Swansea3 - 0Northampton
Form, Standings, Stats
Saturday, August 5 at 3pm in Championship
Saturday, August 5 at 3pm in League One
We said: Swansea City 1-0 Northampton Town
Swansea will not be at full strength for this match, but the same can also be said for Northampton, who will be more focused on League One matters. We are not expecting a classic on Tuesday evening but believe that Swansea will be able to navigate their way into the next round of the competition. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Swansea City win with a probability of 45.55%. A win for Northampton Town had a probability of 29.76% and a draw had a probability of 24.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Swansea City win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.39%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.25%) and 2-0 (7.47%). The likeliest Northampton Town win was 0-1 (7.31%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.63%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Swansea City would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Swansea City | Draw | Northampton Town |
45.55% ( -0.67) | 24.69% ( 0.11) | 29.76% ( 0.55) |
| Both teams to score 56.56% ( -0.04) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 53.77% ( -0.21) | 46.23% ( 0.21) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 31.47% ( -0.2) | 68.52% ( 0.19) |
| Swansea City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.62% ( -0.37) | 20.38% ( 0.37) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 47.21% ( -0.59) | 52.79% ( 0.59) |
| Northampton Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.04% ( 0.28) | 28.96% ( -0.28) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 35.15% ( 0.34) | 64.85% ( -0.34) |
| Score Analysis |
| Swansea City | Draw | Northampton Town |
| 1-0 @ 9.39% ( -0.03) 2-1 @ 9.25% ( -0.06)2-0 @ 7.47% ( -0.11)3-1 @ 4.91% ( -0.09)3-0 @ 3.96% ( -0.1)3-2 @ 3.04% ( -0.03)4-1 @ 1.95% ( -0.06)4-0 @ 1.58% ( -0.06)4-2 @ 1.21% ( -0.03)Other @ 2.8% Total : 45.55% | 1-1 @ 11.63% ( 0.06) 0-0 @ 5.9% ( 0.05)2-2 @ 5.73% ( 0.01)3-3 @ 1.26% ( -0)Other @ 0.17% Total : 24.69% | 0-1 @ 7.31% ( 0.12) 1-2 @ 7.21% ( 0.09)0-2 @ 4.53% ( 0.11)1-3 @ 2.98% ( 0.06)2-3 @ 2.37% ( 0.02)0-3 @ 1.87% ( 0.06)1-4 @ 0.92% ( 0.03)Other @ 2.57% Total : 29.76% |
