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Plymouth Argyle
Championship | Gameweek 43
Apr 12, 2024 at 8pm UK
Home Park
Leicester logo

Plymouth
1 - 0
Leicester

Bundu (21')
Miller (30'), Forshaw (41'), Hardie (49'), Whittaker (50'), Waine (90+1')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Ndidi (45+4'), Vestergaard (69')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Championship clash between Plymouth Argyle and Leicester City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Plymouth 1-1 QPR
Tuesday, April 9 at 7.45pm in Championship

We said: Plymouth Argyle 1-2 Leicester City

Given the manner in which Plymouth have improved of late, we would not be surprised to see the Pilgrims earn a share of the spoils here. However, the Foxes' superior quality in the final third may lead to them edging a late win at Home Park. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Leicester City win with a probability of 52.9%. A win for Plymouth Argyle had a probability of 25.33% and a draw had a probability of 21.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Leicester City win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.32%) and 0-2 (7.25%). The likeliest Plymouth Argyle win was 2-1 (6.35%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.64%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 4.9% likelihood.

Result
Plymouth ArgyleDrawLeicester City
25.33% (-0.013999999999999 -0.01) 21.77% (0.012 0.01) 52.9% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
Both teams to score 63.11% (-0.070999999999998 -0.07)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
64.03% (-0.082999999999998 -0.08)35.97% (0.086999999999996 0.09)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
41.93% (-0.091999999999999 -0.09)58.07% (0.097000000000001 0.1)
Plymouth Argyle Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.2% (-0.058000000000007 -0.06)26.8% (0.061 0.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.91% (-0.078000000000003 -0.08)62.09% (0.081000000000003 0.08)
Leicester City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
86.22% (-0.025000000000006 -0.03)13.78% (0.030000000000001 0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
58.9% (-0.055 -0.05)41.1% (0.060000000000002 0.06)
Score Analysis
    Plymouth Argyle 25.33%
    Leicester City 52.9%
    Draw 21.77%
Plymouth ArgyleDrawLeicester City
2-1 @ 6.35%
1-0 @ 4.86% (0.013 0.01)
2-0 @ 3.2% (0.0029999999999997 0)
3-1 @ 2.79% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
3-2 @ 2.76% (-0.008 -0.01)
3-0 @ 1.41% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
4-1 @ 0.92% (-0.003 -0)
4-2 @ 0.91% (-0.004 -0)
Other @ 2.14%
Total : 25.33%
1-1 @ 9.64% (0.014999999999999 0.01)
2-2 @ 6.29% (-0.008 -0.01)
0-0 @ 3.69% (0.016 0.02)
3-3 @ 1.82% (-0.008 -0.01)
Other @ 0.33%
Total : 21.77%
1-2 @ 9.55% (0.0050000000000008 0.01)
0-1 @ 7.32% (0.024 0.02)
0-2 @ 7.25% (0.016 0.02)
1-3 @ 6.31% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
0-3 @ 4.79% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
2-3 @ 4.15% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
1-4 @ 3.13% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
0-4 @ 2.37% (0.00099999999999989 0)
2-4 @ 2.06% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
1-5 @ 1.24% (-0.0029999999999999 -0)
0-5 @ 0.94% (-0.001 -0)
3-4 @ 0.9% (-0.005 -0.01)
Other @ 2.88%
Total : 52.9%

How you voted: Plymouth vs Leicester

Plymouth Argyle
12.8%
Draw
18.3%
Leicester City
68.8%
109
Head to Head
Dec 9, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 20
Leicester
4-0
Plymouth
Mavididi (14' pen., 52'), Daka (49'), Ndidi (55')

Gibson (42'), Miller (44'), Galloway (67')
Feb 20, 2010 3pm
Plymouth
1-1
Leicester
Noone (39')
Arnason (26')
Arnason (32' og.)
Brown (54'), Gallagher (78')
Nov 21, 2009 3pm
Feb 9, 2008 3pm
Leicester
0-1
Plymouth

Howard (30'), Hume (78'), Laczko (90')
Halmosi (34')
Connolly (45')
Sep 1, 2007 3pm
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
1.15am
Bengals
@
Ravens
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Sunderland149322391430
2Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd149321871128
3Leeds UnitedLeeds147522291326
4Burnley146621761124
5West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom14572148622
6Millwall146441712522
7Watford147162222022
8Middlesbrough146351816221
9Swansea CitySwansea14545119219
10Blackburn RoversBlackburn145451616019
11Bristol City144731819-119
12Norwich CityNorwich144642320318
13Derby CountyDerby145361818018
14Stoke CityStoke145361718-118
15Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds145361724-718
16Oxford UnitedOxford Utd144551717017
17Coventry CityCoventry144371819-115
18Hull City143651518-315
19Luton TownLuton144371621-515
20Preston North EndPreston143651420-615
21Cardiff CityCardiff144371320-715
22Plymouth ArgylePlymouth144371425-1115
23Queens Park RangersQPR141761223-1110
24Portsmouth141671327-149


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