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Luton Town
Championship | Gameweek 8
Oct 1, 2024 at 7.45pm UK
Kenilworth Road Stadium
Oxford United

Luton
2 - 2
Oxford Utd

Clark (10'), Krauss (37')
Doughty (56'), Burke (90+7'), Ruddock (90+6')
Walsh (77')
FT(HT: 2-1)
Goodrham (45'), Rodrigues (54')
Kioso (48'), El Mizouni (68'), Moore (89')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's Championship clash between Luton Town and Oxford United, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Plymouth 3-1 Luton
Friday, September 27 at 8pm in Championship
Last Game: Oxford Utd 0-0 Burnley
Saturday, September 28 at 3pm in Championship

We said: Luton Town 2-1 Oxford United

Both teams have scored in the last six meetings between these two sides, and while neither have been particularly ruthless in attack so far, that is likely to happen again. Oxford's awful away form is a concern, and despite Luton's troubles, they will see themselves as favourites in this one, and could edge a narrow encounter to extend their home unbeaten run to 10 games over the U's. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Luton Town win with a probability of 50.56%. A win for Oxford United had a probability of 25.61% and a draw had a probability of 23.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Luton Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.64%) and 2-0 (8.35%). The likeliest Oxford United win was 0-1 (6.54%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.22%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.6% likelihood.

Result
Luton TownDrawOxford United
50.56% (0.103 0.1) 23.83% (-0.035 -0.04) 25.61% (-0.069999999999997 -0.07)
Both teams to score 56.16% (0.037999999999997 0.04)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
54.72% (0.081000000000003 0.08)45.27% (-0.085000000000001 -0.09)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
32.38% (0.077999999999996 0.08)67.61% (-0.081999999999994 -0.08)
Luton Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.04% (0.070000000000007 0.07)17.96% (-0.073 -0.07)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
51.2% (0.122 0.12)48.79% (-0.123 -0.12)
Oxford United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.45% (-0.013000000000005 -0.01)31.55% (0.010999999999999 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.06% (-0.017000000000003 -0.02)67.94% (0.013999999999996 0.01)
Score Analysis
    Luton Town 50.56%
    Oxford United 25.61%
    Draw 23.83%
Luton TownDrawOxford United
1-0 @ 9.73% (-0.013 -0.01)
2-1 @ 9.64% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
2-0 @ 8.35% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
3-1 @ 5.52% (0.016999999999999 0.02)
3-0 @ 4.78% (0.016 0.02)
3-2 @ 3.18% (0.008 0.01)
4-1 @ 2.37% (0.013 0.01)
4-0 @ 2.05% (0.011 0.01)
4-2 @ 1.37% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
Other @ 3.58%
Total : 50.56%
1-1 @ 11.22% (-0.02 -0.02)
0-0 @ 5.67% (-0.021 -0.02)
2-2 @ 5.56% (0.0019999999999998 0)
3-3 @ 1.22% (0.002 0)
Other @ 0.16%
Total : 23.83%
0-1 @ 6.54% (-0.026000000000001 -0.03)
1-2 @ 6.47% (-0.013 -0.01)
0-2 @ 3.77% (-0.016 -0.02)
1-3 @ 2.49% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
2-3 @ 2.14% (0.00099999999999989 0)
0-3 @ 1.45% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
Other @ 2.75%
Total : 25.61%

How you voted: Luton vs Oxford Utd

Luton Town
Draw
Oxford United
Luton Town
62.7%
Draw
18.1%
Oxford United
19.3%
83
Head to Head
May 4, 2019 5.30pm
Gameweek 46
Luton
3-1
Oxford Utd
Moncur (3', 73'), Lee (53')
Pearson (77')
Garbutt (60')
Brannagan (45'), Hanson (63'), Browne (80')
Oct 2, 2018 7.45pm
Gameweek 11
Oxford Utd
1-2
Luton
Holmes (48')
Baptiste (28'), Hanson (76'), McMahon (90'), Brannagan (90')
Baptiste (73')
Collins (55'), Potts (90')
Stacey (66'), Lee (76'), Rea (82')
Mar 1, 2017 7.45pm
-
Luton
2-3
Oxford Utd
Vassell (72'), Hylton (82')
Rea (22'), Mullins (90')
Edwards (10'), Ruddock (70' og.), Johnson (85')
Edwards (34')
Apr 16, 2016 3pm
Oxford Utd
2-3
Luton
Hylton (2'), Dunkley (51')
Hylton (32'), Kenny (75')
Pigott (44', 58'), Lee (45')
Aug 15, 2015 3pm
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Leeds UnitedLeeds382311476255180
2Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd38257653282580
3Burnley382115252114178
4Sunderland381912755371869
5Coventry CityCoventry38178135548759
6West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom381318748341457
7Bristol City38141594941857
8Middlesbrough38159145748954
9Blackburn RoversBlackburn38157164240252
10Watford38157164751-452
11Millwall381312133739-251
12Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds38149155359-651
13Norwich CityNorwich381213136054649
14Preston North EndPreston381017113944-547
15Queens Park RangersQPR381112154450-645
16Swansea CitySwansea38128183849-1144
17Portsmouth38119184661-1542
18Oxford UnitedOxford Utd381012163955-1642
19Hull City381011173947-841
20Stoke CityStoke38912173751-1439
21Cardiff CityCardiff38912174262-2039
22Derby CountyDerby38108204051-1138
23Luton TownLuton3898213460-2635
24Plymouth ArgylePlymouth38712194077-3733


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