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Luton Town
Championship | Gameweek 14
Nov 6, 2024 at 8pm UK
Kenilworth Road Stadium
Cardiff City logo

Luton
1 - 0
Cardiff

Brown (57')
Morris (43'), Mengi (84')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Goutas (86')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Championship clash between Luton Town and Cardiff City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Luton 1-1 West Brom
Friday, November 1 at 8pm in Championship
Last Game: Cardiff 2-1 Norwich
Saturday, November 2 at 3pm in Championship

We said: Luton Town 1-1 Cardiff City

Cardiff are the clear favourites for this contest and it will come as a surprise if they do not battle their way to a hard-earned victory. For us, though, Luton must surely click into gear at some stage and we are backing them to secure a share of the spoils here. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Luton Town win with a probability of 43.07%. A win for Cardiff City had a probability of 31.85% and a draw had a probability of 25.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Luton Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.29%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.01%) and 2-0 (7.07%). The likeliest Cardiff City win was 0-1 (7.78%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.84%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Luton Town in this match.

Result
Luton TownDrawCardiff City
43.07% (3.131 3.13) 25.09% (-0.041 -0.04) 31.85% (-3.084 -3.08)
Both teams to score 56.3% (-0.777 -0.78)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.95% (-0.608 -0.61)47.05% (0.614 0.61)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.71% (-0.57 -0.57)69.29% (0.575 0.58)
Luton Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.17% (1.253 1.25)21.83% (-1.247 -1.25)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.94% (1.869 1.87)55.06% (-1.862 -1.86)
Cardiff City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.03% (-2.179 -2.18)27.97% (2.185 2.19)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.39% (-2.868 -2.87)63.61% (2.874 2.87)
Score Analysis
    Luton Town 43.07%
    Cardiff City 31.85%
    Draw 25.09%
Luton TownDrawCardiff City
1-0 @ 9.29% (0.567 0.57)
2-1 @ 9.01% (0.339 0.34)
2-0 @ 7.07% (0.674 0.67)
3-1 @ 4.57% (0.333 0.33)
3-0 @ 3.59% (0.46 0.46)
3-2 @ 2.91% (0.04 0.04)
4-1 @ 1.74% (0.185 0.19)
4-0 @ 1.37% (0.219 0.22)
4-2 @ 1.11% (0.054 0.05)
Other @ 2.42%
Total : 43.07%
1-1 @ 11.84% (0.02 0.02)
0-0 @ 6.11% (0.156 0.16)
2-2 @ 5.74% (-0.137 -0.14)
3-3 @ 1.24% (-0.061 -0.06)
Other @ 0.16%
Total : 25.09%
0-1 @ 7.78% (-0.286 -0.29)
1-2 @ 7.54% (-0.473 -0.47)
0-2 @ 4.96% (-0.51 -0.51)
1-3 @ 3.2% (-0.418 -0.42)
2-3 @ 2.44% (-0.218 -0.22)
0-3 @ 2.1% (-0.365 -0.37)
1-4 @ 1.02% (-0.207 -0.21)
Other @ 2.81%
Total : 31.85%

How you voted: Luton vs Cardiff

Luton Town
Draw
Cardiff City
Luton Town
48.1%
Draw
16.9%
Cardiff City
35.1%
77
Head to Head
Jan 31, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 29
Luton
1-0
Cardiff
Adebayo (88')
Aug 30, 2022 7.45pm
Gameweek 7
Cardiff
1-2
Luton
Sawyers (85')
Freeman (47'), Osho (62')
Apr 18, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 43
Cardiff
0-1
Luton

Bagan (55')
Cornick (71')
Naismith (90+3')
Nov 27, 2021 3pm
Gameweek 20
Luton
1-2
Cardiff
Clark (64')
Rea (42')
Colwill (10'), Morrison (77')
Morrison (38'), Smithies (85')
Feb 16, 2021 8.15pm
Gameweek 30
Luton
0-2
Cardiff
Wilson (53'), Vaulks (57')
Vaulks (65')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Leeds UnitedLeeds382311476255180
2Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd38257653282580
3Burnley382115252114178
4Sunderland381912755371869
5Coventry CityCoventry38178135548759
6West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom381318748341457
7Bristol City38141594941857
8Middlesbrough38159145748954
9Blackburn RoversBlackburn38157164240252
10Watford38157164751-452
11Millwall381312133739-251
12Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds38149155359-651
13Norwich CityNorwich381213136054649
14Preston North EndPreston381017113944-547
15Queens Park RangersQPR381112154450-645
16Swansea CitySwansea38128183849-1144
17Portsmouth38119184661-1542
18Oxford UnitedOxford Utd381012163955-1642
19Hull City381011173947-841
20Stoke CityStoke38912173751-1439
21Cardiff CityCardiff38912174262-2039
22Derby CountyDerby38108204051-1138
23Luton TownLuton3898213460-2635
24Plymouth ArgylePlymouth38712194077-3733


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