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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Leeds United win with a probability of 50.44%. A win for Ipswich Town had a probability of 26.7% and a draw had a probability of 22.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Leeds United win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.18%) and 2-0 (7.49%). The likeliest Ipswich Town win was 1-2 (6.67%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.44%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 2.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Leeds United would win this match.
Result | ||
Leeds United | Draw | Ipswich Town |
50.44% ( -0.2) | 22.86% ( 0.01) | 26.7% ( 0.18) |
Both teams to score 60.56% ( 0.14) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
60.07% ( 0.11) | 39.93% ( -0.12) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
37.7% ( 0.11) | 62.29% ( -0.12) |
Leeds United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
83.98% ( -0.03) | 16.01% ( 0.03) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
54.65% ( -0.05) | 45.34% ( 0.05) |
Ipswich Town Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
72.1% ( 0.19) | 27.89% ( -0.2) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
36.49% ( 0.24) | 63.5% ( -0.25) |
Score Analysis |
Leeds United | Draw | Ipswich Town |
2-1 @ 9.57% ( -0.02) 1-0 @ 8.18% ( -0.05) 2-0 @ 7.49% ( -0.05) 3-1 @ 5.84% ( -0.02) 3-0 @ 4.58% ( -0.04) 3-2 @ 3.73% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 2.68% ( -0.01) 4-0 @ 2.1% ( -0.02) 4-2 @ 1.71% ( 0) 5-1 @ 0.98% ( -0) Other @ 3.59% Total : 50.44% | 1-1 @ 10.44% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 6.11% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 4.47% ( -0.02) 3-3 @ 1.59% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.26% Total : 22.86% | 1-2 @ 6.67% ( 0.03) 0-1 @ 5.7% ( 0) 0-2 @ 3.64% ( 0.02) 1-3 @ 2.84% ( 0.03) 2-3 @ 2.6% ( 0.02) 0-3 @ 1.55% ( 0.02) 1-4 @ 0.91% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.79% Total : 26.7% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Sunderland | 13 | 9 | 2 | 2 | 23 | 9 | 14 | 29 |
2 | Leeds UnitedLeeds | 13 | 7 | 5 | 1 | 22 | 8 | 14 | 26 |
3 | Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd | 13 | 8 | 3 | 2 | 16 | 6 | 10 | 25 |
4 | Burnley | 13 | 6 | 5 | 2 | 17 | 6 | 11 | 23 |
5 | Watford | 13 | 7 | 1 | 5 | 22 | 21 | 1 | 22 |
6 | West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom | 13 | 5 | 6 | 2 | 14 | 8 | 6 | 21 |
7 | Millwall | 13 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 16 | 12 | 4 | 19 |
8 | Blackburn RoversBlackburn | 13 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 16 | 14 | 2 | 19 |
9 | Bristol City | 13 | 4 | 7 | 2 | 17 | 17 | 0 | 19 |
10 | Norwich CityNorwich | 13 | 4 | 6 | 3 | 23 | 18 | 5 | 18 |
11 | Middlesbrough | 13 | 5 | 3 | 5 | 14 | 15 | -1 | 18 |
12 | Swansea CitySwansea | 13 | 4 | 4 | 5 | 10 | 9 | 1 | 16 |
13 | Coventry CityCoventry | 13 | 4 | 3 | 6 | 17 | 17 | 0 | 15 |
14 | Derby CountyDerby | 13 | 4 | 3 | 6 | 16 | 17 | -1 | 15 |
15 | Hull City | 13 | 3 | 6 | 4 | 15 | 17 | -2 | 15 |
16 | Stoke CityStoke | 13 | 4 | 3 | 6 | 15 | 18 | -3 | 15 |
17 | Cardiff CityCardiff | 13 | 4 | 3 | 6 | 13 | 19 | -6 | 15 |
18 | Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds | 13 | 4 | 3 | 6 | 15 | 24 | -9 | 15 |
19 | Oxford UnitedOxford Utd | 13 | 3 | 5 | 5 | 16 | 17 | -1 | 14 |
20 | Preston North EndPreston | 13 | 3 | 5 | 5 | 14 | 20 | -6 | 14 |
21 | Luton TownLuton | 13 | 3 | 3 | 7 | 15 | 21 | -6 | 12 |
22 | Plymouth ArgylePlymouth | 13 | 3 | 3 | 7 | 13 | 25 | -12 | 12 |
23 | Queens Park RangersQPR | 13 | 1 | 7 | 5 | 11 | 19 | -8 | 10 |
24 | Portsmouth | 13 | 1 | 6 | 6 | 13 | 26 | -13 | 9 |
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