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EFL Cup
Swansea logo
EFL Cup | First Round
Aug 8, 2023 at 7.30pm UK
Swansea.com Stadium
Northampton Town

Swansea
3 - 0
Northampton

Piroe (10', 53'), Ginnelly (90+4')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Pinnock (57')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's EFL Cup clash between Swansea City and Northampton Town, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Swansea City

All competitions
Last Game: Swansea 1-1 Birmingham
Saturday, August 5 at 3pm in Championship

Northampton Town

All competitions
Last Game: Northampton 0-1 Stevenage
Saturday, August 5 at 3pm in League One

We said: Swansea City 1-0 Northampton Town

 Swansea will not be at full strength for this match, but the same can also be said for Northampton, who will be more focused on League One matters. We are not expecting a classic on Tuesday evening but believe that Swansea will be able to navigate their way into the next round of the competition. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Swansea City win with a probability of 45.55%. A win for Northampton Town had a probability of 29.76% and a draw had a probability of 24.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Swansea City win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.39%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.25%) and 2-0 (7.47%). The likeliest Northampton Town win was 0-1 (7.31%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.63%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Swansea City would win this match.

Result
Swansea CityDrawNorthampton Town
45.55% (-0.669 -0.67) 24.69% (0.114 0.11) 29.76% (0.554 0.55)
Both teams to score 56.56% (-0.040999999999997 -0.04)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
53.77% (-0.207 -0.21)46.23% (0.206 0.21)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
31.47% (-0.196 -0.2)68.52% (0.19499999999999 0.19)
Swansea City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.62% (-0.373 -0.37)20.38% (0.373 0.37)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
47.21% (-0.594 -0.59)52.79% (0.593 0.59)
Northampton Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.04% (0.279 0.28)28.96% (-0.279 -0.28)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.15% (0.345 0.34)64.85% (-0.345 -0.34)
Score Analysis
    Swansea City 45.55%
    Northampton Town 29.76%
    Draw 24.69%
Swansea CityDrawNorthampton Town
1-0 @ 9.39% (-0.026 -0.03)
2-1 @ 9.25% (-0.06 -0.06)
2-0 @ 7.47% (-0.107 -0.11)
3-1 @ 4.91% (-0.088 -0.09)
3-0 @ 3.96% (-0.103 -0.1)
3-2 @ 3.04% (-0.031 -0.03)
4-1 @ 1.95% (-0.059 -0.06)
4-0 @ 1.58% (-0.059 -0.06)
4-2 @ 1.21% (-0.027 -0.03)
Other @ 2.8%
Total : 45.55%
1-1 @ 11.63% (0.06 0.06)
0-0 @ 5.9% (0.052 0.05)
2-2 @ 5.73% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
3-3 @ 1.26% (-0.0029999999999999 -0)
Other @ 0.17%
Total : 24.69%
0-1 @ 7.31% (0.12 0.12)
1-2 @ 7.21% (0.092000000000001 0.09)
0-2 @ 4.53% (0.109 0.11)
1-3 @ 2.98% (0.06 0.06)
2-3 @ 2.37% (0.021 0.02)
0-3 @ 1.87% (0.06 0.06)
1-4 @ 0.92% (0.025 0.03)
Other @ 2.57%
Total : 29.76%

How you voted: Swansea vs Northampton

Swansea City
90.9%
Draw
9.1%
Northampton Town
0.0%
22
Head to Head
Aug 13, 2019 7.45pm
First Round
Swansea
3-1
Northampton
Ayew (80', 88'), Byers (83')
Warburton (61')
Bunney (76')
> Match Report
Mar 15, 2008 3pm
Northampton
4-2
Swansea
Jackman (52'), Hübertz (14', 23' pen.), Tate (20' og.)
Crowe (90')
Scotland (29', 83')
Tate (21'), Rangel (30')
Dec 4, 2007 3pm
Swansea
3-0
Northampton
Pratley (19'), Scotland (16', 66' pen.)

Jackman (54'), Crowe (77')
Mar 24, 2007 3pm
Swansea
2-1
Northampton
Lawrence (45'), Robinson (46')
O'Leary (69')
Johnson (6')
Crowe (48'), Deuchar (58')
Oct 28, 2006 3pm
Northampton
1-0
Swansea
Chambers (55')
McGleish (33'), Bojic (45'), Doig (71'), Chambers (90'), Crowe (90')

Tate (37'), Iriekpen (45'), Britton (62')
Britton (90')
rhs 2.0
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5Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest115421510519
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7Fulham115331613318
8Newcastle UnitedNewcastle115331311218
9Aston Villa115331717018
10Tottenham HotspurSpurs1151523131016
11Brentford115152222016
12Bournemouth114341515015
13Manchester UnitedMan Utd114341212015
14West Ham UnitedWest Ham113351319-612
15Leicester CityLeicester112451421-710
16Everton112451017-710
17Ipswich TownIpswich111551222-108
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> Premier League Full Table


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