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Luton Town
Championship | Gameweek 6
Sep 21, 2024 at 3pm UK
Kenilworth Road Stadium
Sheffield Wednesday logo

Luton
2 - 1
Sheff Weds

Morris (75' pen., 88')
Burke (80')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Bannan (52')
Bernard (67'), Ingelsson (71')
Bernard (74')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Luton Town and Sheffield Wednesday, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Millwall 0-1 Luton
Saturday, September 14 at 12.30pm in Championship

We said: Luton Town 2-1 Sheffield Wednesday

Luton Town are yet to truly kick into gear on their return to the Championship, but with confidence from a first victory last time out, they should have the quality to get over the line at home to a Sheffield Wednesday side lacking a degree of confidence of their own. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Luton Town win with a probability of 40.39%. A win for Sheffield Wednesday had a probability of 34.62% and a draw had a probability of 25%.

The most likely scoreline for a Luton Town win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.64%) and 2-0 (6.42%). The likeliest Sheffield Wednesday win was 1-2 (7.97%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.73%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Luton Town in this match.

Result
Luton TownDrawSheffield Wednesday
40.39% (-0.091999999999999 -0.09) 24.99% (0.018000000000001 0.02) 34.62% (0.073 0.07)
Both teams to score 57.51% (-0.055 -0.05)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
54.14% (-0.079999999999998 -0.08)45.85% (0.079000000000001 0.08)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
31.83% (-0.074000000000002 -0.07)68.17% (0.075000000000003 0.08)
Luton Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.4% (-0.079000000000008 -0.08)22.6% (0.079000000000001 0.08)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.79% (-0.12 -0.12)56.21% (0.119 0.12)
Sheffield Wednesday Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.3% (0.0030000000000001 0)25.7% (-0.004999999999999 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.38% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)60.61% (-0.0069999999999979 -0.01)
Score Analysis
    Luton Town 40.39%
    Sheffield Wednesday 34.62%
    Draw 24.98%
Luton TownDrawSheffield Wednesday
2-1 @ 8.73% (-0.010999999999999 -0.01)
1-0 @ 8.64% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
2-0 @ 6.42% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
3-1 @ 4.33% (-0.016 -0.02)
3-0 @ 3.18% (-0.012 -0.01)
3-2 @ 2.94% (-0.011 -0.01)
4-1 @ 1.61% (-0.0090000000000001 -0.01)
4-0 @ 1.18% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
4-2 @ 1.09% (-0.006 -0.01)
Other @ 2.27%
Total : 40.39%
1-1 @ 11.73% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-2 @ 5.93% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
0-0 @ 5.81% (0.019 0.02)
3-3 @ 1.33% (-0.0050000000000001 -0.01)
Other @ 0.18%
Total : 24.98%
1-2 @ 7.97% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-1 @ 7.89% (0.027 0.03)
0-2 @ 5.36% (0.019 0.02)
1-3 @ 3.61% (0.0049999999999999 0)
2-3 @ 2.69% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
0-3 @ 2.43% (0.0089999999999999 0.01)
1-4 @ 1.23% (0.002 0)
2-4 @ 0.91% (-0.001 -0)
Other @ 2.53%
Total : 34.62%

How you voted: Luton vs Sheff Weds

Luton Town
70.7%
Draw
15.5%
Sheffield Wednesday
13.8%
58
Head to Head
Jul 29, 2023 3pm
Club Friendlies
Sheff Weds
1-2
Luton
Smith (8' pen.)
Ruddock Mpanzu (23'), Morris (82')
Feb 27, 2021 3pm
Gameweek 33
Luton
3-2
Sheff Weds
Naismith (50'), Tunnicliffe (58'), Adebayo (86')
Rea (84')
Windass (6', 42')
Hutchinson (82'), Urhoghide (85')
Oct 24, 2020 3pm
Gameweek 7
Sheff Weds
0-1
Luton

Odubajo (60')
van Aken (71')
Ruddock (74')
Cranie (90+1')
Feb 12, 2020 7.45pm
Aug 20, 2019 7.45pm
Gameweek 4
Sheff Weds
1-0
Luton
Harris (54')
Fletcher (83'), Hutchinson (84')

Pearson (50')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Sunderland1594225111431
2Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd1510321971231
3Leeds UnitedLeeds158522491529
4Burnley157621861227
5West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom15672169725
6Watford158162322125
7Middlesbrough157352317624
8Millwall156541813523
9Blackburn RoversBlackburn156451917222
10Bristol City155732019122
11Swansea CitySwansea155461110119
12Derby CountyDerby155461919019
13Stoke CityStoke155461819-119
14Norwich CityNorwich154652322118
15Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds155371725-818
16Oxford UnitedOxford Utd154561718-117
17Coventry CityCoventry154472021-116
18Plymouth ArgylePlymouth154471526-1116
19Hull City153661620-415
20Preston North EndPreston153661523-815
21Luton TownLuton154381726-915
22Cardiff CityCardiff154381423-915
23Portsmouth152671628-1212
24Queens Park RangersQPR151771225-1310


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