Championship | Gameweek 16
Nov 11, 2023 at 3pm UK
Portman Road Stadium
Ipswich3 - 2Swansea
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Rotherham 2-2 Ipswich
Tuesday, November 7 at 8pm in Championship
Tuesday, November 7 at 8pm in Championship
Last Game: Swansea 0-0 Sunderland
Saturday, November 4 at 3pm in Championship
Saturday, November 4 at 3pm in Championship
We said: Ipswich Town 3-1 Swansea City
With Ipswich enduring their first major blip of the campaign, Swansea will fancy their chances of causing a surprise at Portman Road. However, Ipswich will be motivated to return to winning ways in front of their own supporters, leading us to predict a maximum haul for McKenna's side. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ipswich Town win with a probability of 44.28%. A win for Swansea City had a probability of 32.6% and a draw had a probability of 23.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Ipswich Town win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.98%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.98%) and 2-0 (6.1%). The likeliest Swansea City win was 1-2 (7.57%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.28%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 3.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Ipswich Town would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Ipswich Town | Draw | Swansea City |
44.28% ( 0.28) | 23.12% ( 0.15) | 32.6% ( -0.43) |
| Both teams to score 63.64% ( -0.77) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 62.42% ( -0.93) | 37.58% ( 0.93) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 40.19% ( -1) | 59.81% ( 1) |
| Ipswich Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 82.58% ( -0.26) | 17.42% ( 0.26) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 52.13% ( -0.46) | 47.87% ( 0.46) |
| Swansea City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.06% ( -0.68) | 22.94% ( 0.68) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 43.29% ( -1.01) | 56.71% ( 1.01) |
| Score Analysis |
Ipswich Town 44.28%
Swansea City 32.6%
Draw 23.12%
| Ipswich Town | Draw | Swansea City |
| 2-1 @ 8.98% ( 0.07) 1-0 @ 6.98% ( 0.25)2-0 @ 6.1% ( 0.17)3-1 @ 5.23% ( -0)3-2 @ 3.85% ( -0.08)3-0 @ 3.55% ( 0.07)4-1 @ 2.29% ( -0.02)4-2 @ 1.68% ( -0.05)4-0 @ 1.55% ( 0.02)Other @ 4.05% Total : 44.28% | 1-1 @ 10.28% ( 0.17) 2-2 @ 6.61% ( -0.08)0-0 @ 4% ( 0.18)3-3 @ 1.89% ( -0.08)Other @ 0.34% Total : 23.12% | 1-2 @ 7.57% ( -0.03) 0-1 @ 5.88% ( 0.14)0-2 @ 4.33% ( 0.02)1-3 @ 3.72% ( -0.09)2-3 @ 3.25% ( -0.11)0-3 @ 2.13% ( -0.03)1-4 @ 1.37% ( -0.06)2-4 @ 1.2% ( -0.07)Other @ 3.16% Total : 32.6% |
How you voted: Ipswich vs Swansea
Ipswich Town
75.0%Draw
12.5%Swansea City
12.5%8
Head to Head
Oct 6, 2018 3pm
Gameweek 12
Swansea
2-3
Ipswich
Mar 27, 2010 3pm
Swansea
0-0
Ipswich
Pratley (45')
