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Championship | Gameweek 27
Jan 13, 2024 at 3pm UK
Cardiff City Stadium
Leeds logo

Cardiff
0 - 3
Leeds


Ng (45+2')
FT(HT: 0-2)
Bamford (13'), James (31'), Rutter (88')
Gruev (74')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Cardiff City and Leeds United, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

We said: Cardiff City 1-2 Leeds United

On the back of last week's debacle at Hillsborough, Cardiff may benefit from playing in such a high-profile fixture. Nevertheless, the superior quality comes from Leeds' ranks, and we feel that the visitors will edge this contest courtesy of a fast start to proceedings. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Leeds United win with a probability of 45%. A win for Cardiff City had a probability of 29.17% and a draw had a probability of 25.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Leeds United win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.09%) and 0-2 (7.98%). The likeliest Cardiff City win was 1-0 (8.3%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.28%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 3.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Leeds United would win this match.

Result
Cardiff CityDrawLeeds United
29.17% (0.0060000000000002 0.01) 25.83% (0.0019999999999989 0) 45% (-0.0010000000000048 -0)
Both teams to score 52.51%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
48.63%51.37% (0.0049999999999955 0)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.81% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)73.19% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
Cardiff City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.99% (0.0040000000000049 0)32.01% (0.0010000000000048 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.53% (0.0030000000000001 0)68.47% (0.0040000000000049 0)
Leeds United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.23%22.77% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.54% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)56.47% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
Score Analysis
    Cardiff City 29.17%
    Leeds United 45%
    Draw 25.83%
Cardiff CityDrawLeeds United
1-0 @ 8.3% (0.0020000000000007 0)
2-1 @ 7% (0.0010000000000003 0)
2-0 @ 4.73% (0.0010000000000003 0)
3-1 @ 2.66%
3-2 @ 1.97%
3-0 @ 1.8% (0.0010000000000001 0)
Other @ 2.72%
Total : 29.17%
1-1 @ 12.28%
0-0 @ 7.29% (0.0019999999999998 0)
2-2 @ 5.18% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
3-3 @ 0.97%
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 25.83%
0-1 @ 10.78%
1-2 @ 9.09%
0-2 @ 7.98% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
1-3 @ 4.48% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
0-3 @ 3.94%
2-3 @ 2.55%
1-4 @ 1.66%
0-4 @ 1.46%
2-4 @ 0.95%
Other @ 2.11%
Total : 45%

How you voted: Cardiff vs Leeds

Cardiff City
16.7%
Draw
9.5%
Leeds United
73.8%
42
Head to Head
Aug 6, 2023 2.30pm
Gameweek 1
Leeds
2-2
Cardiff
Cooper (49'), Summerville (90+5')
Ampadu (90+3'), Summerville (90+6')
Bowler (23'), Ugbo (39')
Meite (70')
Jan 18, 2023 7.45pm
Third Round Replays
Leeds
5-2
Cardiff
Gnonto (1', 36'), Rodrigo (34'), Bamford (71', 76')
Robinson (84', 90+3')
Jan 8, 2023 2pm
Third Round
Cardiff
2-2
Leeds
Philogene-Bidace (24'), Ojo (31')
Rodrigo (65'), Perkins (90+3')
Jun 21, 2020 12pm
Dec 14, 2019 3pm
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Sunderland1594225111431
2Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd1510321971231
3Leeds UnitedLeeds158522491529
4Burnley157621861227
5West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom15672169725
6Watford158162322125
7Middlesbrough157352317624
8Millwall156541813523
9Blackburn RoversBlackburn156451917222
10Bristol City155732019122
11Swansea CitySwansea155461110119
12Derby CountyDerby155461919019
13Stoke CityStoke155461819-119
14Norwich CityNorwich154652322118
15Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds155371725-818
16Oxford UnitedOxford Utd154561718-117
17Coventry CityCoventry154472021-116
18Plymouth ArgylePlymouth154471526-1116
19Hull City153661620-415
20Preston North EndPreston153661523-815
21Luton TownLuton154381726-915
22Cardiff CityCardiff154381423-915
23Portsmouth152671628-1212
24Queens Park RangersQPR151771225-1310


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