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Bundesliga | Gameweek 9
Nov 2, 2024 at 2.30pm UK
DnB NOR Arena

Hoffenheim
0 - 2
St Pauli

FT(HT: 0-1)
Afolayan (20'), Albers (90+4')
Guilavogui (64'), Blessin (70')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Bundesliga clash between Hoffenheim and St Pauli, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Hoffenheim 2-1 Nuremberg
Wednesday, October 30 at 7.45pm in DFB-Pokal
Last Game: RB Leipzig 4-2 St Pauli
Tuesday, October 29 at 5pm in DFB-Pokal

We said: Hoffenheim 2-0 St Pauli

With Saad missing for St. Pauli, the away side's already tricky visit to Hoffenheim just got doubly harder without their top scorer. Despite the closeness in the table, the hosts should take care of business and notch a fourth consecutive home triumph in all competitions. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hoffenheim win with a probability of 43.82%. A win for St Pauli had a probability of 33.68% and a draw had a probability of 22.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Hoffenheim win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.1%) and 2-0 (5.55%). The likeliest St Pauli win was 1-2 (7.57%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.61%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 4.2% likelihood.

Result
HoffenheimDrawSt Pauli
43.82% (-1.822 -1.82) 22.49% (0.52 0.52) 33.68% (1.298 1.3)
Both teams to score 66.45% (-1.462 -1.46)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
65.93% (-2.126 -2.13)34.07% (2.123 2.12)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
44.06% (-2.445 -2.45)55.94% (2.441 2.44)
Hoffenheim Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.79% (-1.492 -1.49)16.21% (1.49 1.49)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
54.3% (-2.786 -2.79)45.7% (2.78 2.78)
St Pauli Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.31% (-0.33 -0.33)20.69% (0.327 0.33)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.71% (-0.521 -0.52)53.29% (0.517 0.52)
Score Analysis
    Hoffenheim 43.82%
    St Pauli 33.68%
    Draw 22.5%
HoffenheimDrawSt Pauli
2-1 @ 8.75% (-0.0080000000000009 -0.01)
1-0 @ 6.1% (0.36 0.36)
2-0 @ 5.55% (0.051 0.05)
3-1 @ 5.31% (-0.287 -0.29)
3-2 @ 4.18% (-0.27 -0.27)
3-0 @ 3.37% (-0.147 -0.15)
4-1 @ 2.41% (-0.265 -0.27)
4-2 @ 1.9% (-0.231 -0.23)
4-0 @ 1.53% (-0.152 -0.15)
4-3 @ 1% (-0.132 -0.13)
Other @ 3.72%
Total : 43.82%
1-1 @ 9.61% (0.475 0.48)
2-2 @ 6.89% (-0.077 -0.08)
0-0 @ 3.35% (0.357 0.36)
3-3 @ 2.2% (-0.166 -0.17)
Other @ 0.44%
Total : 22.5%
1-2 @ 7.57% (0.301 0.3)
0-1 @ 5.28% (0.514 0.51)
0-2 @ 4.16% (0.366 0.37)
1-3 @ 3.98% (0.12 0.12)
2-3 @ 3.62% (-0.078 -0.08)
0-3 @ 2.19% (0.172 0.17)
1-4 @ 1.57% (0.031 0.03)
2-4 @ 1.43% (-0.045 -0.04)
Other @ 3.89%
Total : 33.68%

How you voted: Hoffenheim vs St Pauli

Hoffenheim
86.0%
Draw
12.0%
St Pauli
2.0%
50
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Bayern MunichBayern15113147133436
2Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen1485132201229
3Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt1483334201427
4RB Leipzig158342420427
5Freiburg147342019124
6Stuttgart146532924523
7Mainz 05Mainz146442519622
8Borussia DortmundDortmund146442521422
9Werder Bremen146442224-222
10Wolfsburg146353125621
11Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach146352319421
12Union BerlinUnion Berlin144551315-217
13Augsburg144461627-1116
14Hoffenheim143561926-714
15St Pauli143291119-811
16Heidenheim1431101831-1310
17Holstein Kiel1412111437-235
18VfL BochumVfL Bochum1403111135-243


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