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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Middlesbrough win with a probability of 55.91%. A win for Plymouth Argyle had a probability of 22.74% and a draw had a probability of 21.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Middlesbrough win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (7.92%) and 0-1 (7.81%). The likeliest Plymouth Argyle win was 2-1 (5.89%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.59%). The actual scoreline of 3-3 was predicted with a 1.7% likelihood.
Result | ||
Plymouth Argyle | Draw | Middlesbrough |
22.74% ( -0.44) | 21.36% ( -0.13) | 55.91% ( 0.58) |
Both teams to score 61.43% ( -0.1) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
63.21% ( 0.12) | 36.8% ( -0.12) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
41.04% ( 0.13) | 58.97% ( -0.13) |
Plymouth Argyle Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
70.72% ( -0.3) | 29.28% ( 0.3) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
34.76% ( -0.37) | 65.24% ( 0.37) |
Middlesbrough Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
86.86% ( 0.22) | 13.14% ( -0.21) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
60.19% ( 0.43) | 39.81% ( -0.43) |
Score Analysis |
Plymouth Argyle | Draw | Middlesbrough |
2-1 @ 5.89% ( -0.09) 1-0 @ 4.73% ( -0.07) 2-0 @ 2.9% ( -0.07) 3-2 @ 2.45% ( -0.04) 3-1 @ 2.41% ( -0.06) 3-0 @ 1.19% ( -0.04) Other @ 3.17% Total : 22.74% | 1-1 @ 9.59% ( -0.06) 2-2 @ 5.98% ( -0.04) 0-0 @ 3.85% ( -0.02) 3-3 @ 1.66% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.29% Total : 21.36% | 1-2 @ 9.73% ( 0.02) 0-2 @ 7.92% ( 0.08) 0-1 @ 7.81% ( 0.02) 1-3 @ 6.58% ( 0.06) 0-3 @ 5.36% ( 0.1) 2-3 @ 4.04% ( 0.01) 1-4 @ 3.34% ( 0.06) 0-4 @ 2.72% ( 0.07) 2-4 @ 2.05% ( 0.02) 1-5 @ 1.36% ( 0.03) 0-5 @ 1.1% ( 0.04) Other @ 3.88% Total : 55.91% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd | 22 | 15 | 5 | 2 | 32 | 11 | 21 | 48 |
2 | Leeds UnitedLeeds | 22 | 13 | 6 | 3 | 41 | 15 | 26 | 45 |
3 | Burnley | 22 | 12 | 8 | 2 | 28 | 9 | 19 | 44 |
4 | Sunderland | 22 | 12 | 7 | 3 | 34 | 18 | 16 | 43 |
5 | Blackburn RoversBlackburn | 21 | 11 | 4 | 6 | 25 | 18 | 7 | 37 |
6 | Middlesbrough | 22 | 10 | 5 | 7 | 38 | 28 | 10 | 35 |
7 | West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom | 22 | 8 | 11 | 3 | 26 | 16 | 10 | 35 |
8 | Watford | 21 | 10 | 4 | 7 | 30 | 28 | 2 | 34 |
9 | Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds | 22 | 9 | 5 | 8 | 28 | 30 | -2 | 32 |
10 | Millwall | 21 | 7 | 7 | 7 | 21 | 18 | 3 | 28 |
11 | Swansea CitySwansea | 22 | 7 | 6 | 9 | 24 | 24 | 0 | 27 |
12 | Bristol City | 22 | 6 | 9 | 7 | 26 | 28 | -2 | 27 |
13 | Norwich CityNorwich | 22 | 6 | 8 | 8 | 37 | 34 | 3 | 26 |
14 | Queens Park RangersQPR | 22 | 5 | 10 | 7 | 23 | 28 | -5 | 25 |
15 | Luton TownLuton | 22 | 7 | 4 | 11 | 25 | 38 | -13 | 25 |
16 | Derby CountyDerby | 22 | 6 | 6 | 10 | 27 | 28 | -1 | 24 |
17 | Coventry CityCoventry | 22 | 6 | 6 | 10 | 28 | 34 | -6 | 24 |
18 | Preston North EndPreston | 22 | 4 | 11 | 7 | 22 | 29 | -7 | 23 |
19 | Stoke CityStoke | 22 | 5 | 7 | 10 | 23 | 30 | -7 | 22 |
20 | Portsmouth | 20 | 4 | 8 | 8 | 25 | 35 | -10 | 20 |
21 | Hull City | 22 | 4 | 7 | 11 | 21 | 31 | -10 | 19 |
22 | Cardiff CityCardiff | 21 | 4 | 6 | 11 | 19 | 34 | -15 | 18 |
23 | Oxford UnitedOxford Utd | 21 | 4 | 6 | 11 | 21 | 37 | -16 | 18 |
24 | Plymouth ArgylePlymouth | 21 | 4 | 6 | 11 | 22 | 45 | -23 | 18 |
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