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Plymouth Argyle
Championship | Gameweek 38
Mar 16, 2024 at 3pm UK
Home Park
Preston North End logo

Plymouth
0 - 1
Preston


Miller (41'), Sousa (63')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Millar (43')
Keane (17'), McCann (75')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Plymouth Argyle and Preston North End, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Blackburn 1-1 Plymouth
Saturday, March 9 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Preston 1-2 Stoke
Saturday, March 9 at 3pm in Championship

We said: Plymouth Argyle 1-2 Preston North End

While Plymouth would probably take another point, that is not the case with Preston who cannot afford more dropped points. With that in mind, we are backing the visitors to throw caution to the wind in the latter stages in order to secure a maximum return. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Plymouth Argyle win with a probability of 38%. A win for Preston North End had a probability of 36.55% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Plymouth Argyle win was 1-0 with a probability of 8.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.42%) and 2-0 (6.15%). The likeliest Preston North End win was 0-1 (8.59%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.02%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 8.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Preston North End would win this match.

Result
Plymouth ArgyleDrawPreston North End
38% (-0.015999999999998 -0.02) 25.45% (-0.0019999999999989 -0) 36.55% (0.019999999999996 0.02)
Both teams to score 56.16% (0.015999999999998 0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.29% (0.018000000000001 0.02)47.71% (-0.015999999999998 -0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.1% (0.016999999999999 0.02)69.9% (-0.016000000000005 -0.02)
Plymouth Argyle Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.34% (0.0020000000000095 0)24.66%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.82% (0.0010000000000048 0)59.18% (0.0010000000000048 0)
Preston North End Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.54% (0.019999999999996 0.02)25.46% (-0.019000000000002 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.71% (0.027000000000001 0.03)60.29% (-0.024000000000001 -0.02)
Score Analysis
    Plymouth Argyle 38%
    Preston North End 36.55%
    Draw 25.44%
Plymouth ArgyleDrawPreston North End
1-0 @ 8.79% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
2-1 @ 8.42% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
2-0 @ 6.15% (-0.0040000000000004 -0)
3-1 @ 3.93% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
3-0 @ 2.87% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
3-2 @ 2.69% (0.00099999999999989 0)
4-1 @ 1.38%
4-0 @ 1.01% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
4-2 @ 0.94% (0.001 0)
Other @ 1.84%
Total : 38%
1-1 @ 12.02%
0-0 @ 6.28% (-0.0040000000000004 -0)
2-2 @ 5.76% (0.0019999999999998 0)
3-3 @ 1.23% (0.0010000000000001 0)
Other @ 0.16%
Total : 25.44%
0-1 @ 8.59% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
1-2 @ 8.23% (0.0030000000000001 0)
0-2 @ 5.88% (0.0019999999999998 0)
1-3 @ 3.75% (0.0029999999999997 0)
0-3 @ 2.68% (0.0019999999999998 0)
2-3 @ 2.63% (0.0019999999999998 0)
1-4 @ 1.28% (0.002 0)
0-4 @ 0.92% (0.001 0)
Other @ 2.61%
Total : 36.55%

How you voted: Plymouth vs Preston

Plymouth Argyle
42.9%
Draw
11.4%
Preston North End
45.7%
35
Head to Head
Sep 16, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 6
Preston
2-1
Plymouth
Holmes (1'), Millar (25')
Ledson (22'), Holmes (32'), McCann (89')
Hardie (61')
Miller (19')
Mar 6, 2010 3pm
Plymouth
1-1
Preston
Johnson (71' pen.)
St Ledger-Hall (18')
Mawene (90'), Jones (90')
Dec 12, 2009 3pm
Feb 3, 2009 3pm
Oct 21, 2008 3pm
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd22155232112148
2Leeds UnitedLeeds22136341152645
3Burnley2212822891944
4Sunderland22127334181643
5Blackburn RoversBlackburn2111462518737
6Middlesbrough22105738281035
7West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom22811326161035
8Watford2110473028234
9Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds229582830-232
10Millwall217772118328
11Swansea CitySwansea227692424027
12Bristol City226972628-227
13Norwich CityNorwich226883734326
14Queens Park RangersQPR2251072328-525
15Luton TownLuton2274112538-1325
16Derby CountyDerby2266102728-124
17Coventry CityCoventry2266102834-624
18Preston North EndPreston2241172229-723
19Stoke CityStoke2257102330-722
20Portsmouth204882535-1020
21Hull City2247112131-1019
22Cardiff CityCardiff2146111934-1518
23Oxford UnitedOxford Utd2146112137-1618
24Plymouth ArgylePlymouth2146112245-2318


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