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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ipswich Town win with a probability of 44.28%. A win for Swansea City had a probability of 32.6% and a draw had a probability of 23.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Ipswich Town win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.98%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.98%) and 2-0 (6.1%). The likeliest Swansea City win was 1-2 (7.57%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.28%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 3.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Ipswich Town would win this match.
Result | ||
Ipswich Town | Draw | Swansea City |
44.28% ( 0.28) | 23.12% ( 0.15) | 32.6% ( -0.43) |
Both teams to score 63.64% ( -0.77) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
62.42% ( -0.93) | 37.58% ( 0.93) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
40.19% ( -1) | 59.81% ( 1) |
Ipswich Town Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
82.58% ( -0.26) | 17.42% ( 0.26) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
52.13% ( -0.46) | 47.87% ( 0.46) |
Swansea City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
77.06% ( -0.68) | 22.94% ( 0.68) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
43.29% ( -1.01) | 56.71% ( 1.01) |
Score Analysis |
Ipswich Town | Draw | Swansea City |
2-1 @ 8.98% ( 0.07) 1-0 @ 6.98% ( 0.25) 2-0 @ 6.1% ( 0.17) 3-1 @ 5.23% ( -0) 3-2 @ 3.85% ( -0.08) 3-0 @ 3.55% ( 0.07) 4-1 @ 2.29% ( -0.02) 4-2 @ 1.68% ( -0.05) 4-0 @ 1.55% ( 0.02) Other @ 4.05% Total : 44.28% | 1-1 @ 10.28% ( 0.17) 2-2 @ 6.61% ( -0.08) 0-0 @ 4% ( 0.18) 3-3 @ 1.89% ( -0.08) Other @ 0.34% Total : 23.12% | 1-2 @ 7.57% ( -0.03) 0-1 @ 5.88% ( 0.14) 0-2 @ 4.33% ( 0.02) 1-3 @ 3.72% ( -0.09) 2-3 @ 3.25% ( -0.11) 0-3 @ 2.13% ( -0.03) 1-4 @ 1.37% ( -0.06) 2-4 @ 1.2% ( -0.07) Other @ 3.16% Total : 32.6% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Sunderland | 15 | 9 | 4 | 2 | 25 | 11 | 14 | 31 |
2 | Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd | 15 | 10 | 3 | 2 | 19 | 7 | 12 | 31 |
3 | Leeds UnitedLeeds | 15 | 8 | 5 | 2 | 24 | 9 | 15 | 29 |
4 | Burnley | 15 | 7 | 6 | 2 | 18 | 6 | 12 | 27 |
5 | West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom | 15 | 6 | 7 | 2 | 16 | 9 | 7 | 25 |
6 | Watford | 15 | 8 | 1 | 6 | 23 | 22 | 1 | 25 |
7 | Middlesbrough | 15 | 7 | 3 | 5 | 23 | 17 | 6 | 24 |
8 | Millwall | 15 | 6 | 5 | 4 | 18 | 13 | 5 | 23 |
9 | Blackburn RoversBlackburn | 15 | 6 | 4 | 5 | 19 | 17 | 2 | 22 |
10 | Bristol City | 15 | 5 | 7 | 3 | 20 | 19 | 1 | 22 |
11 | Swansea CitySwansea | 15 | 5 | 4 | 6 | 11 | 10 | 1 | 19 |
12 | Derby CountyDerby | 15 | 5 | 4 | 6 | 19 | 19 | 0 | 19 |
13 | Stoke CityStoke | 15 | 5 | 4 | 6 | 18 | 19 | -1 | 19 |
14 | Norwich CityNorwich | 15 | 4 | 6 | 5 | 23 | 22 | 1 | 18 |
15 | Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds | 15 | 5 | 3 | 7 | 17 | 25 | -8 | 18 |
16 | Oxford UnitedOxford Utd | 15 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 17 | 18 | -1 | 17 |
17 | Coventry CityCoventry | 15 | 4 | 4 | 7 | 20 | 21 | -1 | 16 |
18 | Plymouth ArgylePlymouth | 15 | 4 | 4 | 7 | 15 | 26 | -11 | 16 |
19 | Hull City | 15 | 3 | 6 | 6 | 16 | 20 | -4 | 15 |
20 | Preston North EndPreston | 15 | 3 | 6 | 6 | 15 | 23 | -8 | 15 |
21 | Luton TownLuton | 15 | 4 | 3 | 8 | 17 | 26 | -9 | 15 |
22 | Cardiff CityCardiff | 15 | 4 | 3 | 8 | 14 | 23 | -9 | 15 |
23 | Portsmouth | 15 | 2 | 6 | 7 | 16 | 28 | -12 | 12 |
24 | Queens Park RangersQPR | 15 | 1 | 7 | 7 | 12 | 25 | -13 | 10 |
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