MX23RW : Saturday, December 21 12:34:20| >> :300:86500:86500:
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Bundesliga | Gameweek 13
Dec 8, 2024 at 4.30pm UK
DnB NOR Arena
Freiburg logo

Hoffenheim
1 - 1
Freiburg

Bischof (73')
Geiger (81')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Ginter (68')
Osterhage (26')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Bundesliga clash between Hoffenheim and Freiburg, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Arminia Bielefeld 3-1 Freiburg
Tuesday, December 3 at 5pm in DFB-Pokal

We said: Hoffenheim 1-2 Freiburg

Hoffenheim are unlikely to create many chances in front of goal considering their poor record in recent weeks, and it is difficult to see them threatening Freiburg given their injury absentees. While Freiburg might struggle for periods on Sunday given their mixed form of late, they should be confident of victory and are no doubt favourites to claim all three points. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hoffenheim win with a probability of 43.07%. A win for Freiburg had a probability of 33.43% and a draw had a probability of 23.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Hoffenheim win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.25%) and 2-0 (6.11%). The likeliest Freiburg win was 1-2 (7.74%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.58%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.6% likelihood.

Result
HoffenheimDrawFreiburg
43.07% (0.468 0.47) 23.5% (0.17 0.17) 33.43% (-0.638 -0.64)
Both teams to score 62.56% (-0.846 -0.85)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
60.88% (-1.018 -1.02)39.11% (1.019 1.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
38.56% (-1.076 -1.08)61.44% (1.077 1.08)
Hoffenheim Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.46% (-0.218 -0.22)18.53% (0.219 0.22)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
50.23% (-0.37 -0.37)49.77% (0.372 0.37)
Freiburg Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.8% (-0.831 -0.83)23.2% (0.831 0.83)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.9% (-1.226 -1.23)57.09% (1.228 1.23)
Score Analysis
    Hoffenheim 43.07%
    Freiburg 33.43%
    Draw 23.49%
HoffenheimDrawFreiburg
2-1 @ 8.92% (0.084999999999999 0.08)
1-0 @ 7.25% (0.293 0.29)
2-0 @ 6.11% (0.206 0.21)
3-1 @ 5.02% (0.013999999999999 0.01)
3-2 @ 3.66% (-0.082 -0.08)
3-0 @ 3.43% (0.092 0.09)
4-1 @ 2.11% (-0.01 -0.01)
4-2 @ 1.54% (-0.045 -0.04)
4-0 @ 1.45% (0.029 0.03)
Other @ 3.58%
Total : 43.07%
1-1 @ 10.58% (0.17 0.17)
2-2 @ 6.52% (-0.098000000000001 -0.1)
0-0 @ 4.3% (0.203 0.2)
3-3 @ 1.78% (-0.085 -0.09)
Other @ 0.3%
Total : 23.49%
1-2 @ 7.74% (-0.061999999999999 -0.06)
0-1 @ 6.28% (0.147 0.15)
0-2 @ 4.59% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
1-3 @ 3.77% (-0.125 -0.13)
2-3 @ 3.18% (-0.128 -0.13)
0-3 @ 2.24% (-0.058 -0.06)
1-4 @ 1.38% (-0.081 -0.08)
2-4 @ 1.16% (-0.077 -0.08)
Other @ 3.11%
Total : 33.43%

How you voted: Hoffenheim vs Freiburg

Hoffenheim
22.7%
Draw
18.2%
Freiburg
59.1%
66
Head to Head
Jan 20, 2024 2.30pm
Gameweek 18
Freiburg
3-2
Hoffenheim
Holer (37'), Grifo (55'), Sallai (85')
Gulde (43'), Grifo (56')
Gulde (82')
Weghorst (57'), Beier (77')
Kaderabek (8'), Kabak (31'), Philipp (87')
Aug 19, 2023 2.30pm
Gameweek 1
Hoffenheim
1-2
Freiburg
Kabak (50')
Szalai (39' og.), Sallai (45+3')
Lienhart (15')
Mar 12, 2023 2.30pm
Gameweek 24
Freiburg
2-1
Hoffenheim
Eggestein (5'), Doan (89')
Stiller (48')
Sep 18, 2022 6.30pm
Apr 30, 2022 5.30pm
Gameweek 32
Hoffenheim
3-4
Freiburg
Kramaric (32'), Stiller (49'), Rudy (84')
Samassekou (45')
Sallai (23'), Gunter (50'), Holer (70'), Woo-yeong (73')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Bayern MunichBayern15113147133436
2Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen1485132201229
3Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt1483334201427
4RB Leipzig158342420427
5Freiburg147342019124
6Stuttgart146532924523
7Mainz 05Mainz146442519622
8Borussia DortmundDortmund146442521422
9Werder Bremen146442224-222
10Wolfsburg146353125621
11Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach146352319421
12Union BerlinUnion Berlin144551315-217
13Augsburg144461627-1116
14Hoffenheim143561926-714
15St Pauli143291119-811
16Heidenheim1431101831-1310
17Holstein Kiel1412111437-235
18VfL BochumVfL Bochum1403111135-243


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