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Championship | Gameweek 4
Aug 26, 2023 at 3pm UK
Deepdale
Swansea logo

Preston
2 - 1
Swansea

Hughes (67'), Holmes (79')
Ledson (11'), Browne (48')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Ashby (33')
N (48')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Preston North End and Swansea City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

We said: Preston North End 1-2 Swansea City

By all accounts, Preston have to be favourites for this contest, particularly when Piroe could be on the move. Nevertheless, we feel that Swansea may get off the mark in the wins column this weekend, albeit in a closely-fought encounter. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Swansea City win with a probability of 41.56%. A win for Preston North End had a probability of 32.43% and a draw had a probability of 26%.

The most likely scoreline for a Swansea City win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.77%) and 0-2 (7.18%). The likeliest Preston North End win was 1-0 (8.72%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.36%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.6% likelihood.

Result
Preston North EndDrawSwansea City
32.43% (0.196 0.2) 26.01% (-0.036999999999999 -0.04) 41.56% (-0.159 -0.16)
Both teams to score 53.44% (0.188 0.19)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
49.14% (0.212 0.21)50.86% (-0.213 -0.21)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.26% (0.188 0.19)72.74% (-0.18600000000001 -0.19)
Preston North End Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.52% (0.235 0.23)29.48% (-0.234 -0.23)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.51% (0.28700000000001 0.29)65.49% (-0.286 -0.29)
Swansea City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.77% (0.013000000000005 0.01)24.22% (-0.013999999999999 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.43% (0.021000000000001 0.02)58.57% (-0.021000000000001 -0.02)
Score Analysis
    Preston North End 32.43%
    Swansea City 41.55%
    Draw 26.01%
Preston North EndDrawSwansea City
1-0 @ 8.72% (-0.017000000000001 -0.02)
2-1 @ 7.55% (0.037 0.04)
2-0 @ 5.33% (0.024 0.02)
3-1 @ 3.08% (0.035 0.04)
3-2 @ 2.18% (0.026 0.03)
3-0 @ 2.17% (0.024 0.02)
4-1 @ 0.94% (0.017 0.02)
Other @ 2.47%
Total : 32.43%
1-1 @ 12.36% (-0.020000000000001 -0.02)
0-0 @ 7.14% (-0.061 -0.06)
2-2 @ 5.36% (0.029000000000001 0.03)
3-3 @ 1.03% (0.012 0.01)
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 26.01%
0-1 @ 10.12% (-0.08 -0.08)
1-2 @ 8.77% (-0.011000000000001 -0.01)
0-2 @ 7.18% (-0.055 -0.05)
1-3 @ 4.14% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
0-3 @ 3.39% (-0.025 -0.02)
2-3 @ 2.53% (0.015 0.02)
1-4 @ 1.47%
0-4 @ 1.2% (-0.0090000000000001 -0.01)
Other @ 2.75%
Total : 41.55%

How you voted: Preston vs Swansea

Preston North End
0.0%
Draw
50.0%
Swansea City
50.0%
10
Head to Head
Apr 19, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 43
Swansea
4-2
Preston
Piroe (2', 90+4'), Allen (35'), Darling (44')
Cannon (48'), Parrott (71')
Nov 1, 2022 7.45pm
Gameweek 19
Preston
1-0
Swansea
Potts (30')
Jan 22, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 28
Swansea
1-0
Preston
Manning (51')
Manning (13'), Latibeaudiere (87'), Smith (88')

Cunningham (65'), Evans (87'), Bauer (90+1')
Aug 28, 2021 3pm
Gameweek 5
Preston
3-1
Swansea
Van den Berg (21'), Riis Jakobsen (45+1'), Whiteman (52')
Ledson (59'), Johnson (61'), Whiteman (71'), Sinclair (85')
Piroe (19')
Benda (51')
Apr 5, 2021 3pm
Gameweek 40
Swansea
0-1
Preston

Guehi (45'), Lowe (64')
Grimes (90+1' og.)
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Sunderland1594225111431
2Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd1510321971231
3Leeds UnitedLeeds158522491529
4Burnley157621861227
5West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom15672169725
6Watford158162322125
7Middlesbrough157352317624
8Millwall156541813523
9Blackburn RoversBlackburn156451917222
10Bristol City155732019122
11Swansea CitySwansea155461110119
12Derby CountyDerby155461919019
13Stoke CityStoke155461819-119
14Norwich CityNorwich154652322118
15Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds155371725-818
16Oxford UnitedOxford Utd154561718-117
17Coventry CityCoventry154472021-116
18Plymouth ArgylePlymouth154471526-1116
19Hull City153661620-415
20Preston North EndPreston153661523-815
21Luton TownLuton154381726-915
22Cardiff CityCardiff154381423-915
23Portsmouth152671628-1212
24Queens Park RangersQPR151771225-1310


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