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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sheffield Wednesday win with a probability of 39.8%. A win for Plymouth Argyle had a probability of 34.21% and a draw had a probability of 26%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sheffield Wednesday win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.58%) and 2-0 (6.76%). The likeliest Plymouth Argyle win was 0-1 (8.89%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.35%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 1.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Sheffield Wednesday would win this match.
Result | ||
Sheffield Wednesday | Draw | Plymouth Argyle |
39.8% ( -0.04) | 25.99% ( 0.13) | 34.21% ( -0.09) |
Both teams to score 53.98% ( -0.46) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
49.62% ( -0.58) | 50.38% ( 0.58) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
27.68% ( -0.52) | 72.31% ( 0.52) |
Sheffield Wednesday Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
75.08% ( -0.29) | 24.92% ( 0.28) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
40.46% ( -0.4) | 59.54% ( 0.39) |
Plymouth Argyle Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
71.89% ( -0.34) | 28.1% ( 0.34) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
36.22% ( -0.43) | 63.78% ( 0.43) |
Score Analysis |
Sheffield Wednesday | Draw | Plymouth Argyle |
1-0 @ 9.73% ( 0.15) 2-1 @ 8.58% ( -0.02) 2-0 @ 6.76% ( 0.05) 3-1 @ 3.98% ( -0.04) 3-0 @ 3.13% ( -0) 3-2 @ 2.52% ( -0.05) 4-1 @ 1.38% ( -0.03) 4-0 @ 1.09% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.62% Total : 39.8% | 1-1 @ 12.35% ( 0.08) 0-0 @ 7% ( 0.16) 2-2 @ 5.45% ( -0.07) 3-3 @ 1.07% ( -0.03) Other @ 0.13% Total : 25.99% | 0-1 @ 8.89% ( 0.12) 1-2 @ 7.84% ( -0.03) 0-2 @ 5.64% ( 0.03) 1-3 @ 3.32% ( -0.04) 0-3 @ 2.39% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 2.3% ( -0.05) 1-4 @ 1.05% ( -0.02) Other @ 2.78% Total : 34.21% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd | 16 | 10 | 4 | 2 | 21 | 9 | 12 | 32 |
2 | Sunderland | 15 | 9 | 4 | 2 | 25 | 11 | 14 | 31 |
3 | Burnley | 16 | 8 | 6 | 2 | 19 | 6 | 13 | 30 |
4 | Leeds UnitedLeeds | 15 | 8 | 5 | 2 | 24 | 9 | 15 | 29 |
5 | Middlesbrough | 16 | 8 | 3 | 5 | 29 | 19 | 10 | 27 |
6 | West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom | 16 | 6 | 8 | 2 | 18 | 11 | 7 | 26 |
7 | Watford | 16 | 8 | 2 | 6 | 25 | 24 | 1 | 26 |
8 | Millwall | 15 | 6 | 5 | 4 | 18 | 13 | 5 | 23 |
9 | Blackburn RoversBlackburn | 15 | 6 | 4 | 5 | 19 | 17 | 2 | 22 |
10 | Bristol City | 16 | 5 | 7 | 4 | 20 | 20 | 0 | 22 |
11 | Derby CountyDerby | 16 | 5 | 5 | 6 | 20 | 20 | 0 | 20 |
12 | Stoke CityStoke | 16 | 5 | 5 | 6 | 19 | 20 | -1 | 20 |
13 | Norwich CityNorwich | 16 | 4 | 7 | 5 | 25 | 24 | 1 | 19 |
14 | Swansea CitySwansea | 15 | 5 | 4 | 6 | 11 | 10 | 1 | 19 |
15 | Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds | 16 | 5 | 4 | 7 | 18 | 26 | -8 | 19 |
16 | Luton TownLuton | 16 | 5 | 3 | 8 | 18 | 26 | -8 | 18 |
17 | Coventry CityCoventry | 16 | 4 | 5 | 7 | 22 | 23 | -1 | 17 |
18 | Oxford UnitedOxford Utd | 16 | 4 | 5 | 7 | 19 | 24 | -5 | 17 |
19 | Plymouth ArgylePlymouth | 16 | 4 | 5 | 7 | 17 | 28 | -11 | 17 |
20 | Preston North EndPreston | 16 | 3 | 7 | 6 | 16 | 24 | -8 | 16 |
21 | Cardiff CityCardiff | 16 | 4 | 4 | 8 | 15 | 24 | -9 | 16 |
22 | Hull City | 16 | 3 | 6 | 7 | 16 | 21 | -5 | 15 |
23 | Portsmouth | 15 | 2 | 6 | 7 | 16 | 28 | -12 | 12 |
24 | Queens Park RangersQPR | 16 | 1 | 8 | 7 | 13 | 26 | -13 | 11 |
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