 12 | 0 | 1 | 45 | 9 | 36 | 36 |
2 | Feyenoord | 13 | 8 | 4 | 1 | 31 | 13 | 18 | 28 |
3 | FC UtrechtUtrecht | 11 | 9 | 1 | 1 | 20 | 11 | 9 | 28 |
4 | Ajax | 11 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 25 | 11 | 14 | 26 |
5 | FC Twente | 13 | 7 | 4 | 2 | 26 | 12 | 14 | 25 |
6 | Go Ahead Eagles | 13 | 5 | 3 | 5 | 18 | 20 | -2 | 18 |
7 | AZ AlkmaarAZ | 12 | 5 | 2 | 5 | 23 | 14 | 9 | 17 |
8 | Fortuna SittardSittard | 13 | 5 | 2 | 6 | 14 | 18 | -4 | 17 |
9 | NECNijmegen | 12 | 5 | 1 | 6 | 19 | 10 | 9 | 16 |
10 | Willem II | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 13 | 12 | 1 | 15 |
11 | NAC BredaNAC Breda | 12 | 5 | 0 | 7 | 12 | 21 | -9 | 15 |
12 | Heerenveen | 13 | 4 | 2 | 7 | 13 | 26 | -13 | 14 |
13 | Heracles | 13 | 3 | 4 | 6 | 14 | 25 | -11 | 13 |
14 | PEC Zwolle | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 14 | 22 | -8 | 12 |
15 | Groningen | 13 | 3 | 3 | 7 | 12 | 24 | -12 | 12 |
16 | Sparta RotterdamSparta | 12 | 2 | 5 | 5 | 12 | 18 | -6 | 11 |
17 | Almere CityAlmere City | 13 | 1 | 3 | 9 | 6 | 30 | -24 | 6 |
18 | RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk | 13 | 1 | 2 | 10 | 12 | 33 | -21 | 5 |
> Eredivisie Full Table |