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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Swansea City win with a probability of 43.32%. A win for Sheffield Wednesday had a probability of 31.2% and a draw had a probability of 25.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Swansea City win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9%) and 2-0 (7.35%). The likeliest Sheffield Wednesday win was 0-1 (8.11%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.08%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 3.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Swansea City would win this match.
Result | ||
Swansea City | Draw | Sheffield Wednesday |
43.32% ( 0.19) | 25.47% ( -0.08) | 31.2% ( -0.11) |
Both teams to score 54.71% ( 0.22) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
51.01% ( 0.31) | 48.99% ( -0.31) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
28.92% ( 0.28) | 71.07% ( -0.28) |
Swansea City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
77.45% ( 0.22) | 22.54% ( -0.22) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
43.87% ( 0.33) | 56.12% ( -0.33) |
Sheffield Wednesday Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
70.63% ( 0.08) | 29.36% ( -0.09) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
34.65% ( 0.1) | 65.34% ( -0.11) |
Score Analysis |
Swansea City | Draw | Sheffield Wednesday |
1-0 @ 9.86% ( -0.06) 2-1 @ 9% ( 0.03) 2-0 @ 7.35% ( 0) 3-1 @ 4.47% ( 0.04) 3-0 @ 3.65% ( 0.02) 3-2 @ 2.74% ( 0.03) 4-1 @ 1.67% ( 0.03) 4-0 @ 1.36% ( 0.02) 4-2 @ 1.02% ( 0.02) Other @ 2.21% Total : 43.32% | 1-1 @ 12.08% ( -0.04) 0-0 @ 6.62% ( -0.09) 2-2 @ 5.52% ( 0.03) 3-3 @ 1.12% ( 0.02) Other @ 0.14% Total : 25.47% | 0-1 @ 8.11% ( -0.08) 1-2 @ 7.4% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 4.97% ( -0.04) 1-3 @ 3.03% ( 0) 2-3 @ 2.25% ( 0.02) 0-3 @ 2.03% ( -0.01) 1-4 @ 0.93% ( 0) Other @ 2.48% Total : 31.2% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd | 22 | 15 | 5 | 2 | 32 | 11 | 21 | 48 |
2 | Leeds UnitedLeeds | 22 | 13 | 6 | 3 | 41 | 15 | 26 | 45 |
3 | Burnley | 22 | 12 | 8 | 2 | 28 | 9 | 19 | 44 |
4 | Sunderland | 22 | 12 | 7 | 3 | 34 | 18 | 16 | 43 |
5 | Blackburn RoversBlackburn | 21 | 11 | 4 | 6 | 25 | 18 | 7 | 37 |
6 | Middlesbrough | 22 | 10 | 5 | 7 | 38 | 28 | 10 | 35 |
7 | West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom | 22 | 8 | 11 | 3 | 26 | 16 | 10 | 35 |
8 | Watford | 21 | 10 | 4 | 7 | 30 | 28 | 2 | 34 |
9 | Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds | 22 | 9 | 5 | 8 | 28 | 30 | -2 | 32 |
10 | Millwall | 21 | 7 | 7 | 7 | 21 | 18 | 3 | 28 |
11 | Swansea CitySwansea | 22 | 7 | 6 | 9 | 24 | 24 | 0 | 27 |
12 | Bristol City | 22 | 6 | 9 | 7 | 26 | 28 | -2 | 27 |
13 | Norwich CityNorwich | 22 | 6 | 8 | 8 | 37 | 34 | 3 | 26 |
14 | Queens Park RangersQPR | 22 | 5 | 10 | 7 | 23 | 28 | -5 | 25 |
15 | Luton TownLuton | 22 | 7 | 4 | 11 | 25 | 38 | -13 | 25 |
16 | Derby CountyDerby | 22 | 6 | 6 | 10 | 27 | 28 | -1 | 24 |
17 | Coventry CityCoventry | 22 | 6 | 6 | 10 | 28 | 34 | -6 | 24 |
18 | Preston North EndPreston | 22 | 4 | 11 | 7 | 22 | 29 | -7 | 23 |
19 | Stoke CityStoke | 22 | 5 | 7 | 10 | 23 | 30 | -7 | 22 |
20 | Portsmouth | 20 | 4 | 8 | 8 | 25 | 35 | -10 | 20 |
21 | Hull City | 22 | 4 | 7 | 11 | 21 | 31 | -10 | 19 |
22 | Cardiff CityCardiff | 21 | 4 | 6 | 11 | 19 | 34 | -15 | 18 |
23 | Oxford UnitedOxford Utd | 21 | 4 | 6 | 11 | 21 | 37 | -16 | 18 |
24 | Plymouth ArgylePlymouth | 21 | 4 | 6 | 11 | 22 | 45 | -23 | 18 |
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