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Championship | Gameweek 23
Dec 23, 2023 at 12.30pm UK
Elland Road
Ipswich logo

Leeds
4 - 0
Ipswich

Struijk (8'), Davis (25' og.), Summerville (45' pen.), Piroe (52')
James (34')
FT(HT: 3-0)

Clarke (29'), Tuanzebe (60'), Broadhead (65'), Ball (90+1')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Leeds United and Ipswich Town, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Leeds 1-1 Coventry
Saturday, December 16 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Ipswich 2-2 Norwich
Saturday, December 16 at 12.30pm in Championship

We said: Leeds United 2-2 Ipswich Town

We certainly anticipate a tight and high-quality encounter at Elland Road on Saturday between two of the Championship's standout sides and cannot quite pick a winner. Given the 10-point gap between them, it is Leeds who really require a victory, but Kieran McKenna's men should have what it takes to leave with a share of the spoils. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Leeds United win with a probability of 50.44%. A win for Ipswich Town had a probability of 26.7% and a draw had a probability of 22.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Leeds United win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.18%) and 2-0 (7.49%). The likeliest Ipswich Town win was 1-2 (6.67%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.44%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 2.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Leeds United would win this match.

Result
Leeds UnitedDrawIpswich Town
50.44% (-0.196 -0.2) 22.86% (0.0079999999999991 0.01) 26.7% (0.182 0.18)
Both teams to score 60.56% (0.139 0.14)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
60.07% (0.11 0.11)39.93% (-0.115 -0.12)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
37.7% (0.113 0.11)62.29% (-0.119 -0.12)
Leeds United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.98% (-0.033000000000001 -0.03)16.01% (0.026999999999999 0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
54.65% (-0.052 -0.05)45.34% (0.046000000000006 0.05)
Ipswich Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.1% (0.19 0.19)27.89% (-0.196 -0.2)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.49% (0.244 0.24)63.5% (-0.251 -0.25)
Score Analysis
    Leeds United 50.44%
    Ipswich Town 26.7%
    Draw 22.86%
Leeds UnitedDrawIpswich Town
2-1 @ 9.57% (-0.016 -0.02)
1-0 @ 8.18% (-0.051 -0.05)
2-0 @ 7.49% (-0.053999999999999 -0.05)
3-1 @ 5.84% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)
3-0 @ 4.58% (-0.037 -0.04)
3-2 @ 3.73% (0.01 0.01)
4-1 @ 2.68% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
4-0 @ 2.1% (-0.019 -0.02)
4-2 @ 1.71% (0.004 0)
5-1 @ 0.98% (-0.004 -0)
Other @ 3.59%
Total : 50.44%
1-1 @ 10.44% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-2 @ 6.11% (0.023 0.02)
0-0 @ 4.47% (-0.024 -0.02)
3-3 @ 1.59% (0.013 0.01)
Other @ 0.26%
Total : 22.86%
1-2 @ 6.67% (0.031 0.03)
0-1 @ 5.7% (0.0010000000000003 0)
0-2 @ 3.64% (0.021 0.02)
1-3 @ 2.84% (0.028 0.03)
2-3 @ 2.6% (0.024 0.02)
0-3 @ 1.55% (0.018 0.02)
1-4 @ 0.91% (0.014 0.01)
Other @ 2.79%
Total : 26.7%

How you voted: Leeds vs Ipswich

Leeds United
55.6%
Draw
15.9%
Ipswich Town
28.6%
63
Head to Head
Aug 26, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 4
Ipswich
3-4
Leeds
Rodon (7' og.), Broadhead (45+7'), Chaplin (90+7')
Morsy (45+5'), Luongo (56'), Woolfenden (87')
Rutter (10'), Gnonto (14'), Piroe (19'), Sinisterra (75')
Shackleton (52'), Meslier (59'), Ayling (71')
May 5, 2019 12.30pm
Gameweek 46
Ipswich
3-2
Leeds
Downes (30'), Dozzell (47'), Quaner (90')
Jackson (75'), Nsiala (84')
Chambers (79')
Klich (45'), Dallas (76')
Casilla (28')
Oct 24, 2018 7.45pm
Gameweek 14
Leeds
2-0
Ipswich
Roofe (22'), Cooper (66')
Berardi (15')

Nolan (5'), Downes (31'), Knudsen (50')
Jan 13, 2018 3pm
Ipswich
1-0
Leeds
Celina (67')
Connolly (55'), Iorfa (60')

Jansson (80'), Phillips (87')
O'Kane (37')
Sep 23, 2017 3pm
Leeds
3-2
Ipswich
Lasogga (13'), Phillips (32'), Bialkowski (67' og.)
Cooper (72')
McGoldrick (30'), Garner (71')
Spence (3'), Knudsen (37')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Sunderland139222391429
2Leeds UnitedLeeds137512281426
3Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd138321661025
4Burnley136521761123
5Watford137152221122
6West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom13562148621
7Millwall135441612419
8Blackburn RoversBlackburn135441614219
9Bristol City134721717019
10Norwich CityNorwich134632318518
11Middlesbrough135351415-118
12Swansea CitySwansea13445109116
13Coventry CityCoventry134361717015
14Derby CountyDerby134361617-115
15Hull City133641517-215
16Stoke CityStoke134361518-315
17Cardiff CityCardiff134361319-615
18Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds134361524-915
19Oxford UnitedOxford Utd133551617-114
20Preston North EndPreston133551420-614
21Luton TownLuton133371521-612
22Plymouth ArgylePlymouth133371325-1212
23Queens Park RangersQPR131751119-810
24Portsmouth131661326-139


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