Middlesbrough

3 - 1

Hull City

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Middlesbrough win with a probability of 53.66%. A draw had a probability of 23.5% and a win for Hull City had a probability of 22.88%.

The most likely scoreline for a Middlesbrough win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.4%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.79%) and 2-0 (9.17%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.1%), while for a Hull City win it was 0-1 (6.3%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 5.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Middlesbrough would win this match.