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Bundesliga | Gameweek 17
Jan 14, 2025 at 7.30pm UK
Deutsche Bank Park (Frankfurt am Main)
Freiburg logo

Frankfurt
4 - 1
Freiburg

Koch (43'), Marmoush (65'), Ekitike (71'), Collins (81')
Skhiri (84')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Doan (37')
Ginter (28')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's Bundesliga clash between Eintracht Frankfurt and Freiburg, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: St Pauli 0-1 Frankfurt
Saturday, January 11 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: Freiburg 3-2 Holstein Kiel
Saturday, January 11 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga

We said: Eintracht Frankfurt 2-1 Freiburg

Eintracht Frankfurt's home record is strong despite their loss last time out at Deutsche Bank Park, and they should be considered favourites. Having said that, the Eagles' performance against St Pauli was far from perfect, and if they perform similarly on Tuesday, then Freiburg will undoubtedly create chances. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Eintracht Frankfurt win with a probability of 58.39%. A draw had a probability of 21.3% and a win for Freiburg had a probability of 20.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Eintracht Frankfurt win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.99%) and 1-0 (8.93%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.85%), while for a Freiburg win it was 1-2 (5.43%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 3.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Eintracht Frankfurt would win this match.

Result
Eintracht FrankfurtDrawFreiburg
58.39% (0.088000000000001 0.09) 21.31% (-0.027999999999999 -0.03) 20.3% (-0.067 -0.07)
Both teams to score 57.86% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
60.18% (0.027000000000001 0.03)39.81% (-0.034999999999997 -0.03)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
37.83% (0.030000000000001 0.03)62.16% (-0.036999999999999 -0.04)
Eintracht Frankfurt Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
86.61% (0.031000000000006 0.03)13.38% (-0.039 -0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
59.7% (0.071000000000005 0.07)40.29% (-0.079000000000001 -0.08)
Freiburg Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.8% (-0.049999999999997 -0.05)33.19% (0.042000000000002 0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.19% (-0.053999999999998 -0.05)69.8% (0.046999999999997 0.05)
Score Analysis
    Eintracht Frankfurt 58.39%
    Freiburg 20.3%
    Draw 21.31%
Eintracht FrankfurtDrawFreiburg
2-1 @ 9.91% (0.00099999999999945 0)
2-0 @ 8.99% (0.011999999999999 0.01)
1-0 @ 8.93% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
3-1 @ 6.64% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
3-0 @ 6.02% (0.016 0.02)
3-2 @ 3.66% (0.00099999999999989 0)
4-1 @ 3.34% (0.01 0.01)
4-0 @ 3.03% (0.012 0.01)
4-2 @ 1.84% (0.0030000000000001 0)
5-1 @ 1.34% (0.006 0.01)
5-0 @ 1.22% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
Other @ 3.46%
Total : 58.39%
1-1 @ 9.85% (-0.013 -0.01)
2-2 @ 5.46% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
0-0 @ 4.44% (-0.0070000000000006 -0.01)
3-3 @ 1.35% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 0.21%
Total : 21.31%
1-2 @ 5.43% (-0.013999999999999 -0.01)
0-1 @ 4.9% (-0.013999999999999 -0.01)
0-2 @ 2.7% (-0.011 -0.01)
2-3 @ 2.01% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
1-3 @ 2% (-0.0069999999999999 -0.01)
0-3 @ 0.99% (-0.005 -0.01)
Other @ 2.27%
Total : 20.3%

How you voted: Frankfurt vs Freiburg

Eintracht Frankfurt
Draw
Freiburg
Eintracht Frankfurt
81.6%
Draw
14.6%
Freiburg
3.9%
103
Head to Head
Feb 18, 2024 2.30pm
Gameweek 22
Freiburg
3-3
Frankfurt
Doan (30'), Grifo (45+5' pen.), Gregoritsch (89')
Marmoush (27'), Knauff (35', 72')
Sep 24, 2023 4.30pm
Gameweek 5
Frankfurt
0-0
Freiburg
Ebimbe (45+2'), Pacho (52'), Koch (86'), Trapp (86')
Ginter (33'), Eggestein (86')
May 27, 2023 2.30pm
Gameweek 34
Frankfurt
2-1
Freiburg
Kolo (83'), Ebimbe (90+1')
Sow (45+3'), Buta (64'), Ebimbe (90+4'), Aaronson (90+6')
Grifo (44')
Schmidt (34'), Eggestein (82')
Jan 25, 2023 7.30pm
Gameweek 17
Freiburg
1-1
Frankfurt
Ginter (47')
Kolo (42')
Apr 10, 2022 4.30pm
Gameweek 29
Frankfurt
1-2
Freiburg
Kostic (54')
Hinteregger (45+4')
Grifo (27'), Petersen (69')
Demirovic (45+4'), Lienhart (83')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Bayern MunichBayern26195275245162
2Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen26168259332656
3Mainz 05Mainz26136744281645
4Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt26136754401445
5RB Leipzig2611964133842
6Freiburg2612683638-242
7Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach26124104340340
8Wolfsburg2610884940938
9Augsburg2610882935-638
10Stuttgart2610794743437
11Borussia DortmundDortmund26105114541435
12Werder Bremen2696114053-1333
13Union BerlinUnion Berlin2677122438-1428
14Hoffenheim2668123248-1626
15St Pauli2674152030-1025
16Heidenheim2654173152-2119
17VfL BochumVfL Bochum2646162653-2718
18Holstein Kiel2645173864-2617


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