Championship

Championship | Gameweek 11

Oct 7, 2023 at 3pm UK

Home Park

Plymouth
1 - 3
Swansea

Cundle (18')
Whittaker (55'), Kesler (79')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Yates (56'), Cooper (68'), Key (90')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Plymouth Argyle and Swansea City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Plymouth Argyle

All competitions

Last Game: Plymouth 0-2 Millwall
Tuesday, October 3 at 7.45pm in Championship

Goals
for

Top scorers

Swansea City

All competitions

Last Game: Swansea 2-1 Norwich
Wednesday, October 4 at 7.45pm in Championship

Goals
for

Top scorers

We said: Plymouth Argyle 2-2 Swansea City

Plymouth have been very inconsistent over the past few weeks but generally put on a good show for their home faithful in Devon, and we are expecting the same on Saturday. Swansea are beginning to find their stride after a worrying start, and we believe Duff's side will be good enough for a point this time around. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Swansea City win with a probability of 46.01%. A win for Plymouth Argyle had a probability of 30.73% and a draw had a probability of 23.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Swansea City win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.2%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.52%) and 0-2 (6.59%). The likeliest Plymouth Argyle win was 2-1 (7.33%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.49%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 5.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Swansea City would win this match.

Result
Plymouth Argyle	Draw	Swansea City
30.73% ( 0.09)	23.25% ( 0.06)	46.01% ( -0.16)

Both teams to score 62.2% (

-0.17)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

60.92% (

-0.25)

39.07% (

0.24)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

38.6% (

-0.26)

61.39% (

0.25)

Plymouth Argyle Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

75.24% (

-0.07)

24.75% (

0.06)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

40.68% (

-0.09)

59.32% (

0.08)

Swansea City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

82.66% (

-0.16)

17.33% (

0.16)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

52.29% (

-0.27)

47.7% (

0.27)

Score Analysis

Plymouth Argyle 30.73%

Swansea City 46.01%

Draw 23.24%

Plymouth Argyle	Draw	Swansea City
2-1 @ 7.33% ( 0.02) 1-0 @ 5.99% ( 0.06) 2-0 @ 4.18% ( 0.03) 3-1 @ 3.41% ( 0) 3-2 @ 2.99% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 1.95% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 1.19% ( -0) 4-2 @ 1.04% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.66% Total : 30.73%	1-1 @ 10.49% ( 0.04) 2-2 @ 6.42% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 4.29% ( 0.05) 3-3 @ 1.75% ( -0.02) Other @ 0.3% Total : 23.24%	1-2 @ 9.2% ( -0.01) 0-1 @ 7.52% ( 0.05) 0-2 @ 6.59% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 5.38% ( -0.03) 0-3 @ 3.85% ( -0.02) 2-3 @ 3.75% ( -0.03) 1-4 @ 2.36% ( -0.02) 0-4 @ 1.69% ( -0.01) 2-4 @ 1.64% ( -0.02) Other @ 4.03% Total : 46.01%