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Bundesliga | Gameweek 9
Nov 2, 2024 at 2.30pm UK
DnB NOR Arena

Hoffenheim
0 - 2
St Pauli

FT(HT: 0-1)
Afolayan (20'), Albers (90+4')
Guilavogui (64'), Blessin (70')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Bundesliga clash between Hoffenheim and St Pauli, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Hoffenheim 2-1 Nuremberg
Wednesday, October 30 at 7.45pm in DFB-Pokal
Last Game: RB Leipzig 4-2 St Pauli
Tuesday, October 29 at 5pm in DFB-Pokal

We said: Hoffenheim 2-0 St Pauli

With Saad missing for St. Pauli, the away side's already tricky visit to Hoffenheim just got doubly harder without their top scorer. Despite the closeness in the table, the hosts should take care of business and notch a fourth consecutive home triumph in all competitions. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hoffenheim win with a probability of 43.82%. A win for St Pauli had a probability of 33.68% and a draw had a probability of 22.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Hoffenheim win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.1%) and 2-0 (5.55%). The likeliest St Pauli win was 1-2 (7.57%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.61%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 4.2% likelihood.

Result
HoffenheimDrawSt Pauli
43.82% (-1.822 -1.82) 22.49% (0.52 0.52) 33.68% (1.298 1.3)
Both teams to score 66.45% (-1.462 -1.46)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
65.93% (-2.126 -2.13)34.07% (2.123 2.12)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
44.06% (-2.445 -2.45)55.94% (2.441 2.44)
Hoffenheim Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.79% (-1.492 -1.49)16.21% (1.49 1.49)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
54.3% (-2.786 -2.79)45.7% (2.78 2.78)
St Pauli Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.31% (-0.33 -0.33)20.69% (0.327 0.33)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.71% (-0.521 -0.52)53.29% (0.517 0.52)
Score Analysis
    Hoffenheim 43.82%
    St Pauli 33.68%
    Draw 22.5%
HoffenheimDrawSt Pauli
2-1 @ 8.75% (-0.0080000000000009 -0.01)
1-0 @ 6.1% (0.36 0.36)
2-0 @ 5.55% (0.051 0.05)
3-1 @ 5.31% (-0.287 -0.29)
3-2 @ 4.18% (-0.27 -0.27)
3-0 @ 3.37% (-0.147 -0.15)
4-1 @ 2.41% (-0.265 -0.27)
4-2 @ 1.9% (-0.231 -0.23)
4-0 @ 1.53% (-0.152 -0.15)
4-3 @ 1% (-0.132 -0.13)
Other @ 3.72%
Total : 43.82%
1-1 @ 9.61% (0.475 0.48)
2-2 @ 6.89% (-0.077 -0.08)
0-0 @ 3.35% (0.357 0.36)
3-3 @ 2.2% (-0.166 -0.17)
Other @ 0.44%
Total : 22.5%
1-2 @ 7.57% (0.301 0.3)
0-1 @ 5.28% (0.514 0.51)
0-2 @ 4.16% (0.366 0.37)
1-3 @ 3.98% (0.12 0.12)
2-3 @ 3.62% (-0.078 -0.08)
0-3 @ 2.19% (0.172 0.17)
1-4 @ 1.57% (0.031 0.03)
2-4 @ 1.43% (-0.045 -0.04)
Other @ 3.89%
Total : 33.68%

How you voted: Hoffenheim vs St Pauli

Hoffenheim
86.0%
Draw
12.0%
St Pauli
2.0%
50
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Bayern MunichBayern108203372626
2RB Leipzig106311551021
3Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt1062226161020
4Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen104512116517
5Freiburg105231311217
6Union BerlinUnion Berlin1044298116
7Borussia DortmundDortmund105141818016
8Werder Bremen104331721-415
9Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach104241514114
10Mainz 05Mainz103431514113
11Stuttgart103431919013
12Wolfsburg103341918112
13Augsburg103341320-712
14Heidenheim103161315-210
15Hoffenheim102351319-69
16St Pauli10226712-58
17Holstein Kiel101271225-135
18VfL BochumVfL Bochum100281030-202


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