Championship | Gameweek 15
Nov 9, 2024 at 12.30pm UK
Riverside Stadium
Middlesbrough5 - 1Luton
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: QPR 1-4 Middlesbrough
Tuesday, November 5 at 7.45pm in Championship
Tuesday, November 5 at 7.45pm in Championship
Goals
for
for
18
Last Game: Luton 1-0 Cardiff
Wednesday, November 6 at 8pm in Championship
Wednesday, November 6 at 8pm in Championship
Goals
for
for
16
We said: Middlesbrough 1-1 Luton Town
With Boro having finally hit the goal trail in midweek, they will be confident on building on that performance. However, Luton may have finally turned the corner, leading us to predict a hard-fought draw for the Hatters this weekend. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Middlesbrough win with a probability of 56.15%. A draw had a probability of 22.7% and a win for Luton Town had a probability of 21.18%.
The most likely scoreline for a Middlesbrough win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.25%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.89%) and 2-0 (9.47%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.7%), while for a Luton Town win it was 0-1 (5.8%). The actual scoreline of 5-1 was predicted with a 1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Middlesbrough would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Middlesbrough | Draw | Luton Town |
56.15% ( 0.04) | 22.67% ( -0.02) | 21.18% ( -0.02) |
| Both teams to score 54.58% ( 0.04) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 55.19% ( 0.07) | 44.81% ( -0.07) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 32.83% ( 0.07) | 67.16% ( -0.07) |
| Middlesbrough Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 84.22% ( 0.04) | 15.78% ( -0.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 55.09% ( 0.07) | 44.91% ( -0.07) |
| Luton Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 64.81% ( 0.02) | 35.19% ( -0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 28.05% ( 0.03) | 71.94% ( -0.03) |
| Score Analysis |
Middlesbrough 56.14%
Luton Town 21.18%
Draw 22.67%
| Middlesbrough | Draw | Luton Town |
| 1-0 @ 10.25% ( -0.02) 2-1 @ 9.89% ( 0)2-0 @ 9.47% ( -0.01)3-1 @ 6.09% ( 0.01)3-0 @ 5.83% ( 0)3-2 @ 3.18% ( 0.01)4-1 @ 2.81% ( 0.01)4-0 @ 2.69% ( 0.01)4-2 @ 1.47% ( 0.01)5-1 @ 1.04% ( 0.01)5-0 @ 0.99% ( 0)Other @ 2.45% Total : 56.14% | 1-1 @ 10.7% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 5.55% ( -0.02)2-2 @ 5.16% ( 0)3-3 @ 1.11% ( 0)Other @ 0.14% Total : 22.67% | 0-1 @ 5.8% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 5.59% ( -0)0-2 @ 3.03% ( -0)1-3 @ 1.95% ( 0)2-3 @ 1.8% ( 0)0-3 @ 1.05% ( -0)Other @ 1.96% Total : 21.18% |
How you voted: Middlesbrough vs Luton
Middlesbrough
75.7%Draw
13.5%Luton Town
10.8%37
Head to Head
Apr 24, 2023 8pm
Dec 10, 2022 3pm
May 1, 2021 3pm
Form Guide
