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Championship | Gameweek 39
Mar 29, 2024 at 3pm UK
Carrow Road
Plymouth Argyle

Norwich
2 - 1
Plymouth

Sargent (67'), Phillips (74' og.)
FT(HT: 0-1)
Whittaker (10')
Randell (18'), Foster (19'), Sorinola (30'), Miller (35'), Houghton (70'), Devine (70'), Forshaw (80'), Pleguezuelo (82')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Championship clash between Norwich City and Plymouth Argyle, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Stoke 0-3 Norwich
Saturday, March 16 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Plymouth 0-1 Preston
Saturday, March 16 at 3pm in Championship

We said: Norwich City 3-1 Plymouth Argyle

Both teams enter Friday's contest in contrasting form, but high-flying Norwich cannot take Plymouth lightly considering their thumping by the Pilgrims in the reverse fixture. However, the Canaries are in a strong position this time around to gain revenge and have plenty of attacking options at their disposal to outscore their opponents en route to an important victory. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Norwich City win with a probability of 69.72%. A draw had a probability of 18.3% and a win for Plymouth Argyle had a probability of 12.03%.

The most likely scoreline for a Norwich City win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.05%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.86%) and 2-1 (9.62%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.67%), while for a Plymouth Argyle win it was 0-1 (3.91%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Norwich City would win this match.

Result
Norwich CityDrawPlymouth Argyle
69.72% (-0.0030000000000001 -0) 18.25% (0.0030000000000001 0) 12.03% (0.00099999999999945 0)
Both teams to score 48.98%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
58.04% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)41.96% (0.0039999999999978 0)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
35.63% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)64.37% (0.0040000000000049 0)
Norwich City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
89.12% (-0.0019999999999953 -0)10.88% (0.0020000000000007 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
64.98% (-0.0040000000000049 -0)35.02% (0.0049999999999955 0)
Plymouth Argyle Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
54.96% (0.00099999999999767 0)45.04%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
19.04%80.96% (0.0010000000000048 0)
Score Analysis
    Norwich City 69.71%
    Plymouth Argyle 12.03%
    Draw 18.25%
Norwich CityDrawPlymouth Argyle
2-0 @ 12.05%
1-0 @ 10.86%
2-1 @ 9.62%
3-0 @ 8.91% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
3-1 @ 7.11%
4-0 @ 4.94% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
4-1 @ 3.94% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
3-2 @ 2.84%
5-0 @ 2.19%
5-1 @ 1.75% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
4-2 @ 1.57%
Other @ 3.92%
Total : 69.71%
1-1 @ 8.67% (0.00099999999999945 0)
0-0 @ 4.9% (0.0010000000000003 0)
2-2 @ 3.84%
Other @ 0.84%
Total : 18.25%
0-1 @ 3.91% (0.00099999999999989 0)
1-2 @ 3.46% (0.00099999999999989 0)
0-2 @ 1.56%
2-3 @ 1.02%
1-3 @ 0.92%
Other @ 1.16%
Total : 12.03%

How you voted: Norwich vs Plymouth

Norwich City
87.5%
Draw
10.9%
Plymouth Argyle
1.6%
64
Head to Head
Sep 23, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 8
Plymouth
6-2
Norwich
Whittaker (15', 45+3', 59'), Scarr (35'), Azaz (45+5'), Cundle (90+7')
Scarr (68')
Idah (72', 78')
Mar 14, 2009 3pm
Norwich
1-0
Plymouth
Mooney (53')
Doherty (42'), Mooney (54'), Russell (65')
Russell (90')

Seip (7')
Sep 13, 2008 3pm
Plymouth
1-2
Norwich
Gallagher (90')
Timar (20'), Walton (55')
Timar (34')
Sibierski (59'), Lupoli (15')
Omozusi (22'), Lupoli (43')
Dec 4, 2007 3pm
Norwich
2-1
Plymouth
Huckerby (87' pen.), Evans (2')
Russell (57')
Timar (89')
Hayles (38'), Nalis (45'), Connolly (86'), Ebanks-Blake (90')
Nov 10, 2007 3pm
Plymouth
3-0
Norwich
Connolly (47'), Norris (49'), R Martin (26')
Timar (5')

Russell (30'), Shackell (54')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
1.15am
Buccaneers
@
Chiefs
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Sunderland139222391429
2Leeds UnitedLeeds137512281426
3Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd138321661025
4Burnley136521761123
5Watford137152221122
6West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom13562148621
7Millwall135441612419
8Blackburn RoversBlackburn135441614219
9Bristol City134721717019
10Norwich CityNorwich134632318518
11Middlesbrough135351415-118
12Swansea CitySwansea13445109116
13Coventry CityCoventry134361717015
14Derby CountyDerby134361617-115
15Hull City133641517-215
16Stoke CityStoke134361518-315
17Cardiff CityCardiff134361319-615
18Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds134361524-915
19Oxford UnitedOxford Utd133551617-114
20Preston North EndPreston133551420-614
21Luton TownLuton133371521-612
22Plymouth ArgylePlymouth133371325-1212
23Queens Park RangersQPR131751119-810
24Portsmouth131661326-139


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