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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hoffenheim win with a probability of 43.07%. A win for Freiburg had a probability of 33.43% and a draw had a probability of 23.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hoffenheim win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.25%) and 2-0 (6.11%). The likeliest Freiburg win was 1-2 (7.74%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.58%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.6% likelihood.
Result | ||
Hoffenheim | Draw | Freiburg |
43.07% ( 0.47) | 23.5% ( 0.17) | 33.43% ( -0.64) |
Both teams to score 62.56% ( -0.85) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
60.88% ( -1.02) | 39.11% ( 1.02) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
38.56% ( -1.08) | 61.44% ( 1.08) |
Hoffenheim Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
81.46% ( -0.22) | 18.53% ( 0.22) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
50.23% ( -0.37) | 49.77% ( 0.37) |
Freiburg Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
76.8% ( -0.83) | 23.2% ( 0.83) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
42.9% ( -1.23) | 57.09% ( 1.23) |
Score Analysis |
Hoffenheim | Draw | Freiburg |
2-1 @ 8.92% ( 0.08) 1-0 @ 7.25% ( 0.29) 2-0 @ 6.11% ( 0.21) 3-1 @ 5.02% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 3.66% ( -0.08) 3-0 @ 3.43% ( 0.09) 4-1 @ 2.11% ( -0.01) 4-2 @ 1.54% ( -0.04) 4-0 @ 1.45% ( 0.03) Other @ 3.58% Total : 43.07% | 1-1 @ 10.58% ( 0.17) 2-2 @ 6.52% ( -0.1) 0-0 @ 4.3% ( 0.2) 3-3 @ 1.78% ( -0.09) Other @ 0.3% Total : 23.49% | 1-2 @ 7.74% ( -0.06) 0-1 @ 6.28% ( 0.15) 0-2 @ 4.59% ( -0) 1-3 @ 3.77% ( -0.13) 2-3 @ 3.18% ( -0.13) 0-3 @ 2.24% ( -0.06) 1-4 @ 1.38% ( -0.08) 2-4 @ 1.16% ( -0.08) Other @ 3.11% Total : 33.43% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Bayern MunichBayern | 15 | 11 | 3 | 1 | 47 | 13 | 34 | 36 |
2 | Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen | 14 | 8 | 5 | 1 | 32 | 20 | 12 | 29 |
3 | Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt | 14 | 8 | 3 | 3 | 34 | 20 | 14 | 27 |
4 | RB Leipzig | 15 | 8 | 3 | 4 | 24 | 20 | 4 | 27 |
5 | Freiburg | 14 | 7 | 3 | 4 | 20 | 19 | 1 | 24 |
6 | Stuttgart | 14 | 6 | 5 | 3 | 29 | 24 | 5 | 23 |
7 | Mainz 05Mainz | 14 | 6 | 4 | 4 | 25 | 19 | 6 | 22 |
8 | Borussia DortmundDortmund | 14 | 6 | 4 | 4 | 25 | 21 | 4 | 22 |
9 | Werder Bremen | 14 | 6 | 4 | 4 | 22 | 24 | -2 | 22 |
10 | Wolfsburg | 14 | 6 | 3 | 5 | 31 | 25 | 6 | 21 |
11 | Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach | 14 | 6 | 3 | 5 | 23 | 19 | 4 | 21 |
12 | Union BerlinUnion Berlin | 14 | 4 | 5 | 5 | 13 | 15 | -2 | 17 |
13 | Augsburg | 14 | 4 | 4 | 6 | 16 | 27 | -11 | 16 |
14 | Hoffenheim | 14 | 3 | 5 | 6 | 19 | 26 | -7 | 14 |
15 | St Pauli | 14 | 3 | 2 | 9 | 11 | 19 | -8 | 11 |
16 | Heidenheim | 14 | 3 | 1 | 10 | 18 | 31 | -13 | 10 |
17 | Holstein Kiel | 14 | 1 | 2 | 11 | 14 | 37 | -23 | 5 |
18 | VfL BochumVfL Bochum | 14 | 0 | 3 | 11 | 11 | 35 | -24 | 3 |
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