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Championship | Gameweek 28
Jan 21, 2024 at 12pm UK
Elland Road
Preston North End logo

Leeds
2 - 1
Preston

James (6'), Piroe (90+4' pen.)
Summerville (38'), Rutter (67'), Firpo (76'), Bamford (85')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Keane (2')
Whiteman (8'), McCann (34'), Lindsay (62'), Cornell (83'), Ledson (85'), Stewart (86')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Championship clash between Leeds United and Preston North End, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Cardiff 0-3 Leeds
Saturday, January 13 at 3pm in Championship

We said: Leeds United 3-0 Preston North End

While Preston have the capabilities to cause a surprise at Elland Road, it seems unlikely based on recent form. Leeds are back to building up a head of steam and we are predicting that a fourth successive 3-0 victory will be posted on Sunday. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Leeds United win with a probability of 72.92%. A draw had a probability of 16.9% and a win for Preston North End had a probability of 10.18%.

The most likely scoreline for a Leeds United win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.6%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.85%) and 3-0 (9.77%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.04%), while for a Preston North End win it was 0-1 (3.46%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Leeds United would win this match.

Result
Leeds UnitedDrawPreston North End
72.92% (-0.301 -0.3) 16.9% (0.235 0.23) 10.18% (0.069000000000001 0.07)
Both teams to score 47.18% (-0.579 -0.58)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
59.09% (-0.897 -0.9)40.91% (0.901 0.9)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
36.7% (-0.923 -0.92)63.3% (0.926 0.93)
Leeds United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
90.2% (-0.30199999999999 -0.3)9.79% (0.3049 0.3)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
67.45% (-0.711 -0.71)32.55% (0.713 0.71)
Preston North End Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
52.3% (-0.464 -0.46)47.7% (0.467 0.47)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
16.99% (-0.345 -0.34)83.01% (0.348 0.35)
Score Analysis
    Leeds United 72.91%
    Preston North End 10.18%
    Draw 16.9%
Leeds UnitedDrawPreston North End
2-0 @ 12.6% (0.18 0.18)
1-0 @ 10.85% (0.3 0.3)
3-0 @ 9.77% (0.0080000000000009 0.01)
2-1 @ 9.33% (0.010999999999999 0.01)
3-1 @ 7.23% (-0.089 -0.09)
4-0 @ 5.67% (-0.072 -0.07)
4-1 @ 4.2% (-0.109 -0.11)
3-2 @ 2.68% (-0.069 -0.07)
5-0 @ 2.64% (-0.069 -0.07)
5-1 @ 1.95% (-0.078 -0.08)
4-2 @ 1.55% (-0.062 -0.06)
6-0 @ 1.02% (-0.041 -0.04)
Other @ 3.42%
Total : 72.91%
1-1 @ 8.04% (0.117 0.12)
0-0 @ 4.67% (0.19 0.19)
2-2 @ 3.46% (-0.041 -0.04)
Other @ 0.74%
Total : 16.9%
0-1 @ 3.46% (0.096 0.1)
1-2 @ 2.97% (0.0050000000000003 0.01)
0-2 @ 1.28% (0.019 0.02)
Other @ 2.47%
Total : 10.18%

How you voted: Leeds vs Preston

Leeds United
84.4%
Draw
9.4%
Preston North End
6.3%
32
Head to Head
Dec 26, 2023 12.30pm
Gameweek 24
Preston
2-1
Leeds
Browne (57'), Millar (89')
Potts (22'), McCann (30'), Osmajic (54'), Holmes (80'), Browne (87')
Struijk (83' pen.)
Rodon (54')
Meslier (53')
Dec 26, 2019 5.15pm
Oct 22, 2019 7.45pm
Apr 9, 2019 7.45pm
Gameweek 41
Preston
0-2
Leeds

Pearson (14'), Davies (45')
Pearson (49')
Bamford (62', 76')
Alioski (67'), Phillips (81')
Sep 18, 2018 7.45pm
Gameweek 8
Leeds
3-0
Preston
Cooper (37'), Roberts (74', 82')
Alioski (30')

Browne (26'), Johnson (52')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd22155232112148
2Leeds UnitedLeeds22136341152645
3Burnley2212822891944
4Sunderland22127334181643
5Blackburn RoversBlackburn2111462518737
6Middlesbrough22105738281035
7Watford2110473028234
8West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom2171132416832
9Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds229582830-232
10Millwall217772118328
11Bristol City216962626027
12Swansea CitySwansea227692424027
13Norwich CityNorwich226883734326
14Queens Park RangersQPR2251072328-525
15Luton TownLuton2274112538-1325
16Derby CountyDerby2266102728-124
17Coventry CityCoventry2266102834-624
18Preston North EndPreston2241172229-723
19Stoke CityStoke2257102330-722
20Portsmouth204882535-1020
21Hull City2247112131-1019
22Cardiff CityCardiff2146111934-1518
23Oxford UnitedOxford Utd2146112137-1618
24Plymouth ArgylePlymouth2146112245-2318


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