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Plymouth Argyle
Championship | Gameweek 22
Dec 21, 2024 at 3pm UK
Home Park
Middlesbrough logo

Plymouth
3 - 3
Middlesbrough

Gibson (38'), Gyabi (72'), Bundu (81')
Ogbeta (77'), Gyabi (87')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Howson (50'), Hackney (77'), Latte Lath (84')
Edmundson (70'), Doak (90+6')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Plymouth Argyle and Middlesbrough, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Sheff Utd 2-0 Plymouth
Saturday, December 14 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Middlesbrough 1-0 Millwall
Saturday, December 14 at 3pm in Championship

We said: Plymouth Argyle 1-4 Middlesbrough

Aiming to avoid a fifth straight defeat in the Championship, Plymouth are unlikely to experience any festive cheer as playoff hopefuls Middlesbrough come to town this weekend. Boro have already smashed Oxford on the road this season, and it could be a similar narrative at the expense of another relegation candidate on Saturday afternoon. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Middlesbrough win with a probability of 55.91%. A win for Plymouth Argyle had a probability of 22.74% and a draw had a probability of 21.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Middlesbrough win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (7.92%) and 0-1 (7.81%). The likeliest Plymouth Argyle win was 2-1 (5.89%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.59%). The actual scoreline of 3-3 was predicted with a 1.7% likelihood.

Result
Plymouth ArgyleDrawMiddlesbrough
22.74% (-0.438 -0.44) 21.36% (-0.135 -0.13) 55.91% (0.576 0.58)
Both teams to score 61.43% (-0.105 -0.1)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
63.21% (0.122 0.12)36.8% (-0.11799999999999 -0.12)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
41.04% (0.13099999999999 0.13)58.97% (-0.127 -0.13)
Plymouth Argyle Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.72% (-0.29700000000001 -0.3)29.28% (0.299 0.3)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.76% (-0.367 -0.37)65.24% (0.369 0.37)
Middlesbrough Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
86.86% (0.21599999999999 0.22)13.14% (-0.212 -0.21)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
60.19% (0.431 0.43)39.81% (-0.428 -0.43)
Score Analysis
    Plymouth Argyle 22.74%
    Middlesbrough 55.91%
    Draw 21.36%
Plymouth ArgyleDrawMiddlesbrough
2-1 @ 5.89% (-0.086 -0.09)
1-0 @ 4.73% (-0.067 -0.07)
2-0 @ 2.9% (-0.066 -0.07)
3-2 @ 2.45% (-0.037 -0.04)
3-1 @ 2.41% (-0.055 -0.06)
3-0 @ 1.19% (-0.037 -0.04)
Other @ 3.17%
Total : 22.74%
1-1 @ 9.59% (-0.06 -0.06)
2-2 @ 5.98% (-0.04 -0.04)
0-0 @ 3.85% (-0.022 -0.02)
3-3 @ 1.66% (-0.011 -0.01)
Other @ 0.29%
Total : 21.36%
1-2 @ 9.73% (0.016999999999999 0.02)
0-2 @ 7.92% (0.08 0.08)
0-1 @ 7.81% (0.016999999999999 0.02)
1-3 @ 6.58% (0.064 0.06)
0-3 @ 5.36% (0.096 0.1)
2-3 @ 4.04% (0.0059999999999993 0.01)
1-4 @ 3.34% (0.059 0.06)
0-4 @ 2.72% (0.07 0.07)
2-4 @ 2.05% (0.019 0.02)
1-5 @ 1.36% (0.034 0.03)
0-5 @ 1.1% (0.037 0.04)
Other @ 3.88%
Total : 55.91%

How you voted: Plymouth vs Middlesbrough

Plymouth Argyle
28.6%
Draw
7.1%
Middlesbrough
64.3%
42
Head to Head
Feb 24, 2024 3pm
Gameweek 34
Middlesbrough
0-2
Plymouth

Ayling (37')
Sorinola (7'), Hardie (31')
Miller (26')
Nov 4, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 15
Plymouth
3-3
Middlesbrough
Mumba (34'), Azaz (38'), Whittaker (77')
Miller (70'), Cundle (72')
Coburn (23', 60'), Greenwood (64')
Crooks (30'), Coburn (62'), van den Berg (66')
Jul 23, 2021 7pm
Pre-season Friendlies
Plymouth
1-2
Middlesbrough
Crooks (15'), Tavernier (68')
Apr 5, 2010 3pm
Plymouth
0-2
Middlesbrough

Duguid (75')
McManus (22')
Lita (41'), Hoyte (42'), Robson (75'), Williams (85')
Oct 31, 2009 3pm
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd22155232112148
2Leeds UnitedLeeds22136341152645
3Burnley2212822891944
4Sunderland22127334181643
5Blackburn RoversBlackburn2111462518737
6Middlesbrough22105738281035
7West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom22811326161035
8Watford2110473028234
9Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds229582830-232
10Millwall217772118328
11Swansea CitySwansea227692424027
12Bristol City226972628-227
13Norwich CityNorwich226883734326
14Queens Park RangersQPR2251072328-525
15Luton TownLuton2274112538-1325
16Derby CountyDerby2266102728-124
17Coventry CityCoventry2266102834-624
18Preston North EndPreston2241172229-723
19Stoke CityStoke2257102330-722
20Portsmouth204882535-1020
21Hull City2247112131-1019
22Cardiff CityCardiff2146111934-1518
23Oxford UnitedOxford Utd2146112137-1618
24Plymouth ArgylePlymouth2146112245-2318


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