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Plymouth Argyle
Championship | Gameweek 38
Mar 16, 2024 at 3pm UK
Home Park
Preston North End logo

Plymouth
0 - 1
Preston


Miller (41'), Sousa (63')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Millar (43')
Keane (17'), McCann (75')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Plymouth Argyle and Preston North End, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Blackburn 1-1 Plymouth
Saturday, March 9 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Preston 1-2 Stoke
Saturday, March 9 at 3pm in Championship

We said: Plymouth Argyle 1-2 Preston North End

While Plymouth would probably take another point, that is not the case with Preston who cannot afford more dropped points. With that in mind, we are backing the visitors to throw caution to the wind in the latter stages in order to secure a maximum return. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Plymouth Argyle win with a probability of 38%. A win for Preston North End had a probability of 36.55% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Plymouth Argyle win was 1-0 with a probability of 8.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.42%) and 2-0 (6.15%). The likeliest Preston North End win was 0-1 (8.59%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.02%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 8.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Preston North End would win this match.

Result
Plymouth ArgyleDrawPreston North End
38% (-0.015999999999998 -0.02) 25.45% (-0.0019999999999989 -0) 36.55% (0.019999999999996 0.02)
Both teams to score 56.16% (0.015999999999998 0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.29% (0.018000000000001 0.02)47.71% (-0.015999999999998 -0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.1% (0.016999999999999 0.02)69.9% (-0.016000000000005 -0.02)
Plymouth Argyle Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.34% (0.0020000000000095 0)24.66%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.82% (0.0010000000000048 0)59.18% (0.0010000000000048 0)
Preston North End Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.54% (0.019999999999996 0.02)25.46% (-0.019000000000002 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.71% (0.027000000000001 0.03)60.29% (-0.024000000000001 -0.02)
Score Analysis
    Plymouth Argyle 38%
    Preston North End 36.55%
    Draw 25.44%
Plymouth ArgyleDrawPreston North End
1-0 @ 8.79% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
2-1 @ 8.42% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
2-0 @ 6.15% (-0.0040000000000004 -0)
3-1 @ 3.93% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
3-0 @ 2.87% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
3-2 @ 2.69% (0.00099999999999989 0)
4-1 @ 1.38%
4-0 @ 1.01% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
4-2 @ 0.94% (0.001 0)
Other @ 1.84%
Total : 38%
1-1 @ 12.02%
0-0 @ 6.28% (-0.0040000000000004 -0)
2-2 @ 5.76% (0.0019999999999998 0)
3-3 @ 1.23% (0.0010000000000001 0)
Other @ 0.16%
Total : 25.44%
0-1 @ 8.59% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
1-2 @ 8.23% (0.0030000000000001 0)
0-2 @ 5.88% (0.0019999999999998 0)
1-3 @ 3.75% (0.0029999999999997 0)
0-3 @ 2.68% (0.0019999999999998 0)
2-3 @ 2.63% (0.0019999999999998 0)
1-4 @ 1.28% (0.002 0)
0-4 @ 0.92% (0.001 0)
Other @ 2.61%
Total : 36.55%

How you voted: Plymouth vs Preston

Plymouth Argyle
42.9%
Draw
11.4%
Preston North End
45.7%
35
Head to Head
Sep 16, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 6
Preston
2-1
Plymouth
Holmes (1'), Millar (25')
Ledson (22'), Holmes (32'), McCann (89')
Hardie (61')
Miller (19')
Mar 6, 2010 3pm
Plymouth
1-1
Preston
Johnson (71' pen.)
St Ledger-Hall (18')
Mawene (90'), Jones (90')
Dec 12, 2009 3pm
Feb 3, 2009 3pm
Oct 21, 2008 3pm
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Sunderland1695226121432
2Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd1610422191232
3Burnley168621961330
4Leeds UnitedLeeds158522491529
5Middlesbrough1683529191027
6West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom166821811726
7Watford168262524126
8Millwall166641914524
9Blackburn RoversBlackburn156451917222
10Bristol City165742020022
11Derby CountyDerby165562020020
12Stoke CityStoke165561920-120
13Norwich CityNorwich164752524119
14Swansea CitySwansea155461110119
15Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds165471826-819
16Luton TownLuton165381826-818
17Coventry CityCoventry164572223-117
18Oxford UnitedOxford Utd164571924-517
19Plymouth ArgylePlymouth164571728-1117
20Preston North EndPreston163761624-816
21Cardiff CityCardiff164481524-916
22Hull City163671621-515
23Portsmouth152671628-1212
24Queens Park RangersQPR161871326-1311


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