Championship

Championship | Gameweek 18

Nov 29, 2023 at 8pm UK

Portman Road Stadium

Ipswich
3 - 1
Millwall

Chaplin (5'), Luongo (12'), Broadhead (39')
Luongo (25'), Broadhead (52')

FT(HT: 3-0)

Nisbet (78')
Flemming (37'), Honeyman (46'), De Norre (54')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Championship clash between Ipswich Town and Millwall, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Ipswich Town

All competitions

Championship

Last Game: West Brom 2-0 Ipswich
Saturday, November 25 at 5.30pm in Championship

Goals
for

Top scorers

Millwall

All competitions

Last Game: Millwall 0-3 Coventry
Saturday, November 25 at 3pm in Championship

Goals
for

Top scorers

We said: Ipswich Town 3-1 Millwall

Ipswich produced arguably their worst performance of the season at The Hawthorns on Saturday, meaning they will be desperate to put things right in front of their home faithful in this one. Millwall have a tricky quartet of fixtures coming up, and we cannot imagine them picking up any points from their trip to East Anglia on Wednesday night. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ipswich Town win with a probability of 44.03%. A win for Millwall had a probability of 30.05% and a draw had a probability of 25.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Ipswich Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.62%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9%) and 2-0 (7.76%). The likeliest Millwall win was 0-1 (8.44%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.32%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 4.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 3-1 win for Ipswich Town in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Ipswich Town.

Result
Ipswich Town	Draw	Millwall
44.03% ( 1.38)	25.92% ( 0.51)	30.05% ( -1.89)

Both teams to score 52.72% (

-2.52)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

48.68% (

-2.88)

51.32% (

2.87)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

26.86% (

-2.57)

73.14% (

2.57)

Ipswich Town Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

76.79% (

-0.58)

23.21% (

0.58)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

42.89% (

-0.86)

57.1% (

0.85)

Millwall Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

68.65% (

-2.74)

31.34% (

2.74)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

32.29% (

-3.31)

67.71% (

3.3)

Score Analysis

Ipswich Town 44.03%

Millwall 30.05%

Draw 25.91%

Ipswich Town	Draw	Millwall
1-0 @ 10.62% ( 1) 2-1 @ 9% ( 0.06) 2-0 @ 7.76% ( 0.61) 3-1 @ 4.38% ( -0.05) 3-0 @ 3.78% ( 0.24) 3-2 @ 2.54% ( -0.23) 4-1 @ 1.6% ( -0.04) 4-0 @ 1.38% ( 0.07) 4-2 @ 0.93% ( -0.1) Other @ 2.03% Total : 44.03%	1-1 @ 12.32% ( 0.29) 0-0 @ 7.27% ( 0.8) 2-2 @ 5.22% ( -0.38) 3-3 @ 0.98% ( -0.17) Other @ 0.11% Total : 25.91%	0-1 @ 8.44% ( 0.34) 1-2 @ 7.15% ( -0.38) 0-2 @ 4.9% ( -0.18) 1-3 @ 2.77% ( -0.38) 2-3 @ 2.02% ( -0.32) 0-3 @ 1.89% ( -0.22) Other @ 2.89% Total : 30.05%