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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Leicester City win with a probability of 52.9%. A win for Plymouth Argyle had a probability of 25.33% and a draw had a probability of 21.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Leicester City win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.32%) and 0-2 (7.25%). The likeliest Plymouth Argyle win was 2-1 (6.35%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.64%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 4.9% likelihood.
Result | ||
Plymouth Argyle | Draw | Leicester City |
25.33% ( -0.01) | 21.77% ( 0.01) | 52.9% ( 0.01) |
Both teams to score 63.11% ( -0.07) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
64.03% ( -0.08) | 35.97% ( 0.09) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
41.93% ( -0.09) | 58.07% ( 0.1) |
Plymouth Argyle Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
73.2% ( -0.06) | 26.8% ( 0.06) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
37.91% ( -0.08) | 62.09% ( 0.08) |
Leicester City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
86.22% ( -0.03) | 13.78% ( 0.03) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
58.9% ( -0.05) | 41.1% ( 0.06) |
Score Analysis |
Plymouth Argyle | Draw | Leicester City |
2-1 @ 6.35% 1-0 @ 4.86% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 3.2% ( 0) 3-1 @ 2.79% ( -0) 3-2 @ 2.76% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 1.41% ( -0) 4-1 @ 0.92% ( -0) 4-2 @ 0.91% ( -0) Other @ 2.14% Total : 25.33% | 1-1 @ 9.64% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 6.29% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 3.69% ( 0.02) 3-3 @ 1.82% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.33% Total : 21.77% | 1-2 @ 9.55% ( 0.01) 0-1 @ 7.32% ( 0.02) 0-2 @ 7.25% ( 0.02) 1-3 @ 6.31% ( -0) 0-3 @ 4.79% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 4.15% ( -0.01) 1-4 @ 3.13% ( -0) 0-4 @ 2.37% ( 0) 2-4 @ 2.06% ( -0.01) 1-5 @ 1.24% ( -0) 0-5 @ 0.94% ( -0) 3-4 @ 0.9% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.88% Total : 52.9% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Sunderland | 14 | 9 | 3 | 2 | 23 | 9 | 14 | 30 |
2 | Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd | 14 | 9 | 3 | 2 | 18 | 7 | 11 | 28 |
3 | Leeds UnitedLeeds | 14 | 7 | 5 | 2 | 22 | 9 | 13 | 26 |
4 | Burnley | 14 | 6 | 6 | 2 | 17 | 6 | 11 | 24 |
5 | West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom | 14 | 5 | 7 | 2 | 14 | 8 | 6 | 22 |
6 | Millwall | 14 | 6 | 4 | 4 | 17 | 12 | 5 | 22 |
7 | Watford | 14 | 7 | 1 | 6 | 22 | 22 | 0 | 22 |
8 | Middlesbrough | 14 | 6 | 3 | 5 | 18 | 16 | 2 | 21 |
9 | Swansea CitySwansea | 14 | 5 | 4 | 5 | 11 | 9 | 2 | 19 |
10 | Blackburn RoversBlackburn | 14 | 5 | 4 | 5 | 16 | 16 | 0 | 19 |
11 | Bristol City | 14 | 4 | 7 | 3 | 18 | 19 | -1 | 19 |
12 | Norwich CityNorwich | 14 | 4 | 6 | 4 | 23 | 20 | 3 | 18 |
13 | Derby CountyDerby | 14 | 5 | 3 | 6 | 18 | 18 | 0 | 18 |
14 | Stoke CityStoke | 14 | 5 | 3 | 6 | 17 | 18 | -1 | 18 |
15 | Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds | 14 | 5 | 3 | 6 | 17 | 24 | -7 | 18 |
16 | Oxford UnitedOxford Utd | 14 | 4 | 5 | 5 | 17 | 17 | 0 | 17 |
17 | Coventry CityCoventry | 14 | 4 | 3 | 7 | 18 | 19 | -1 | 15 |
18 | Hull City | 14 | 3 | 6 | 5 | 15 | 18 | -3 | 15 |
19 | Luton TownLuton | 14 | 4 | 3 | 7 | 16 | 21 | -5 | 15 |
20 | Preston North EndPreston | 14 | 3 | 6 | 5 | 14 | 20 | -6 | 15 |
21 | Cardiff CityCardiff | 14 | 4 | 3 | 7 | 13 | 20 | -7 | 15 |
22 | Plymouth ArgylePlymouth | 14 | 4 | 3 | 7 | 14 | 25 | -11 | 15 |
23 | Queens Park RangersQPR | 14 | 1 | 7 | 6 | 12 | 23 | -11 | 10 |
24 | Portsmouth | 14 | 1 | 6 | 7 | 13 | 27 | -14 | 9 |
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