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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Middlesbrough win with a probability of 42.89%. A win for Preston North End had a probability of 32.94% and a draw had a probability of 24.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Middlesbrough win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.99%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.07%) and 0-2 (6.5%). The likeliest Preston North End win was 2-1 (7.72%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.16%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.7% likelihood.
Result | ||
Preston North End | Draw | Middlesbrough |
32.94% ( -0.15) | 24.16% ( 0.21) | 42.89% ( -0.06) |
Both teams to score 59.94% ( -0.81) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
57.52% ( -1.04) | 42.48% ( 1.04) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
35.11% ( -1.04) | 64.88% ( 1.05) |
Preston North End Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
74.91% ( -0.58) | 25.08% ( 0.59) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
40.23% ( -0.82) | 59.77% ( 0.82) |
Middlesbrough Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
80% ( -0.45) | 19.99% ( 0.45) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
47.82% ( -0.74) | 52.18% ( 0.74) |
Score Analysis |
Preston North End | Draw | Middlesbrough |
2-1 @ 7.72% ( -0.01) 1-0 @ 6.94% ( 0.2) 2-0 @ 4.8% ( 0.06) 3-1 @ 3.56% ( -0.07) 3-2 @ 2.87% ( -0.09) 3-0 @ 2.21% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 1.23% ( -0.04) 4-2 @ 0.99% ( -0.05) Other @ 2.63% Total : 32.94% | 1-1 @ 11.16% ( 0.17) 2-2 @ 6.21% ( -0.1) 0-0 @ 5.02% ( 0.23) 3-3 @ 1.54% ( -0.07) Other @ 0.23% Total : 24.16% | 1-2 @ 8.99% ( 0.01) 0-1 @ 8.07% ( 0.26) 0-2 @ 6.5% ( 0.12) 1-3 @ 4.82% ( -0.06) 0-3 @ 3.49% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 3.33% ( -0.1) 1-4 @ 1.94% ( -0.05) 0-4 @ 1.4% ( -0.01) 2-4 @ 1.34% ( -0.06) Other @ 3.01% Total : 42.9% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Sunderland | 13 | 9 | 2 | 2 | 23 | 9 | 14 | 29 |
2 | Leeds UnitedLeeds | 13 | 7 | 5 | 1 | 22 | 8 | 14 | 26 |
3 | Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd | 13 | 8 | 3 | 2 | 16 | 6 | 10 | 25 |
4 | Burnley | 13 | 6 | 5 | 2 | 17 | 6 | 11 | 23 |
5 | Watford | 13 | 7 | 1 | 5 | 22 | 21 | 1 | 22 |
6 | West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom | 13 | 5 | 6 | 2 | 14 | 8 | 6 | 21 |
7 | Millwall | 13 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 16 | 12 | 4 | 19 |
8 | Blackburn RoversBlackburn | 13 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 16 | 14 | 2 | 19 |
9 | Bristol City | 13 | 4 | 7 | 2 | 17 | 17 | 0 | 19 |
10 | Norwich CityNorwich | 13 | 4 | 6 | 3 | 23 | 18 | 5 | 18 |
11 | Middlesbrough | 13 | 5 | 3 | 5 | 14 | 15 | -1 | 18 |
12 | Swansea CitySwansea | 13 | 4 | 4 | 5 | 10 | 9 | 1 | 16 |
13 | Coventry CityCoventry | 13 | 4 | 3 | 6 | 17 | 17 | 0 | 15 |
14 | Derby CountyDerby | 13 | 4 | 3 | 6 | 16 | 17 | -1 | 15 |
15 | Hull City | 13 | 3 | 6 | 4 | 15 | 17 | -2 | 15 |
16 | Stoke CityStoke | 13 | 4 | 3 | 6 | 15 | 18 | -3 | 15 |
17 | Cardiff CityCardiff | 13 | 4 | 3 | 6 | 13 | 19 | -6 | 15 |
18 | Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds | 13 | 4 | 3 | 6 | 15 | 24 | -9 | 15 |
19 | Oxford UnitedOxford Utd | 13 | 3 | 5 | 5 | 16 | 17 | -1 | 14 |
20 | Preston North EndPreston | 13 | 3 | 5 | 5 | 14 | 20 | -6 | 14 |
21 | Luton TownLuton | 13 | 3 | 3 | 7 | 15 | 21 | -6 | 12 |
22 | Plymouth ArgylePlymouth | 13 | 3 | 3 | 7 | 13 | 25 | -12 | 12 |
23 | Queens Park RangersQPR | 13 | 1 | 7 | 5 | 11 | 19 | -8 | 10 |
24 | Portsmouth | 13 | 1 | 6 | 6 | 13 | 26 | -13 | 9 |
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