League Two | Gameweek 44
Apr 22, 2023 at 3pm UK
Sixfields
Northampton3 - 1Harrogate
FT(HT: 3-1)
Olaigbe (3')
Coverage of the League Two clash between Northampton Town and Harrogate Town.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Sutton 1-2 Northampton
Tuesday, April 18 at 7.45pm in League Two
Tuesday, April 18 at 7.45pm in League Two
Last Game: Harrogate 3-0 Walsall
Tuesday, April 18 at 7.45pm in League Two
Tuesday, April 18 at 7.45pm in League Two
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Northampton Town win with a probability of 56.69%. A draw had a probability of 24.2% and a win for Harrogate Town had a probability of 19.11%.
The most likely scoreline for a Northampton Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.32%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.14%) and 2-1 (9.55%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.42%), while for a Harrogate Town win it was 0-1 (6.83%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 5.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Northampton Town would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Northampton Town | Draw | Harrogate Town |
56.69% ( 0) | 24.2% ( 0.01) | 19.11% ( -0.01) |
| Both teams to score 46.74% ( -0.05) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 46.37% ( -0.05) | 53.62% ( 0.05) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 24.87% ( -0.04) | 75.12% ( 0.04) |
| Northampton Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.22% ( -0.02) | 18.78% ( 0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 49.81% ( -0.03) | 50.18% ( 0.03) |
| Harrogate Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 57.55% ( -0.05) | 42.44% ( 0.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 21.18% ( -0.04) | 78.82% ( 0.03) |
| Score Analysis |
Northampton Town 56.67%
Harrogate Town 19.11%
Draw 24.2%
| Northampton Town | Draw | Harrogate Town |
| 1-0 @ 13.32% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 11.14% ( 0.01)2-1 @ 9.55% ( -0)3-0 @ 6.22% ( 0)3-1 @ 5.33% ( -0.01)4-0 @ 2.6% ( -0)3-2 @ 2.28% ( -0)4-1 @ 2.23% ( -0)4-2 @ 0.95% ( -0)Other @ 3.06% Total : 56.67% | 1-1 @ 11.42% 0-0 @ 7.97% ( 0.02)2-2 @ 4.09% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.71% Total : 24.2% | 0-1 @ 6.83% ( 0) 1-2 @ 4.9% ( -0)0-2 @ 2.93% ( -0)1-3 @ 1.4% ( -0)2-3 @ 1.17% ( -0)Other @ 1.89% Total : 19.11% |
How you voted: Northampton vs Harrogate
Northampton Town
100%Draw
0.0%Harrogate Town
0.0%6
Form Guide
