Championship

Championship | Gameweek 32

Feb 14, 2024 at 7.45pm UK

Deepdale

Preston
2 - 1
Middlesbrough

Millar (23'), Riis Jakobsen (60')
Storey (86'), Browne (90+2')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Azaz (57')
McGree (90+6')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Championship clash between Preston North End and Middlesbrough, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Preston North End

All competitions

Championship

Last Game: Cardiff 0-2 Preston
Saturday, February 10 at 3pm in Championship

Goals
for

Top scorers

Middlesbrough

All competitions

Championship

Last Game: Middlesbrough 1-2 Bristol City
Saturday, February 10 at 3pm in Championship

Goals
for

Top scorers

We said: Preston North End 1-1 Middlesbrough

With momentum in their favour, Preston are justifiably favourites to come through this contest on home territory. However, Boro are in a position where they need a response, and we are backing Carrick's side to deliver, even if it is only in the form of a draw. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Middlesbrough win with a probability of 42.89%. A win for Preston North End had a probability of 32.94% and a draw had a probability of 24.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Middlesbrough win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.99%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.07%) and 0-2 (6.5%). The likeliest Preston North End win was 2-1 (7.72%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.16%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.7% likelihood.

Result
Preston North End	Draw	Middlesbrough
32.94% ( -0.15)	24.16% ( 0.21)	42.89% ( -0.06)

Both teams to score 59.94% (

-0.81)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

57.52% (

-1.04)

42.48% (

1.04)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

35.11% (

-1.04)

64.88% (

1.05)

Preston North End Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

74.91% (

-0.58)

25.08% (

0.59)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

40.23% (

-0.82)

59.77% (

0.82)

Middlesbrough Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

80% (

-0.45)

19.99% (

0.45)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

47.82% (

-0.74)

52.18% (

0.74)

Score Analysis

Preston North End 32.94%

Middlesbrough 42.9%

Draw 24.16%

Preston North End	Draw	Middlesbrough
2-1 @ 7.72% ( -0.01) 1-0 @ 6.94% ( 0.2) 2-0 @ 4.8% ( 0.06) 3-1 @ 3.56% ( -0.07) 3-2 @ 2.87% ( -0.09) 3-0 @ 2.21% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 1.23% ( -0.04) 4-2 @ 0.99% ( -0.05) Other @ 2.63% Total : 32.94%	1-1 @ 11.16% ( 0.17) 2-2 @ 6.21% ( -0.1) 0-0 @ 5.02% ( 0.23) 3-3 @ 1.54% ( -0.07) Other @ 0.23% Total : 24.16%	1-2 @ 8.99% ( 0.01) 0-1 @ 8.07% ( 0.26) 0-2 @ 6.5% ( 0.12) 1-3 @ 4.82% ( -0.06) 0-3 @ 3.49% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 3.33% ( -0.1) 1-4 @ 1.94% ( -0.05) 0-4 @ 1.4% ( -0.01) 2-4 @ 1.34% ( -0.06) Other @ 3.01% Total : 42.9%