Championship

Championship | Gameweek 28

Jan 21, 2024 at 12pm UK

Elland Road

Leeds
2 - 1
Preston

James (6'), Piroe (90+4' pen.)
Summerville (38'), Rutter (67'), Firpo (76'), Bamford (85')

FT(HT: 1-1)

Keane (2')
Whiteman (8'), McCann (34'), Lindsay (62'), Cornell (83'), Ledson (85'), Stewart (86')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Championship clash between Leeds United and Preston North End, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Leeds United

All competitions

Championship

Last Game: Cardiff 0-3 Leeds
Saturday, January 13 at 3pm in Championship

Goals
for

Top scorers

Preston North End

All competitions

Championship

Last Game: Preston 2-0 Bristol City
Saturday, January 13 at 3pm in Championship

Goals
for

Top scorers

We said: Leeds United 3-0 Preston North End

While Preston have the capabilities to cause a surprise at Elland Road, it seems unlikely based on recent form. Leeds are back to building up a head of steam and we are predicting that a fourth successive 3-0 victory will be posted on Sunday. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Leeds United win with a probability of 72.92%. A draw had a probability of 16.9% and a win for Preston North End had a probability of 10.18%.

The most likely scoreline for a Leeds United win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.6%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.85%) and 3-0 (9.77%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.04%), while for a Preston North End win it was 0-1 (3.46%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Leeds United would win this match.

Result
Leeds United	Draw	Preston North End
72.92% ( -0.3)	16.9% ( 0.23)	10.18% ( 0.07)

Both teams to score 47.18% (

-0.58)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

59.09% (

-0.9)

40.91% (

0.9)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

36.7% (

-0.92)

63.3% (

0.93)

Leeds United Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

90.2% (

-0.3)

9.79% (

0.3)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

67.45% (

-0.71)

32.55% (

0.71)

Preston North End Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

52.3% (

-0.46)

47.7% (

0.47)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

16.99% (

-0.34)

83.01% (

0.35)

Score Analysis

Leeds United 72.91%

Preston North End 10.18%

Draw 16.9%

Leeds United	Draw	Preston North End
2-0 @ 12.6% ( 0.18) 1-0 @ 10.85% ( 0.3) 3-0 @ 9.77% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 9.33% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 7.23% ( -0.09) 4-0 @ 5.67% ( -0.07) 4-1 @ 4.2% ( -0.11) 3-2 @ 2.68% ( -0.07) 5-0 @ 2.64% ( -0.07) 5-1 @ 1.95% ( -0.08) 4-2 @ 1.55% ( -0.06) 6-0 @ 1.02% ( -0.04) Other @ 3.42% Total : 72.91%	1-1 @ 8.04% ( 0.12) 0-0 @ 4.67% ( 0.19) 2-2 @ 3.46% ( -0.04) Other @ 0.74% Total : 16.9%	0-1 @ 3.46% ( 0.1) 1-2 @ 2.97% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 1.28% ( 0.02) Other @ 2.47% Total : 10.18%